Flustered-Willow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

180

Trades

2,278

lifetime

Volume

$5.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-26 23:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 77% +$6

Other

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 351 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1767288600	19	$407	265	229	+36	open	—	01-01 17:39
btc updown 15m 1767290400	10	$234	126	123	+3	open	—	01-01 18:12
btc updown 15m 1767286800	24	$228	218	184	+34	open	—	01-01 17:12
btc updown 15m 1767289500	26	$198	149	114	+35	open	—	01-01 17:58
eth updown 15m 1767285900	21	$172	159	135	+24	open	—	01-01 16:59
eth updown 15m 1767287700	15	$111	85	58	+27	open	—	01-01 17:25
btc updown 15m 1767285900	11	$107	65	63	+2	open	—	01-01 16:58
btc updown 15m 1767283200	9	$101	63	51	+12	open	—	01-01 16:10
btc updown 5m 1772808900	17	$98	83	42	+41	open	—	03-06 14:59
btc updown 15m 1767284100	15	$97	74	67	+7	open	—	01-01 16:29
btc updown 5m 1772808000	15	$90	86	51	+35	open	—	03-06 14:43
eth updown 15m 1767286800	13	$78	56	48	+8	open	—	01-01 17:12
btc updown 5m 1772808300	10	$74	82	8	+74	open	—	03-06 14:48
eth updown 15m 1767289500	12	$51	36	29	+7	open	—	01-01 17:59
btc updown 15m 1767282300	16	$51	41	27	+15	open	—	01-01 15:59
eth updown 15m 1767290400	9	$46	29	25	+4	open	—	01-01 18:14
btc updown 5m 1772806200	13	$43	49	39	+10	open	—	03-06 14:14
btc updown 5m 1772807700	9	$42	50	6	+44	open	—	03-06 14:37
btc updown 5m 1772761800	12	$40	55	7	+48	open	—	03-06 01:54
btc updown 5m 1772756100	14	$39	51	29	+22	open	—	03-06 00:19
btc updown 15m 1767287700	12	$39	31	24	+7	open	—	01-01 17:22
btc updown 5m 1772807400	9	$33	42	3	+39	open	—	03-06 14:34
btc updown 5m 1772800800	7	$32	104	4	+100	open	—	03-06 12:45
btc updown 5m 1772755800	12	$31	50	25	+25	open	—	03-06 00:14
btc updown 5m 1772805900	5	$31	36	0	+36	open	—	03-06 14:08
eth updown 15m 1767285000	12	$30	28	20	+8	open	—	01-01 16:42
btc updown 5m 1772759700	10	$29	38	13	+25	open	—	03-06 01:19
btc updown 15m 1767285000	12	$28	29	14	+15	open	—	01-01 16:44
btc updown 5m 1772754600	8	$27	31	21	+10	open	—	03-05 23:54
btc updown 5m 1772817300	11	$27	37	9	+28	open	—	03-06 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 23:53:49	btc updown 5m 1782517800	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa5ea9b…
06-26 23:53:07	btc updown 5m 1782517800	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1326d9…
06-26 23:52:26	btc updown 5m 1782517800	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x5d60c0…
06-26 23:50:59	btc updown 5m 1782517800	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdfd282…
06-26 23:45:46	btc updown 5m 1782517500	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbc959a…
06-26 23:39:37	btc updown 5m 1782516900	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x639882…
06-26 23:39:29	btc updown 5m 1782516900	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6efec4…
06-26 23:39:25	btc updown 5m 1782516900	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x95e430…
06-26 23:39:01	btc updown 5m 1782516900	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x2ef9a6…
06-26 23:37:04	btc updown 5m 1782516900	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x110226…
06-26 23:26:20	btc updown 5m 1782516300	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb9049d…
06-26 22:38:20	btc updown 5m 1782513300	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xccc713…
06-26 22:35:41	btc updown 5m 1782513300	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfd895f…
06-26 22:34:31	btc updown 5m 1782513000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xda4596…
06-26 22:32:19	btc updown 5m 1782513000	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7cabbc…
06-26 21:41:25	btc updown 5m 1782510000	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2116b5…
06-26 21:38:58	btc updown 5m 1782509700	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe866c1…
06-26 21:32:35	sol updown 5m 1782509400	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3ef185…
05-31 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x981e5e…
05-31 11:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x12cf5e…
05-31 11:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xba8a11…
05-31 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x28e38a…
05-31 11:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x67d6cc…
05-31 11:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x9133a5…
05-31 11:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd24754…
05-31 11:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x31a92b…
05-31 11:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x591201…
05-31 11:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x33a014…
05-31 11:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf3e05b…
05-31 11:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x30cef0…
05-31 11:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x592941…
05-31 11:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x3b6780…
05-31 11:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xb6d4ea…
05-31 11:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf5331a…
05-31 11:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x1ed4cc…
05-31 11:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe63055…
05-31 11:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x578a21…
05-31 11:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4b7d34…
05-31 11:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x0436bc…
05-31 11:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xcdd26f…
05-31 11:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe2793f…
05-31 11:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xefb875…
05-31 11:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd5152f…
05-31 11:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xf6381c…
05-31 11:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0ca23e…
05-31 10:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xc51779…
05-31 10:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x908186…
05-31 10:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x34734e…
05-31 10:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa1be96…
05-31 10:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x803c2f…
05-31 10:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe13520…
05-31 10:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7d4f57…
05-31 10:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x260954…
05-31 10:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9094cc…
05-31 10:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x37e83c…
05-30 20:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x4d43c0…
05-30 20:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x380ca0…
05-30 20:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa5fe32…
05-30 20:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x628f79…
05-30 20:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x55b385…
05-30 20:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xa7302f…
05-30 20:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd6d962…
05-30 14:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x06fe36…
05-30 14:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd604eb…
05-30 14:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xce158b…
05-30 14:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xaf29b7…
05-30 14:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8cf2d0…
05-30 14:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x4683d1…
05-30 14:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfba4f3…
05-30 14:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xa47443…
05-30 14:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x716bee…
05-30 14:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3abe5f…
05-30 14:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf3d75b…
05-30 14:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf906b9…
05-30 14:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2909e6…
05-30 14:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x764a2f…
05-30 14:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x0fd374…
05-30 14:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x47d371…
05-30 14:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x60e4cb…
05-30 14:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe323a5…
05-30 14:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5626fc…
05-30 14:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcece9f…
05-30 14:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xd0322f…
05-30 14:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa4d2bb…
05-30 14:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2de610…
05-30 14:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x013e11…
05-30 14:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x80776c…
05-30 14:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa3db02…
05-30 14:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x15cb04…
05-30 13:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa4009f…
05-30 13:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xac6beb…
05-30 13:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdc8b7b…
05-30 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc4c9ce…
05-30 13:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x45faa7…
05-30 13:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3b348b…
05-30 13:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd8cccb…
05-30 13:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8bc496…
05-30 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x559741…
05-30 13:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x803fe1…
05-30 12:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8a598b…