Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$80

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 11-07 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

89% 58% +$4

Politics

11% 62% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	+4	$1	72¢	$3	+$2	10-25 14:47
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	46¢	$2	+$1	11-06 10:53
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	45¢	$1	$0	11-06 22:44
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	+3	$1	22¢	$1	$0	11-07 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 15:13:28	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x94f3c7…
11-06 22:44:46	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfd6cd8…
11-06 10:53:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x30d3fc…
11-05 10:36:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa4bd3e…
11-05 01:06:04	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa81c86…
11-01 23:11:34	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd61d5e…
10-25 23:08:41	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xad45a3…
10-25 14:47:56	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x64777a…
10-25 05:38:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x86198d…
10-23 12:46:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0cfb03…
10-23 04:37:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9c2f24…
10-22 08:18:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcf6d74…
10-17 23:48:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd10306…
10-17 15:44:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x766b09…
10-16 23:01:54	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2c00a4…
10-16 08:41:51	will rklb reach 58 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6f666d…
10-15 00:23:07	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8bbd01…
10-14 15:15:45	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x928fb8…
10-14 07:09:08	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x84d9bf…
10-13 22:51:22	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x207501…
10-11 14:37:16	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfe3bdb…
10-11 04:31:44	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x776127…
10-10 19:33:16	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4ef5c0…
10-10 11:31:43	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x059d75…
10-08 20:25:23	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa48c73…
10-08 04:09:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x04140e…
10-05 16:02:32	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa86652…
10-05 15:44:31	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6befc0…
10-05 00:47:02	will mu reach 1140 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9cdd21…
10-02 14:11:12	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa6f2e2…
10-02 06:08:17	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x29ef3f…
10-01 11:55:36	wti up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb2fa71…
10-01 03:42:41	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x42c15b…
09-27 02:28:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x58c6cf…
09-26 07:18:15	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8f49f4…
09-25 21:58:23	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3b7c45…
09-23 01:24:19	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbfb0ff…
09-22 05:14:54	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8b3199…
09-21 21:11:07	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8f0d00…
09-21 13:08:50	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6a69ef…
09-21 05:08:31	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xce91fe…
09-20 21:08:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xed5c0c…
09-19 00:51:40	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0b97f9…
09-18 02:32:48	will coin reach 180 by september 14 2026 from september 17	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x90c3f7…
09-17 17:37:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6bb3b6…
09-17 07:10:36	will amzn reach 252 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0b8ccf…
09-16 06:42:16	will warsh say scenario during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe782fc…
09-16 06:40:43	will warsh say labor force during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x393932…
09-15 22:40:16	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x30a2af…
09-15 14:07:49	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x11af8d…
09-14 06:02:18	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8144f5…
09-13 22:00:37	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2981e5…
09-13 00:19:48	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x17d629…
09-11 07:09:13	will meta reach 660 by september 7 2026 from september 10	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x86b6b5…
09-10 23:04:03	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd100d9…
09-10 14:49:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x497d7b…
09-10 14:05:16	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xae3bc7…
09-10 02:56:46	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x216c2f…
09-09 13:15:15	Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x70c6f7…
09-08 19:02:55	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x17ed9e…
09-08 07:30:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x173197…
09-07 17:47:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9fc36f…
09-02 14:55:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb0cec7…
09-01 17:34:21	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x39ab1b…
09-01 08:04:33	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $177 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe4ca17…
08-30 23:56:55	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe55aff…
08-30 15:14:10	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc72d67…
08-30 06:47:55	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x66f697…
08-29 21:31:52	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3c1526…
08-29 13:29:48	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4374d0…
08-26 01:59:43	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd58e14…
08-25 16:34:46	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260824	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9708ca…
08-25 08:07:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x88df02…
08-25 00:06:46	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb4ed2d…
08-24 16:02:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x937887…
08-24 07:59:36	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x81206b…
08-23 23:38:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd34d11…
08-23 10:03:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x098ea2…
08-22 09:23:58	github com critical incident by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcb2afc…
08-22 00:37:34	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc4547b…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-10 14:49
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 00:51
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	10-05 15:44
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-02 14:11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 15:44
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	10-23 12:46
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-17 23:48
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-26 07:18
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-25 05:38
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-01 23:11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-07 17:47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 22?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-22 08:18
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-23 01:24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-20 21:08
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-11 14:37
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	11-07 15:13
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-13 00:19
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-08 04:09
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-06 22:44
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-21 21:11
will warsh say labor force during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-16 06:40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	11-06 10:53
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-21 13:08
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-14 06:02
will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-13 22:51
spx up or down on october 15 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	10-15 00:23
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-08 20:25
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-15 22:40
github com critical incident by august 31 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-22 09:23
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	11-05 10:36