Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
-$106
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
40
lifetime
Volume
$4.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$113
Open exposure
$2.36K
9 positions
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-07 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
98% 100% +$20
Politics
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? Yes +959 $800 81¢ $776 -$24 11-04 18:32
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? No +600 $538 97¢ $581 +$42 11-06 01:45
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? No -600 -$253 68¢ $-408 -$155 11-07 02:52
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026? Yes +716 $280 43¢ $308 +$28 11-07 06:24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +82 $79 96¢ $79 +$0 11-05 00:08
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? Yes +89 $64 72¢ $65 +$0 11-06 06:21
Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026? Yes +119 $50 48¢ $58 +$8 11-07 06:37
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? No -200 -$77 28¢ $-55 +$22 11-05 00:04
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +80 $54 32¢ $26 -$28 11-06 15:59