Severe-Uplift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$118

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

10,015

Trades

11,949

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

14 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 11-10 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 72% -$130

Other

11% 63% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 10?	Yes	+20	$1	10¢	$2	+$1	11-10 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 10?	No	+2	$1	96¢	$2	+$1	11-10 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 10?	No	+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$0	11-10 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on November 10?	Yes	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-10 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 10?	No	+1	$1	93¢	$1	+$0	11-10 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 10?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	11-10 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 10?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-10 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 10?	Yes	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	11-10 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 10?	Yes	+4	$1	13¢	$1	-$1	11-10 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 10?	Yes	+20	$1	3¢	$1	$0	11-10 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 10?	No	+2	$1	15¢	$0	-$1	11-10 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 10?	No	+2	$1	10¢	$0	-$1	11-10 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 10?	Yes	+13	$0	0¢	$0	$0	11-10 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on November 10?	Yes	+5	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-10 10:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6pm et	2	$159	91	89	+2	Down	+$21	04-14 23:08
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-16 16:00 UTC	2	$140	200	0	+200	Up	+$60	04-16 19:18
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 2am et	2	$140	192	0	+192	Up	+$52	04-14 06:12
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-14 20:00 UTC	2	$140	183	0	+183	Down	+$43	04-14 21:48
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 8am et	2	$120	157	0	+157	Up	+$37	04-16 12:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 18:00 UTC	1	$100	167	0	+167	Down	-$100	04-14 18:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 19:00 UTC	1	$100	132	0	+132	Up	+$32	04-14 19:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 19:00 UTC	1	$100	145	0	+145	Up	+$45	04-18 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 08:40 UTC	1	$100	137	0	+137	Down	-$100	04-15 08:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 08:50 UTC	1	$100	123	0	+123	Up	+$23	04-15 08:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 08:45 UTC	1	$100	132	0	+132	Up	-$100	04-15 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:40 UTC	1	$100	130	0	+130	Down	+$30	04-18 18:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 15:45 UTC	1	$90	120	0	+120	Up	-$90	04-14 15:47
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 3pm et	1	$90	121	0	+121	Up	+$31	04-19 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 03:45 UTC	1	$90	125	0	+125	Up	+$35	04-15 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:55 UTC	1	$90	134	0	+134	Down	+$44	04-14 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:05 UTC	1	$90	134	0	+134	Up	-$90	04-19 20:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 02:10 UTC	1	$90	134	0	+134	Down	+$44	04-15 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 00:30 UTC	1	$90	126	0	+126	Down	+$36	04-15 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:10 UTC	1	$90	122	0	+122	Up	-$90	04-15 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 00:45 UTC	1	$90	108	0	+108	Down	+$18	04-15 00:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 23:15 UTC	1	$90	108	0	+108	Down	+$18	04-19 23:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:20 UTC	1	$87	112	0	+112	Up	+$25	04-14 14:21
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 8pm et	1	$80	108	0	+108	Up	-$80	04-19 00:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 11:15 UTC	1	$80	113	0	+113	Down	-$80	04-14 11:21
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 7pm et	1	$80	114	0	+114	Up	+$34	04-14 23:16
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 2am et	1	$80	108	0	+108	Down	+$28	04-19 06:09
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 7am et	1	$80	106	0	+106	Up	+$26	04-19 11:14
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC	1	$80	96	0	+96	Up	+$16	04-19 15:58
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 11pm et	1	$80	105	0	+105	Up	+$25	04-19 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 12:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 10?	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x86e3c5…
11-10 12:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4905b1…
11-10 11:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 10?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe720b5…
11-10 11:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x6defe9…
11-10 10:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 10?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x496622…
11-10 10:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3fb263…
11-10 10:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8cda48…
11-10 10:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa45fff…
11-10 10:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on November 10?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xada6ac…
11-10 10:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8b6dad…
11-10 09:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4c6519…
11-10 09:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8c59af…
11-10 09:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on November 10?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7c4049…
11-10 09:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 10?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xeb3357…
11-10 09:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 10?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x99a317…
11-10 08:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on November 10?	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xb6fa1b…
11-10 08:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 10?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d3e49…
11-10 07:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 10?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x6828fd…
11-10 07:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0e4169…
11-10 07:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6f2278…
11-10 06:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0x714494…
11-10 06:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbbd287…
11-10 06:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x49e736…
11-10 05:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1f8c32…
11-10 05:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x14b5d8…
11-10 05:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 10?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x36d93b…
11-10 05:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xea68b6…
11-10 05:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x939607…
11-10 05:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 10?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xcabc24…
11-10 05:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7a10d5…
11-10 05:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xbf3904…
11-10 05:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xfbff93…
11-10 04:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5e9070…
11-10 04:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 10?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x82dd39…
11-10 03:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5da153…
11-10 01:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 9?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x62590d…
11-10 00:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x623d19…
11-09 22:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 10?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe22361…
11-09 21:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2fe594…
11-09 19:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 9?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xd37bd9…
11-09 19:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 9?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xbe2edb…
11-09 19:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x45f6cf…
11-09 19:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 9?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x2c2339…
11-09 18:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d809d…
11-09 18:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 9?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9e2cba…
11-09 16:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xe9573d…
11-09 14:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xed81a1…
11-09 13:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 9?	No	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x951db0…
11-09 13:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 9?	No	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x8040ab…
11-09 13:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x721e46…
11-09 13:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 9?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3ea851…
11-09 13:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 9?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8928c0…
11-09 13:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6065b5…
11-09 13:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9f31dc…
11-09 12:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc2f0c2…
11-09 12:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 9?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xeec27c…
11-09 12:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 9?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xb5d0d4…
11-09 12:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x824809…
11-09 12:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 9?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x355ec9…
11-09 12:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x86b8b0…
11-09 12:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 9?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7bb27e…
11-09 11:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x2db7c6…
11-09 11:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5a7ddd…
11-09 11:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 9?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xca9f88…
11-09 11:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 9?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4cb6b0…
11-09 11:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 9?	No	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x98ddb0…
11-09 11:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa0af94…
11-09 11:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C on November 9?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1ba583…
11-09 11:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$1	0xf7c6ca…
11-09 11:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7c39c4…
11-09 10:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xe3a291…
11-09 10:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x679161…
11-09 09:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0x4b4d58…
11-09 08:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x836171…
11-09 08:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x945e42…
11-09 06:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7b718e…
11-09 06:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x20bf8c…
11-09 06:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbe2d57…
11-09 06:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x9073db…
11-09 06:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C on November 9?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6f47fd…
11-09 05:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 9?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6c9a98…
11-09 04:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa56a03…
11-09 03:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x221df5…
11-09 03:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 9?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x53426b…
11-09 03:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 9?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc26e6e…
11-09 03:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 9?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x4b091e…
11-09 02:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2c7fc3…
11-08 18:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x6fcc3b…
11-08 18:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 8?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x4ef51c…
11-08 17:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6503ac…
11-08 17:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 8?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3934c5…
11-08 17:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 8?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd90607…
11-08 17:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xcfa674…
11-08 17:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc488f6…
11-08 16:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x02ead8…
11-08 15:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 8?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x25e7cc…
11-08 15:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 8?	No	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xf59262…
11-08 14:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 8?	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x0997ce…
11-08 14:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x9bc908…
11-08 14:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 8?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x676014…