Understated-Climate — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,045 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$24.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-06 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% -$248

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 6 7am et	7	$415	228	228	+0	Down	+$37	02-06 13:00
bitcoin up or down february 4 2am et	6	$406	237	237	+0	Down	+$64	02-04 07:58
ethereum up or down february 4 3am et	3	$380	297	297	+0	Down	-$90	02-04 08:47
ethereum up or down january 14 7am et	2	$347	182	182	+0	Up	+$15	01-14 12:51
ethereum up or down february 6 9pm et	9	$338	179	179	+0	Down	+$16	02-07 02:59
solana up or down february 6 6am et	11	$329	190	190	+0	Up	+$49	02-06 11:59
ethereum up or down february 4 12am et	2	$327	173	173	+0	Down	+$15	02-04 05:54
bitcoin up or down january 15 7am et	15	$322	165	165	+0	Up	+$6	01-15 12:52
solana up or down january 27 2am et	4	$322	167	167	+0	Up	+$10	01-27 07:56
bitcoin up or down january 14 6am et	2	$319	168	168	+0	Down	+$13	01-14 11:51
bitcoin up or down february 4 5am et	2	$312	169	169	+0	Up	+$22	02-04 10:55
solana up or down january 15 5am et	11	$306	168	168	+0	Down	+$28	01-15 10:59
bitcoin up or down january 26 11pm et	4	$302	165	165	+0	Down	+$26	01-27 04:57
xrp up or down january 14 5am et	19	$301	154	154	+0	Down	+$5	01-14 10:53
bitcoin up or down february 3 11pm et	13	$291	155	155	+0	Down	+$18	02-04 04:57
solana up or down february 7 8am et	2	$277	149	149	+0	Down	+$21	02-07 14:42
solana up or down january 14 12pm et	2	$271	146	146	+0	Down	+$17	01-14 17:53
ethereum up or down february 7 4am et	5	$268	147	147	+0	Down	+$24	02-07 09:58
bitcoin up or down february 7 6am et	5	$267	203	203	+0	Down	-$10	02-07 11:58
xrp up or down february 7 1am et	2	$262	242	242	+0	Down	-$47	02-07 06:47
bitcoin up or down february 3 7am et	12	$261	138	138	+0	Up	+$15	02-03 12:55
bitcoin up or down january 15 8am et	8	$252	180	180	+0	Down	-$73	01-15 13:49
ethereum up or down january 26 8am et	12	$248	133	133	+0	Up	+$17	01-26 13:58
bitcoin up or down january 14 4am et	2	$246	132	132	+0	Up	+$15	01-14 09:56
bitcoin up or down january 14 12am et	2	$242	134	134	+0	Down	+$24	01-14 05:55
bitcoin up or down january 27 8pm et	2	$238	184	184	+0	Down	-$88	01-28 01:54
bitcoin up or down january 25 8am et	2	$237	140	140	+0	Up	+$41	01-25 13:53
xrp up or down february 9 7pm et	2	$234	204	204	+0	Up	-$46	02-10 00:47
solana up or down february 3 6am et	3	$231	124	124	+0	Up	+$15	02-03 11:59
bitcoin up or down january 26 7am et	2	$225	121	121	+0	Down	+$16	01-26 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 10:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe81154…
05-06 10:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x38e356…
05-06 09:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xca1db8…
05-06 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9434d5…
03-24 12:53:03	ethereum up or down march 24 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$7	0xa9dd5c…
03-24 12:53:01	ethereum up or down march 24 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x79b03f…
03-24 12:45:35	ethereum up or down march 24 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x450dc0…
03-23 04:52:29	ethereum up or down march 23 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xf08992…
03-23 04:45:35	ethereum up or down march 23 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0xb675f1…
03-22 20:45:29	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	98	90¢	$88	0x8c2e95…
03-22 17:57:55	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x1f75e8…
03-22 17:45:29	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	94	92¢	$86	0xa873d5…
03-22 16:41:41	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd2c38f…
03-22 15:58:21	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x34d5ee…
03-22 15:45:35	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	95	83¢	$79	0x779b8b…
03-22 07:31:01	ethereum up or down march 22 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x88beab…
03-22 05:46:17	ethereum up or down march 22 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	87	85¢	$74	0x1fc5dd…
03-22 05:45:33	ethereum up or down march 22 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	89	92¢	$82	0xf78cd6…
03-21 09:47:23	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	70	76¢	$54	0x3b4341…
03-21 09:45:29	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	72	73¢	$52	0xa6b708…
03-21 00:47:31	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	61	85¢	$52	0x65878a…
03-21 00:45:29	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	63	83¢	$52	0x1087b9…
03-19 06:47:45	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	59	90¢	$53	0x19f5bb…
03-19 06:45:31	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x2d5f8b…
03-18 01:51:03	ethereum up or down march 17 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0xdf9098…
03-18 01:45:37	ethereum up or down march 17 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x350039…
03-17 19:49:29	ethereum up or down march 17 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	53	95¢	$51	0xf61193…
03-17 19:45:55	ethereum up or down march 17 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0xee994e…
03-17 12:51:35	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xadf5f6…
03-17 12:51:33	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x905a2e…
03-17 12:51:33	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x04dd8f…
03-17 12:51:27	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x75a210…
03-17 12:45:37	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	52	92¢	$47	0xaad568…
03-15 17:54:49	bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa692e6…
03-15 17:45:33	bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xed4b59…
03-14 17:53:33	bitcoin up or down march 14 12pm et	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd1020b…
03-14 16:53:37	bitcoin up or down march 14 12pm et	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xba8464…
03-14 16:45:35	bitcoin up or down march 14 12pm et	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$19	0x090ee9…
03-14 13:45:31	bitcoin up or down march 14 9am et	Up	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0xc31404…
03-14 01:51:43	ethereum up or down march 13 9pm et	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xcffd08…
03-14 01:51:39	ethereum up or down march 13 9pm et	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xda9b4f…
03-14 01:51:39	ethereum up or down march 13 9pm et	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8dd91c…
03-14 01:45:37	ethereum up or down march 13 9pm et	Up	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xdbdf62…
03-13 23:50:09	bitcoin up or down march 13 7pm et	Up	SELL	40	94¢	$37	0x772e7e…
03-13 23:45:31	bitcoin up or down march 13 7pm et	Up	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x771478…
03-13 20:52:27	bitcoin up or down march 13 4pm et	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x62edce…
03-13 20:45:33	bitcoin up or down march 13 4pm et	Up	BUY	41	84¢	$34	0xe36205…
03-13 13:36:09	bitcoin up or down march 13 7am et	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8fc7ac…
03-13 11:49:43	bitcoin up or down march 13 7am et	Down	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x8e55b3…
03-13 11:45:37	bitcoin up or down march 13 7am et	Down	BUY	38	86¢	$32	0x9bb87a…
03-13 03:45:37	solana up or down march 12 11pm et	Up	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xd97d79…
03-12 21:48:03	bitcoin up or down march 12 5pm et	Up	SELL	17	87¢	$14	0x6538ac…
03-12 21:45:35	bitcoin up or down march 12 5pm et	Up	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x139981…
03-12 13:53:23	bitcoin up or down march 12 9am et	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xadd6c2…
03-12 13:45:35	bitcoin up or down march 12 9am et	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$13	0x19f274…
03-12 05:58:33	bitcoin up or down march 12 1am et	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xf6598e…
03-12 05:45:33	bitcoin up or down march 12 1am et	Up	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x762642…
03-12 01:45:07	bitcoin up or down march 11 8pm et	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7a8f3b…
03-12 00:45:37	bitcoin up or down march 11 8pm et	Up	BUY	16	67¢	$10	0x6397d7…
03-11 21:45:33	bitcoin up or down march 11 5pm et	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0e2310…
03-11 20:54:05	bitcoin up or down march 11 3pm et	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf79b30…
03-11 19:45:33	bitcoin up or down march 11 3pm et	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x8b468b…
03-11 12:51:35	bitcoin up or down march 11 8am et	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x69e2f7…
03-11 12:45:39	bitcoin up or down march 11 8am et	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x46b159…
03-11 10:38:53	bitcoin up or down march 11 5am et	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdcbdb9…
03-11 09:45:37	bitcoin up or down march 11 5am et	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xc22150…
03-11 08:46:43	bitcoin up or down march 11 4am et	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x63d693…
03-11 08:45:39	bitcoin up or down march 11 4am et	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x124118…
03-11 07:37:49	ethereum up or down march 11 2am et	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc6989e…
03-11 06:45:37	ethereum up or down march 11 2am et	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x4b7d21…
03-11 00:45:55	ethereum up or down march 10 8pm et	Down	BUY	37	83¢	$31	0x677ae1…
03-11 00:45:33	bitcoin up or down march 10 8pm et	Down	BUY	53	58¢	$31	0x84694e…
03-09 02:35:03	ethereum up or down march 8 10pm et	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x21c6f7…
03-09 02:34:01	ethereum up or down march 8 10pm et	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x049648…
03-09 02:30:45	solana up or down march 8 10pm et	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x546c70…
03-09 02:30:23	solana up or down march 8 10pm et	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x32a58d…
03-09 01:32:53	ethereum up or down march 8 9pm et	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xbc9cdb…
03-09 01:32:07	ethereum up or down march 8 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x247b23…
03-08 23:34:27	ethereum up or down march 8 7pm et	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xb8b9d2…
03-08 23:30:49	ethereum up or down march 8 7pm et	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x51ebe9…
03-08 21:46:53	ethereum up or down march 8 5pm et	Down	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0xc73deb…
03-08 21:45:51	ethereum up or down march 8 5pm et	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x844778…
03-08 21:38:33	xrp up or down march 8 5pm et	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xc6e7cd…
03-08 21:22:57	xrp up or down march 8 5pm et	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x929eb6…
03-08 21:22:33	xrp up or down march 8 5pm et	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x902161…
03-08 21:20:35	xrp up or down march 8 5pm et	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x7dd8a3…
03-08 20:46:05	bitcoin up or down march 8 4pm et	Down	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x10ed01…
03-08 20:33:05	bitcoin up or down march 8 4pm et	Down	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x2eb273…
03-08 20:30:41	bitcoin up or down march 8 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x56652b…
03-08 20:30:01	bitcoin up or down march 8 4pm et	Down	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xc0ad4d…
03-08 20:25:19	bitcoin up or down march 8 4pm et	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xc4c08b…
03-08 20:24:37	bitcoin up or down march 8 4pm et	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x3b22c3…
03-08 20:23:25	bitcoin up or down march 8 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xe563e4…
03-08 19:46:07	bitcoin up or down march 8 3pm et	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9ee08b…
03-08 19:22:13	bitcoin up or down march 8 3pm et	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xfe601d…
03-08 19:20:37	bitcoin up or down march 8 3pm et	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x252cb6…
03-08 19:05:07	bitcoin up or down march 8 1pm et	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd6d0a9…
03-08 19:04:59	xrp up or down march 8 1pm et	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5e9f7b…
03-08 19:04:51	ethereum up or down march 8 2pm et	Down	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5e0982…
03-08 19:04:43	bitcoin up or down march 8 2pm et	Down	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x517255…