Brave-Shade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

198

Trades

356

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$33

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-29 23:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Sports

74% 49% -$98

Other

20% 48% -$40

Crypto

4% 67% +$11

Tech

2% 50% +$5

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	-20	-$20	100¢	$-20	$0	10-25 20:13
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+76	$12	8¢	$6	-$6	10-30 16:52
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+30	$5	16¢	$5	$0	10-16 18:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	+10	$4	11¢	$1	-$3	10-16 18:55
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	+6	$2	17¢	$1	-$2	10-16 18:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	4	$45	45	30	+15	Gaethje	-$12	01-25 05:07
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)	2	$39	27	26	+0	Rafa Garcia	+$13	04-26 02:04
lol al wb 2026 01 20	2	$34	25	25	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$0	01-20 00:10
ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	4	$34	25	24	+0	Josh Hokit	+$7	04-12 02:50
bitcoin up or down january 18 9pm et	3	$31	20	20	+0	Down	+$7	01-19 02:59
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	5	$30	20	20	+0	Alice Ardelean	+$5	05-16 22:20
bitcoin up or down january 18 8pm et	5	$30	20	20	-0	Down	+$8	01-19 01:47
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$27	50	50	+0	No	-$11	03-05 01:26
mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	2	$27	49	0	+49	USA	-$27	02-22 15:43
ufc man17 jai2 2026 04 18	1	$22	36	0	+36	Jai Herbert	-$22	04-19 01:12
ufc dar16 mel8 2026 04 18	4	$22	15	15	+0	Melissa Croden	+$5	04-18 22:42
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	2	$21	25	25	+0	Seahawks	+$0	01-20 00:11
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	10-25 20:13
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$19	16	16	+0	Yes	+$5	04-12 22:50
O/U 0.5 Rounds	2	$18	10	10	+0	Over	+$2	05-10 04:14
ufc ant12 ser2 2026 02 21 totals 0pt5	2	$17	10	10	+0	Over	+$3	02-22 02:36
ufc jos60 rob21 2026 04 04	4	$17	12	12	+0	Jose Delano	+$1	04-05 00:28
nba okc cle 2026 01 19	1	$17	25	0	+25	Thunder	+$8	01-19 18:18
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 jake paul 1 times	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	01-20 22:49
ufc kel vic 2026 04 11	2	$16	13	12	+0	Vicente Luque	+$9	04-11 22:26
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Over	+$4	10-29 21:26
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$16	30	0	+30	Aljamain Sterling	-$16	04-26 02:43
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	2	$16	10	10	+0	Carlos Ulberg	+$5	04-12 03:51
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$16	20	5	+15	Dplus KIA	-$7	10-24 23:57
ufc ros1 nat7 2026 01 24	2	$15	10	10	+0	Silva	+$4	01-25 03:52
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	3	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	10-16 01:36
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)	2	$15	10	10	+0	Victor Valenzuela	+$5	04-25 22:01
ufc and28 ate 2026 01 24 totals 0pt5	3	$15	10	10	+0	Over	+$5	01-25 01:31
will tesla say cybertruck during earnings call	1	$15	50	0	+50	Yes	-$15	01-28 18:57
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	4	$15	10	10	+0	Joshua Van	+$5	05-10 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:52:52	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x361479…
10-29 23:53:42	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc8ec6a…
10-29 23:05:40	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0ef86a…
10-29 21:26:42	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf343e6…
10-29 20:43:27	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc77ed3…
10-29 20:42:12	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x9f73be…
10-28 21:06:53	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xd16dd9…
10-25 20:13:38	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdc3384…
10-24 23:57:08	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x5edf67…
10-24 17:43:06	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xaf3a8d…
10-24 16:38:30	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Cam Rowston	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9620e3…
10-24 16:32:09	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x413758…
10-24 16:18:36	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Grant Dawson	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcdc7cc…
10-24 15:27:51	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Jacob Malkoun	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xe14885…
10-24 15:15:39	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Jacob Malkoun	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xbfd7a8…
10-23 21:31:33	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x1bfb5c…
10-23 19:54:36	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x17aa04…
10-23 19:53:57	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfbec77…
10-23 19:53:29	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb05a0c…
10-19 14:17:02	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x8b371f…
10-18 10:06:11	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x9febfd…
10-18 08:11:50	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb72e2a…
10-18 07:49:50	val loud vit 2026 10 18 game2 round total 20pt5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2b4bc1…
10-18 07:39:27	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2e8327…
10-18 07:30:27	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5	Over	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x68d735…
10-18 07:03:27	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Team Vitality	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x304d92…
10-18 06:46:39	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa8418f…
10-18 06:44:59	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x418433…
10-18 05:55:15	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x428555…
10-18 03:53:44	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd1297b…
10-18 02:40:47	UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)	Mike Malott	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x29cf09…
10-18 02:13:12	UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)	Mike Malott	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbdf2ca…
10-18 02:10:38	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Jasmine Jasudavicius	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb32d7c…
10-18 01:54:21	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Jasmine Jasudavicius	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x24b357…
10-17 22:40:32	UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Javad Mahjoub	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x32063b…
10-17 22:11:35	UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Steven Koslow	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x5702fb…
10-17 22:03:06	UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Steven Koslow	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x54a63c…
10-17 21:53:30	UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Steven Koslow	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6f5a23…
10-17 05:53:49	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 total games 4pt5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x462413…
10-16 18:55:01	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe78e49…
10-16 18:54:02	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x8d658a…
10-16 18:53:22	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x41e2d8…
10-16 18:25:06	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x04eb6f…
10-16 01:36:16	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa687b7…
10-16 01:22:13	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc4e447…
10-16 01:10:45	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd724a4…
10-16 01:10:13	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xdb2bf8…
05-16 23:09:54	UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tuco Tokkos	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x8ca113…
05-16 23:08:23	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x069d66…
05-16 22:49:24	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x8f6e75…
05-16 22:21:03	UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)	Andre Petroski	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xbf4c2b…
05-16 22:20:16	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Alice Ardelean	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdbfcae…
05-16 22:07:24	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Alice Ardelean	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x4d6a4a…
05-16 22:06:44	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Alice Ardelean	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4c65d3…
05-16 22:05:25	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Alice Ardelean	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0fd871…
05-16 22:04:24	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Alice Ardelean	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x1756cc…
05-16 21:54:16	UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	Luis Gurule	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x24ea71…
05-16 21:38:19	UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	Luis Gurule	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7503a2…
05-10 04:20:54	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x73ec86…
05-10 04:14:26	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8dd57a…
05-10 03:51:53	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xfd7292…
05-10 03:45:09	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf83a48…
05-10 03:38:44	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x22dae6…
05-10 03:33:17	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xea4d1d…
05-10 03:16:01	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x88abbd…
05-10 02:49:04	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x548a81…
05-10 02:25:03	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa0ea90…
05-10 02:14:33	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd76ff5…
05-10 01:57:31	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4ca060…
05-09 22:38:52	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marco Tulio	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa334ce…
05-09 22:10:14	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	William Gomis	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x193bd5…
05-09 21:18:31	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Clayton Carpenter	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xce2f05…
05-09 21:18:27	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Clayton Carpenter	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xdc83fd…
05-09 21:14:45	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Clayton Carpenter	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x9fe831…
05-02 06:18:44	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tim Elliott	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x5522dd…
04-26 02:43:42	UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	Youssef Zalal	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xeb287e…
04-26 02:43:36	UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	Youssef Zalal	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x85f7fb…
04-26 02:22:40	UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Norma Dumont	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x604aa3…
04-26 02:04:02	UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)	Rafa Garcia	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xc0512a…
04-26 01:04:06	UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)	Rafa Garcia	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0xb013c9…
04-26 00:46:58	UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Montel Jackson	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x32f95f…
04-26 00:25:12	UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ryan Spann	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x03711d…
04-26 00:17:30	UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ryan Spann	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeb6153…
04-25 22:03:40	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x46b4b0…
04-25 22:01:22	UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)	Victor Valenzuela	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd478a4…
04-25 21:37:10	UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)	Victor Valenzuela	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe54f57…
04-25 21:18:08	UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Julia Polastri	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xffb1e3…
04-25 21:18:02	UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Julia Polastri	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xe0d4dc…
04-19 01:28:56	ufc kyl5 cha3 2026 04 18	Kyler Phillips	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd0d77b…
04-19 01:12:56	ufc man17 jai2 2026 04 18	Mandel Nallo	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0xa9c2e4…
04-19 01:11:42	ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18	Jasmine Jasudavicius	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa69fea…
04-19 01:02:04	ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18	Jasmine Jasudavicius	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x6cb5b9…
04-19 00:41:54	ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18	Jasmine Jasudavicius	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xe4def1…
04-19 00:30:46	ufc thi2 gau 2026 04 18	Gauge Young	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x17fe7b…
04-19 00:28:28	ufc thi2 gau 2026 04 18	Gauge Young	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x25efe6…
04-18 23:44:56	ufc thi2 gau 2026 04 18	Gauge Young	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x52e12d…
04-18 23:19:48	ufc den2 mar91 2026 04 18 totals 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc51fa8…
04-18 23:16:06	ufc rob19 julleb 2026 04 18 totals 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbb778f…
04-18 23:08:08	ufc tan goksar 2026 04 18	Gokhan Saricam	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2988a7…
04-18 22:54:04	ufc rob19 julleb 2026 04 18	Julien LeBlanc	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcbbd7c…