Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$293

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-25

last 10-27 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 34% -$264

Politics

13% 0% -$29

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	2	$564	547	547	+0	open	—	10-26 02:04
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	2	$472	455	455	+0	open	—	10-26 04:17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	4	$250	253	253	+0	No	-$8	10-25 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$100	198	0	+198	Down	-$100	10-26 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$100	159	0	+159	Up	-$100	10-26 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$100	667	0	+667	Down	-$100	10-26 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$100	113	0	+113	Up	+$13	10-26 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$86	115	115	+0	Down	-$14	10-26 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$75	140	0	+140	Down	+$65	10-26 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$75	109	109	+0	Up	+$25	10-26 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$73	85	85	+0	Up	-$27	10-26 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$67	46	46	+0	Down	+$17	10-25 17:14
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	5	$66	99	99	+0	Up	+$12	10-25 23:57
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	2	$60	262	262	+0	No	-$20	10-25 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$50	92	0	+92	Down	+$42	10-26 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$50	98	0	+98	Down	-$50	10-26 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$50	824	0	+824	Up	-$50	10-27 01:04
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$36	30	30	+0	Down	$0	10-26 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$35	59	59	+0	Down	-$5	10-25 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$34	54	54	+0	Up	-$16	10-26 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	10-26 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$25	109	0	+109	Up	-$25	10-25 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$25	10-26 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Up	+$26	10-26 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$25	76	0	+76	Up	+$51	10-25 16:46
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$20	68	68	+0	open	—	10-25 20:20
Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	10-25 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$19	106	0	+106	Up	-$19	10-26 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$19	9,091	0	+9,091	Up	-$19	10-25 21:10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$19	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	10-25 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	824	6¢	$50	0x5b7b73…
10-26 04:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x85f917…
10-26 04:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	106	18¢	$19	0xb4c385…
10-26 04:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x488c90…
10-26 04:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0xb6da6f…
10-26 04:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x82e5b0…
10-26 04:17:47	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	SELL	455	49¢	$222	0x560f43…
10-26 02:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	23¢	$8	0xa3b472…
10-26 02:04:42	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	455	55¢	$250	0x47f809…
10-26 02:04:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	547	50¢	$274	0x83d5e7…
10-26 01:56:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	547	53¢	$290	0x95840c…
10-26 01:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	54	17¢	$9	0x916004…
10-26 01:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x2100a9…
10-26 01:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x75e2d8…
10-26 01:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xaf39df…
10-26 01:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xb1681b…
10-26 01:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	115	31¢	$36	0x64bb9e…
10-26 01:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x06ff16…
10-26 01:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xfbcdae…
10-26 01:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x656372…
10-26 01:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x6ab410…
10-26 01:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x8a11d6…
10-26 01:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x2851fa…
10-26 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xd9b480…
10-26 01:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	85	27¢	$23	0x93be90…
10-26 01:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x2d006d…
10-26 01:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x902fd4…
10-26 01:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x128aa6…
10-26 00:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7a9c28…
10-26 00:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	109	46¢	$50	0xc6876f…
10-26 00:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x311d23…
10-26 00:01:20	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0xb31188…
10-26 00:00:56	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xead86f…
10-26 00:00:45	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xef5a3f…
10-25 23:57:15	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xff2929…
10-25 23:56:42	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb3376e…
10-25 23:56:38	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x219104…
10-25 23:56:24	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	79	26¢	$20	0x8856ea…
10-25 23:55:47	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	79	11¢	$9	0x970e88…
10-25 23:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x009c11…
10-25 23:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0xa5a20e…
10-25 23:51:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	262	8¢	$20	0x061039…
10-25 23:34:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	262	15¢	$40	0x2b0301…
10-25 21:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x31bad0…
10-25 21:10:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	253	48¢	$121	0xf2011c…
10-25 21:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0xa5da19…
10-25 21:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x8ae217…
10-25 20:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x29254c…
10-25 20:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0xdf1fb8…
10-25 20:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xa6515e…
10-25 20:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xc53ca1…
10-25 20:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xc7ff93…
10-25 20:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x9f4fb0…
10-25 20:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	59	26¢	$15	0xfcc039…
10-25 20:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x652145…
10-25 20:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x9a7977…
10-25 20:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x63d875…
10-25 20:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xa4c6b3…
10-25 20:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x1aba7e…
10-25 20:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xbb10a4…
10-25 20:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x91b791…
10-25 20:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x07e34e…
10-25 20:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x3ebc63…
10-25 20:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x218742…
10-25 20:20:12	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	68	14¢	$10	0xe4fd17…
10-25 20:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x37a519…
10-25 20:15:36	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x74b9d5…
10-25 17:39:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xde3ae3…
10-25 17:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	70	3¢	$2	0xed0e5f…
10-25 17:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb220bd…
10-25 17:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xaf510e…
10-25 17:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x839023…
10-25 17:24:15	Will Marine Le Pen win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	91	9¢	$8	0x3b7841…
10-25 17:23:38	Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?	No	SELL	15	62¢	$10	0x62140c…
10-25 17:20:59	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x974d65…
10-25 17:17:17	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xbb7eeb…
10-25 17:16:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x1f80b2…
10-25 17:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	46	90¢	$42	0xb7e132…
10-25 17:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x28be57…
10-25 17:04:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xb94505…
10-25 17:01:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfedb04…
10-25 16:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x12a614…
10-25 16:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa29c5d…
10-25 16:35:33	Will Marine Le Pen win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x055780…
10-25 16:34:30	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x1265de…
10-25 16:33:00	Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xac0cd9…
10-25 16:27:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xdbf590…
10-25 16:01:32	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdfaa0e…
10-25 15:31:06	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x89f4a2…
10-25 15:27:57	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x12f108…
10-25 15:27:41	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x507a3d…
10-25 15:27:38	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x86c945…
10-25 15:22:51	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x8ac609…
10-25 15:22:45	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x235360…