Muddy-Glass-Mask — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 08-03 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 43% +$65

Politics

20% 33% -$33

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$214	368	118	+250	Up	+$4	05-22 16:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$201	166	114	+53	Yes	-$19	05-23 08:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$160	134	94	+40	Yes	-$20	05-23 08:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$124	83	83	+0	No	+$24	05-22 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	7	$107	141	35	+106	Down	+$33	05-23 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$79	50	50	+0	Down	+$19	05-22 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:05 UTC	4	$76	576	179	+397	Up	-$34	08-03 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$71	123	40	+83	Up	+$1	05-22 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	4	$59	79	36	+44	Up	+$15	05-22 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$56	280	30	+250	Down	-$4	05-22 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	Down	+$1	05-22 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	9	$50	81	47	+33	Down	$0	05-23 06:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$48	53	0	+53	No	+$5	05-18 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:55 UTC	4	$40	104	0	+104	Up	+$64	08-03 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$39	55	12	+42	Down	+$12	05-22 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	7	$39	61	34	+26	Up	-$1	05-23 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$37	531	531	+0	Down	-$23	05-23 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$35	52	0	+52	Down	+$17	05-22 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$14	05-22 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$30	33	0	+33	Up	-$4	05-22 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$28	51	46	+6	Down	+$4	05-23 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$28	30	30	+0	Up	+$7	05-22 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$25	103	0	+103	Up	-$25	05-23 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	05-23 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	05-22 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$23	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	05-22 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$22	38	22	+17	Up	-$8	05-23 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:10 UTC	4	$20	71	0	+71	Up	-$20	08-03 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$19	49	11	+38	Down	-$1	05-22 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$18	87	31	+56	Down	-$2	05-22 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 17:12:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf7bfb6…
08-03 17:12:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xae1f6d…
08-03 17:11:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf58c5d…
08-03 17:11:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf48777…
08-03 17:09:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x828f2e…
08-03 17:08:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x06eb83…
08-03 17:08:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	179	12¢	$21	0xb27e38…
08-03 17:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x82f343…
08-03 17:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x8d6be5…
08-03 17:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0e9c08…
08-03 17:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x562545…
08-03 17:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x25d708…
08-03 16:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4cd615…
08-03 16:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x44eba6…
08-03 16:55:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xb47d9b…
08-03 16:55:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3d66e8…
08-03 16:51:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x010e58…
08-03 16:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd070dd…
05-23 13:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x47ec3c…
05-23 13:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x009fbc…
05-23 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x9dd212…
05-23 13:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6d4967…
05-23 13:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xde3e8e…
05-23 12:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	103	24¢	$25	0xdad30b…
05-23 12:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xbfea63…
05-23 12:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3f9b69…
05-23 11:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x0d3b75…
05-23 11:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x11fad5…
05-23 11:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x8eb824…
05-23 11:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x603c78…
05-23 11:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x853214…
05-23 11:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xe96ccf…
05-23 11:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xd34b15…
05-23 11:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4f3bbd…
05-23 11:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	35	49¢	$17	0x567675…
05-23 11:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfddc0d…
05-23 11:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6b3ca4…
05-23 09:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x50851b…
05-23 09:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x8899d3…
05-23 09:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x05b38f…
05-23 08:02:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x25299f…
05-23 08:01:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x040450…
05-23 08:00:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	94	75¢	$70	0x471de8…
05-23 08:00:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	114	80¢	$91	0xd4503c…
05-23 07:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xa97b5c…
05-23 07:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8c517e…
05-23 07:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x44b07b…
05-23 07:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x35d52a…
05-23 07:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcd118a…
05-23 07:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0xbd40b4…
05-23 07:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x31e4ab…
05-23 07:34:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x139796…
05-23 07:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x3c0ac8…
05-23 07:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xfe6ac3…
05-23 07:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x757758…
05-23 07:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x812d6d…
05-23 07:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xeca5ab…
05-23 07:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0x1388a5…
05-23 07:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xf4fe86…
05-23 06:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x50ee0b…
05-23 06:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x8a1a3f…
05-23 06:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4fbad0…
05-23 06:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xc03565…
05-23 06:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8ee4fb…
05-23 06:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0xc16298…
05-23 06:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x705f5c…
05-23 06:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0x09f2fc…
05-23 06:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xba8047…
05-23 06:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9ae85f…
05-23 06:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x014f8a…
05-23 06:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x15ff7e…
05-23 06:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x4a6591…
05-23 06:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x867119…
05-23 06:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x1b5344…
05-23 06:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb5a24f…
05-22 20:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x633a48…
05-22 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x59334c…
05-22 20:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	44¢	$6	0xc74995…
05-22 20:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0xf4ac7d…
05-22 20:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5ff09b…
05-22 19:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x38fd90…
05-22 19:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc59d1b…
05-22 19:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8a4a9f…
05-22 19:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x256d81…
05-22 19:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0xdc86f2…
05-22 19:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8ad6b4…
05-22 19:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcf9ead…
05-22 19:11:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x67100b…
05-22 19:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x2f1e4f…
05-22 19:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x69fbe6…
05-22 19:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x721990…
05-22 19:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb797fe…
05-22 19:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x780923…
05-22 18:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3b17f9…
05-22 18:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x5f6d90…
05-22 18:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4e5e7a…
05-22 18:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x272014…
05-22 18:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5bd7c9…
05-22 18:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x512dc5…
05-22 18:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	26¢	$8	0xf1f6a5…