Ignorant-Reality — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved (30d)

118

Trades (30d)

190

936 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$204

$5.51K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-29 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 62% +$36

Other

15% 65% -$149

Sports

2% 43% -$34

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	2	$240	129	129	+0	Up	+$18	06-08 15:37
bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	2	$199	101	100	+0	Up	+$1	06-07 15:48
solana up or down on june 6 2026	2	$197	106	106	+0	Down	+$16	06-06 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	3	$191	105	105	+0	Down	+$18	06-03 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	2	$172	88	88	+0	Down	+$2	06-02 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	12	$165	106	106	+0	Down	+$45	05-23 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$161	112	112	+0	Up	+$61	05-23 04:30
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	2	$142	75	75	+0	Down	+$8	06-05 14:35
googl up or down on june 9 2026	1	$137	143	0	+143	Up	-$137	06-09 16:39
msft up or down on june 8 2026	1	$129	140	0	+140	Down	+$11	06-08 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	6	$120	156	0	+156	Down	-$120	05-23 04:51
solana up or down on june 9 2026	2	$116	136	0	+136	Down	+$20	06-09 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$113	64	64	+0	Down	+$13	05-23 04:00
bitcoin up or down on july 5 2026	3	$112	64	64	+0	Down	+$17	07-05 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	8	$108	74	74	+0	Down	+$38	05-23 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	5	$108	5,038	38	+5,000	Down	-$34	05-23 04:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	2	$80	46	46	+0	No	+$11	05-22 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$79	113	63	+50	Up	-$24	05-23 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$79	51	51	+0	Down	+$22	05-23 04:11
googl up or down on june 5 2026	1	$75	91	0	+91	Down	+$16	06-05 16:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	2	$73	40	40	+0	No	+$7	05-20 16:00
bnb up or down on june 15 2026	2	$60	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	06-15 16:01
bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	2	$58	31	31	+0	Up	+$4	06-12 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?	2	$56	31	31	+0	Down	+$5	06-01 13:31
amzn up or down on june 16 2026	2	$56	31	31	+0	Up	+$7	06-16 21:33
tsla up or down on june 4 2026	1	$54	67	0	+67	Down	+$13	06-04 14:53
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$52	44	22	+22	Justin Gaethje	-$18	06-14 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	5	$51	57	19	+38	Down	-$13	05-23 04:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	3	$50	30	30	+0	No	+$11	05-21 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$50	440	0	+440	Up	-$50	05-23 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x824757…
10-29 07:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbf69eb…
10-29 07:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x35fcf8…
10-29 07:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd4371e…
10-28 16:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc30fe3…
10-26 15:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf85130…
10-26 15:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x87962a…
10-26 12:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xf9e1f8…
10-26 12:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe17356…
10-26 11:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x479aa7…
10-25 09:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xb87056…
10-25 09:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x08c263…
10-25 06:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x398090…
10-25 00:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x305b5f…
10-24 17:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb741af…
10-24 04:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9e71b5…
10-24 03:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x8338f9…
10-24 03:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8e72b3…
10-23 12:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa824dd…
10-21 21:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb39d13…
10-21 21:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xa0fa67…
10-21 21:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6e8e6b…
10-21 21:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xb353bf…
10-21 21:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x578985…
10-21 16:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb5893e…
10-21 15:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7072f5…
10-21 09:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b7298…
10-21 09:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4557d9…
10-21 09:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9aa9f9…
10-20 22:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0xd65326…
10-20 22:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x455623…
10-20 22:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0830d1…
10-20 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4e9738…
10-20 14:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xda8ff5…
10-20 14:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	52¢	$0	0x624e8a…
10-20 14:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc112e0…
10-20 12:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x7daa3b…
10-20 11:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa798df…
10-20 03:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x00772f…
10-20 03:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x97eb35…
10-19 18:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x625b5b…
10-19 17:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x99f5cd…
10-19 17:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbb48fa…
10-19 14:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x6a404a…
10-19 14:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf64707…
10-19 11:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xfe03c4…
10-19 11:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0f6420…
10-18 22:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5199aa…
10-18 17:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x45eced…
10-18 17:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x314fb6…
10-18 17:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x2320fb…
10-18 17:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x11d3ab…
10-18 13:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa1f280…
10-18 13:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x578465…
10-18 10:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9fe935…
10-18 10:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9ff033…
10-18 10:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd6a845…
10-18 05:22:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xca544c…
10-17 17:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xc85ca2…
10-17 17:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf92585…
10-17 16:52:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xbf8af0…
10-17 16:52:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c080d…
10-17 16:52:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xa7cf86…
10-17 16:46:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x8ee855…
10-17 16:46:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3c4d30…
10-17 04:14:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc571c9…
10-17 03:46:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5c54c0…
10-17 03:36:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x8c2fd2…
10-17 03:35:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x49cba9…
10-16 18:37:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbca887…
10-16 18:14:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Down	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x6f0b9d…
10-16 18:14:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xde65a1…
10-16 09:12:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf80e27…
10-16 09:11:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x1ce693…
10-16 08:57:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9c48ad…
10-15 16:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xf2abab…
10-15 16:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x22147b…
10-14 04:29:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0xf6a300…
10-14 04:29:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3a6056…
10-13 18:02:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x78adfa…
10-13 04:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x8b63d2…
10-13 04:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd73d86…
10-13 04:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xc78d2c…
10-13 04:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x5320a8…
10-13 03:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x89fb3e…
10-13 03:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3cfba8…
10-12 17:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbb47b4…
10-12 17:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x939918…
10-12 17:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x86ffb2…
10-12 17:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x555ad9…
10-12 12:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3879c3…
10-12 12:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbb702f…
10-12 10:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xf1ea5a…
10-12 10:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x928f1d…
10-12 09:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaec9ea…
10-12 08:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x4a7d67…
10-12 08:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2f9041…
10-12 05:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xfdb19c…
10-12 03:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xd7391a…
10-12 03:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6616fe…