Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

107

Trades

327

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$256

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-27 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 41% -$74

Other

28% 80% -$1

Sports

11% 75% +$61

Politics

8% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+74	$54	78¢	$57	+$3	10-27 09:10
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	No	—	+76	$43	54¢	$41	-$2	10-27 04:04
nba det nyk 2026 10 27 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	—	+70	$36	52¢	$37	+$0	10-27 09:56
Iran leadership change by November 30?	No		+39	$36	92¢	$36	$0	10-27 14:16
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+39	$36	92¢	$36	$0	10-27 14:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes		+20	$20	96¢	$20	+$0	10-27 09:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+26	$17	66¢	$17	$0	10-27 09:56
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		+14	$12	86¢	$12	+$0	10-27 06:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	25	$266	204	152	+52	Yes	+$14	10-27 01:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:00 UTC	6	$242	144	144	+1	Up	+$3	02-04 19:04
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	6	$103	76	38	+38	Yes	+$11	10-26 21:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 18:30 UTC	2	$57	43	43	+1	Up	+$17	02-04 18:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$54	74	0	+74	open	—	10-27 09:10
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	4	$45	47	0	+47	open	—	10-27 13:49
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?	4	$45	48	0	+48	open	—	10-27 13:49
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	3	$43	76	0	+76	open	—	10-27 04:04
nba det nyk 2026 10 27 spread home 3pt5	3	$36	70	0	+70	open	—	10-27 09:56
Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5	3	$36	68	0	+68	Under	+$32	10-26 22:16
Iran leadership change by November 30?	3	$36	39	0	+39	open	—	10-27 14:16
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	2	$36	38	0	+38	Yes	+$2	10-27 01:31
Oregon State vs. Fresno State	3	$36	52	0	+52	open	—	10-27 14:16
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	3	$36	39	0	+39	open	—	10-27 14:16
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-26?	2	$30	43	0	+43	Yes	-$30	10-26 22:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 19:30 UTC	3	$29	29	22	+7	Down	-$1	02-05 19:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:00 UTC	3	$28	53	15	+39	Down	-$1	02-04 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:45 UTC	2	$27	21	21	+0	Up	+$8	02-04 19:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:15 UTC	1	$27	42	0	+42	Up	+$15	02-04 20:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 05:15 UTC	3	$27	33	11	+22	Down	+$3	02-05 05:18
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	2	$24	45	0	+45	Timberwolves	+$21	10-26 21:42
Pacers vs. Bucks	2	$24	40	0	+40	Bucks	-$24	10-26 23:53
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$24	19	19	+0	Down	+$12	10-03 18:12
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	5	$23	32	32	+0	Up	+$7	10-03 17:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:15 UTC	1	$21	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	02-04 17:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	10-27 09:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:15 UTC	6	$19	21	21	+0	Down	-$9	02-03 18:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 19:45 UTC	2	$18	61	0	+61	Down	-$18	02-05 19:49
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$17	26	0	+26	open	—	10-27 09:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:00 UTC	3	$17	26	7	+18	Down	-$13	02-04 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:16:59	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xd293a3…
10-27 14:16:59	Oregon State vs. Fresno State	Oregon State	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x073ae8…
10-27 14:16:57	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xcf97b2…
10-27 13:49:15	Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x56e369…
10-27 13:49:12	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xd4dada…
10-27 09:57:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xfdd62d…
10-27 09:57:00	Spread: Duke (-7.5)	Boston College	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x0543d4…
10-27 09:56:59	Spread: Knicks (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xfe1318…
10-27 09:56:59	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x1a775a…
10-27 09:56:57	Oregon State vs. Fresno State	Oregon State	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x8b44be…
10-27 09:56:57	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x7b9070…
10-27 09:56:57	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x312d91…
10-27 09:56:56	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x17d2ef…
10-27 09:10:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x391bad…
10-27 09:10:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0xf3e12c…
10-27 06:56:50	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x6db7e9…
10-27 06:56:35	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x3b9f4a…
10-27 04:04:54	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x3cfdb2…
10-27 04:04:51	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	33	56¢	$18	0xa483ae…
10-27 04:04:51	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x07f7a2…
10-27 03:18:03	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x002586…
10-27 02:09:56	nba det nyk 2026 10 27 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xd981b0…
10-27 02:08:15	nba det nyk 2026 10 27 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xb125a0…
10-27 01:31:14	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xf97bc5…
10-27 01:31:12	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x9f44cd…
10-27 01:03:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa15213…
10-27 00:34:50	Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x52217f…
10-27 00:34:45	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xe2e5d3…
10-27 00:34:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0xc97bf1…
10-26 23:53:20	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x78741b…
10-26 23:51:27	Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xe95ed8…
10-26 23:29:12	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1ed214…
10-26 22:49:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xe411fc…
10-26 22:47:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0x19fff4…
10-26 22:38:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xe7827a…
10-26 22:38:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xc067cf…
10-26 22:37:29	Spread: Pacers (-4.5)	Bucks	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x3acdf0…
10-26 22:33:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xfbbd61…
10-26 22:31:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x0325d6…
10-26 22:30:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xdb1ec5…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x9cd2de…
10-26 22:27:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x5f1de3…
10-26 22:26:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x7efa79…
10-26 22:16:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xcae6a0…
10-26 22:16:12	Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xfcc49c…
10-26 22:16:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xf0df52…
10-26 22:14:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x5c8ffa…
10-26 22:14:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x982ff6…
10-26 22:13:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	64	77¢	$49	0xd142eb…
10-26 22:07:26	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xa0d267…
10-26 22:07:26	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0x1150f8…
10-26 22:02:54	Oregon State vs. Fresno State	Oregon State	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xfe28e0…
10-26 21:51:29	Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xb99b2e…
10-26 21:49:02	Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xb9f055…
10-26 21:46:35	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x7600e6…
10-26 21:43:20	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5	Over	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x9f7040…
10-26 21:43:17	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xb45f88…
10-26 21:42:50	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x454152…
10-26 21:42:48	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0xe8c99e…
10-26 21:20:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x7e52ce…
10-26 21:06:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x853262…
10-26 21:05:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x41176f…
10-26 21:05:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf7aaee…
10-26 21:05:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf6fe58…
10-26 21:02:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0xd4af54…
10-26 20:53:38	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xe4c9f8…
10-26 20:53:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x86d244…
10-26 20:40:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xa3674c…
10-26 20:40:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x94920d…
10-26 20:40:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xa68996…
10-26 20:40:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x923830…
10-26 20:40:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xfd9375…
10-26 20:40:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xacad05…
10-26 20:40:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x967cac…
10-26 20:40:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x475935…
10-26 20:40:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xc4923c…
10-26 20:40:27	Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xb3aec2…
10-26 20:40:27	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x7b7f1d…
10-26 20:36:09	Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x974a57…
10-26 20:36:08	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfed855…
10-26 20:36:08	Frosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf30257…
10-26 20:36:08	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xf1e792…
10-26 20:36:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xe3aa85…
10-26 20:36:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x83a08d…
10-26 20:35:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8d13c2…
10-25 19:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xec5277…
10-04 07:54:01	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xad7833…
10-04 07:52:52	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x4e4917…
10-04 07:51:59	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x38a7f9…
10-04 07:49:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4988be…
10-04 07:01:37	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf579a0…
10-04 07:00:28	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x252fbc…
10-04 07:00:25	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x25fd84…
10-04 07:00:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3ae559…
10-04 06:53:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x8bb8d1…
10-04 06:53:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x8044e0…
10-04 06:46:07	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc670de…
10-04 06:46:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa0472c…
10-04 06:45:31	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf62f56…
10-04 06:45:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x71728e…