Realized P&L
-$241
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
5.7%
Resolved
58
Trades
3,286
lifetime
Volume
$65.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$43
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 08:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
52% 5% $-247
Sports
32% 28% $-213
Politics
11% 67% +$228
Crypto
3% 0% $-10
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +25 $-12 54¢ $14 +$25 06-13 20:47
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? Yes +30 $17 37¢ $11 $-6 06-05 07:48
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -10 $-7 68¢ $-7 $-0 05-28 20:28
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +13 $5 38¢ $5 $-0 06-15 05:24
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -9 $-4 46¢ $-4 +$0 05-29 07:43
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +100 $10 $2 $-8 05-30 08:12
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No -15 $-10 $-0 +$10 06-02 12:37