Ill-Informed-Polyester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$234

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

894

Trades

1,023

lifetime

Volume

$4.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-26 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

82% 50% -$263

Sports

14% 57% +$42

Crypto

3% 54% -$10

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	2	$177	103	103	+0	MOUZ	+$29	08-02 15:25
dota2 flc liquid 2026 08 05 game3	2	$171	122	122	+0	Team Liquid	+$73	08-05 21:21
dota2 liquid 1win 2026 08 05 game2	2	$122	88	88	+0	Team Liquid	+$52	08-05 15:41
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game2	2	$104	75	75	+0	MOUZ	+$47	08-02 12:27
dota2 flc liquid 2026 08 05	2	$98	93	91	+2	Team Liquid	-$2	08-05 19:01
dota2 ty liquid 2026 03 15	3	$88	82	37	+45	Team Yandex	-$14	03-15 22:02
dota2 liquid 1win 2026 08 05 game1	3	$84	59	59	+0	Team Liquid	+$34	08-05 14:27
dota2 og gl 2026 08 03 game2	3	$79	49	49	+0	OG	+$19	08-03 15:01
dota2 1win bb4 2026 08 05	2	$76	52	52	+0	1win	+$28	08-05 13:34
dota2 1win bb4 2026 08 05 game1	2	$67	42	42	+0	BetBoom Team	+$17	08-05 11:12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	3	$63	74	45	+29	Team Spirit	+$2	10-26 17:57
dota2 boombo vsn2 2026 08 14	2	$62	37	37	+0	TEAM VISION	+$12	08-14 07:26
dota2 boombo vsn2 2026 08 14 game2	3	$57	61	37	+24	TEAM VISION	-$13	08-14 06:39
dota2 lgd 1win 2026 08 03 game2	3	$53	33	33	+0	1win	+$13	08-03 12:20
will team yandex win pgl wallachia season 7	2	$48	47	47	+0	Yes	-$2	03-15 20:13
dota2 ironwi flc 2026 08 14 game2	2	$41	26	26	+0	Team Falcons	+$11	08-14 08:52
cs2 ww cyb 2026 08 03	2	$38	28	28	+0	CYBERSHOKE Prospects	+$18	08-03 12:20
dota2 aur1 ty 2026 08 14	1	$38	62	0	+62	Aurora	-$38	08-14 13:09
dota2 ty liquid 2026 03 15 game3	1	$34	61	0	+61	Team Liquid	-$34	03-15 17:29
dota2 ironwi flc 2026 08 14	2	$32	22	22	+0	Iron Wing	+$12	08-14 10:10
dota2 ty liquid 2026 03 13	3	$31	45	9	+36	Team Yandex	-$25	03-13 18:02
dota2 aur1 ty 2026 08 14 game2	1	$30	50	0	+50	Aurora	-$30	08-14 11:55
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game1	1	$30	42	0	+42	MOUZ	-$30	08-02 10:29
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 03 13	4	$26	39	14	+26	BetBoom Team	-$16	03-13 17:25
dota2 vsn2 flc 2026 08 13	3	$26	40	17	+23	TEAM VISION	-$14	08-13 13:06
dota2 1win bb4 2026 08 05 game2	1	$25	45	0	+45	1win	-$25	08-05 10:36
dota2 flc liquid 2026 08 05 game1	1	$25	37	0	+37	Team Liquid	-$25	08-05 17:20
dota2 flc liquid 2026 08 05 game2	1	$23	36	0	+36	Team Liquid	-$23	08-05 19:06
dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29	1	$22	41	0	+41	Tundra Esports	-$22	03-29 16:22
dota2 flc liquid 2026 08 04	1	$21	33	0	+33	Team Falcons	+$12	08-04 10:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:57:44	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0x2357f6…
10-26 17:57:23	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0xd2ebdd…
10-26 17:18:51	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0xee1788…
10-26 10:50:21	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xea257f…
10-05 21:43:01	Set Handicap: Linda Noskova (-1.5) vs Ekaterina Alexandrova (+1.5)	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x175846…
10-05 17:57:26	Northern Ireland vs. Georgia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xad7aa6…
10-05 17:31:59	Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1dee9d…
10-05 16:59:07	Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$3	0x9a1735…
10-05 16:05:58	Spread: France (-1.5)	Belgium	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x65438e…
10-05 15:46:49	Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x9b704d…
10-05 14:42:44	Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x3fa179…
10-05 12:39:43	Will Poland win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe84c63…
10-05 10:20:50	Cyprus vs. Latvia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa0dc44…
10-05 09:50:01	Montenegro vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf43afc…
10-05 09:48:07	Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x597d74…
10-05 07:38:34	Spread: Italy (-1.5)	Türkiye	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdd7c22…
10-05 07:28:35	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5c1755…
10-05 07:18:19	Ukraine vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x4f7f9d…
10-05 04:52:26	atp minaur hurkacz 2026 10 05	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa7abaf…
10-04 00:53:37	atp munar jacquet 2026 10 03	Kyrian Jacquet	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x49b85f…
10-03 21:20:35	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf94eb4…
10-03 19:34:22	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2f1ea0…
10-03 18:59:35	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaume Munar vs Kyrian Jacquet	Kyrian Jacquet	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x2ed51b…
10-03 18:27:59	Spread: Spain (-3.5)	Czechia	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcedc41…
10-03 18:18:14	Spread: RKC Waalwijk (-1.5)	RKC Waalwijk	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x19a9e0…
10-03 18:15:39	Columbus: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Mitchell Krueger	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xce488a…
10-03 18:00:48	UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)	Esteban Ribovics	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd2025a…
10-03 17:46:56	Will RKC Waalwijk win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x65a507…
10-03 16:12:36	atp dietric andrade 2026 10 03 game handicap home 3pt5	Andres Andrade	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x074e83…
10-03 15:53:12	North Macedonia vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb17878…
10-03 15:48:26	Estonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xedee7b…
10-03 15:00:39	Will Burgos CF win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xefae5a…
10-03 14:48:54	Iceland vs. Bulgaria: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x063a0c…
10-03 14:46:41	Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd8e549…
10-03 14:28:18	Will England win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x69b61c…
10-03 14:16:30	Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)	Switzerland	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc60d73…
10-03 14:14:54	North Macedonia vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9ffa58…
10-03 14:09:57	Spread: Belarus (-2.5)	Belarus	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4a618e…
10-03 13:57:39	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf86226…
10-03 13:36:39	Finland vs. Albania: Finland O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0d1d99…
10-03 13:10:12	Will Albania win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xad13de…
10-02 21:19:24	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x6b6d9b…
10-02 03:38:56	wta su bucsa 2026 10 02	Xinran Sun	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8b61c4…
10-02 03:29:33	China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x85761d…
10-02 01:45:35	Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x35f153…
10-01 18:46:45	Denmark vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x248845…
10-01 18:40:05	Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdc8ff6…
10-01 18:32:27	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xb1b170…
10-01 18:04:38	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x0d2e02…
10-01 18:00:23	Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa8f04a…
10-01 17:48:12	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x474390…
10-01 17:46:15	Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x101cb9…
10-01 14:21:18	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x07b6e0…
10-01 13:58:48	atp balshaw kjaer 2026 10 01	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcd4da1…
10-01 13:56:05	Wales vs. Norway: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8bc993…
10-01 13:08:44	Porto 2: Edas Butvilas vs Moez Echargui	Moez Echargui	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaba8f2…
10-01 12:52:50	China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x53a0ea…
10-01 12:51:00	China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x873751…
10-01 12:33:50	wta gao udvardy 2026 09 29	Panna Udvardy	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x80d580…
10-01 12:11:18	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf9d0ee…
10-01 11:33:30	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x46bf78…
10-01 11:04:08	wta tararud osorio 2026 09 29	Camila Osorio	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3847a5…
10-01 11:01:08	wta tararud osorio 2026 09 29	Lanlana Tararudee	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x2ac0a7…
10-01 10:58:12	wta tararud osorio 2026 09 29	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x54d53e…
10-01 10:55:14	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x5f8478…
10-01 10:19:33	fif uzb syr 2026 10 01 spread home 1pt5	Syria	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf36040…
10-01 09:33:32	China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x69b82a…
10-01 09:06:23	fif mdv lib 2026 10 01 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8679be…
10-01 09:01:17	atp shang baez 2026 09 29	Sebastian Baez	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xde38b6…
10-01 08:45:33	atp shang baez 2026 09 29	Sebastian Baez	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x188f2c…
10-01 08:41:17	wta preston parry 2026 10 01 match total 21pt5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb3d17f…
10-01 08:30:39	wta yastrem chwalin 2026 10 01 match total 21pt5	Under	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4e569f…
10-01 07:45:39	wta golubic stearns 2026 10 01 match total 21pt5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x01f55c…
10-01 07:28:18	atp shang baez 2026 09 29	Sebastian Baez	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x708c8a…
10-01 07:13:24	wta lys su 2026 09 29	Xinran Sun	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x13e1de…
10-01 05:47:50	atp zandsch cerundo 2026 09 30	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x5a7f53…
10-01 05:35:15	atp safiull cobolli 2026 09 29	Roman Safiullin	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0d7e4a…
10-01 05:17:48	wta zhen shi 2026 09 30	Han Shi	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x09c180…
10-01 02:49:56	atp molcan rinderk 2026 09 30 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x78b53d…
09-30 23:56:14	fif arg bol 2026 09 30 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x94d112…
09-20 16:14:46	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xedba50…
09-15 07:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x3c183a…
09-15 07:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdc2f3a…
09-15 06:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc2933b…
09-15 06:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 15?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x82c0ce…
09-15 06:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 15?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3344aa…
09-15 06:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 15?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x2c9aa8…
09-15 06:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 15?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x10e13f…
09-15 05:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd44be5…
09-15 05:19:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x73e000…
09-15 05:19:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x00e30f…
09-15 01:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 15?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6709d5…
09-15 01:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 15?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x3908a1…
09-15 00:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 15?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf54637…
09-15 00:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x159d00…
09-14 23:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xb12bb7…
09-14 22:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x80a0d5…
09-14 22:15:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 15?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x53f28f…
09-14 22:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb26886…
09-14 22:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa62b25…