Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$194

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 10-05 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

69% 46% -$41

Politics

18% 60% -$5

Crypto

11% 25% +$14

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?	2	$9	10	+10	Yes	+$2	09-30 15:58
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?	2	$7	67	+67	No	-$7	09-30 18:02
will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 150k	2	$7	80	+80	Yes	-$7	09-30 17:28
Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	2	$7	7	+7	Yes	+$0	09-30 14:31
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	1	$5	98	+98	Yes	-$5	09-29 19:25
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$1	09-29 15:53
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	1	$5	340	+340	No	-$5	09-29 19:25
spx up or down on september 29 2026	1	$5	13	+13	Down	+$8	09-29 13:23
Democratic Senate odds 64%+ on October 2?	1	$5	6	+6	No	+$1	09-29 13:50
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$1	09-29 16:00
Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-29 18:06
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?	1	$4	5	+5	Yes	+$1	10-02 17:20
Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?	1	$4	9	+9	No	+$4	10-02 18:44
Meta (META) Up or Down on October 2?	1	$4	19	+19	Up	-$4	10-02 18:06
Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be below G1?	1	$4	6	+6	Yes	+$2	10-02 13:50
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	1	$4	13	+13	No	-$4	10-02 16:01
Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?	1	$4	30	+30	No	-$4	10-02 16:35
Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	10-02 13:05
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?	1	$4	45	+45	No	-$4	10-02 15:18
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	1	$4	5	+5	Yes	+$1	09-30 15:10
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 2, 2026?	1	$4	17	+17	No	-$4	09-30 13:07
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	2	$4	17	+17	Yes	+$13	10-04 13:48
Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	1	$4	6	+6	Yes	+$2	09-30 13:52
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	1	$4	6	+6	No	-$4	09-29 18:47
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 5?	1	$4	7	+7	Up	-$4	10-05 15:56
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	10-05 15:15
will verity score at least 34 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$3	4	+4	No	+$0	10-05 13:49
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 5?	1	$3	19	+19	No	+$16	10-05 13:05
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	1	$3	10	+10	BIG	-$3	09-29 15:13
Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	1	$3	3	+3	Yes	+$0	10-02 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 15:56:11	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xf9423b…
10-05 15:15:29	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x11c765…
10-05 13:49:11	will verity score at least 34 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0437c6…
10-05 13:48:37	will verity score at least 34 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x89e5d9…
10-05 13:05:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 5?	No	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x2660a7…
10-04 18:03:53	Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x63da22…
10-04 16:39:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x8b5e8b…
10-04 15:52:26	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x4f4d76…
10-04 15:10:10	Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x1bd11c…
10-04 14:37:17	Will "Digger" score at least 53 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x95a558…
10-04 13:48:05	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x93314f…
10-04 13:06:25	Will OpenRouter process 170T or more tokens the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb71be8…
10-03 18:40:35	Will the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x42014e…
10-03 17:21:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x21074a…
10-03 15:53:33	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xc7224c…
10-03 15:16:17	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x32e37f…
10-03 14:29:47	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xb2bab5…
10-03 13:54:44	Will OpenRouter process between 160T and 165T tokens the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xb03202…
10-03 13:08:32	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x80eea6…
10-02 19:25:38	Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x0cb60b…
10-02 18:44:27	Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x544879…
10-02 18:06:06	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xaa9fc6…
10-02 17:20:53	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x203922…
10-02 16:35:57	Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x4cd4d5…
10-02 16:01:44	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xaab572…
10-02 15:18:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0xf5701c…
10-02 13:50:12	Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be below G1?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xdd6466…
10-02 13:05:06	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x681159…
09-30 19:25:27	will ethereum dip to 2650 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1581d9…
09-30 19:24:50	hype up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4922cb…
09-30 18:41:29	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x829a2c…
09-30 18:41:15	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$3	0x39cfba…
09-30 18:02:59	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x6ef646…
09-30 17:28:21	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x2673f1…
09-30 17:28:05	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 150k	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xb9bb22…
09-30 16:46:53	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in September?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x571e1d…
09-30 16:46:51	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 in September?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xb29a4f…
09-30 15:58:09	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xa2aa4c…
09-30 15:10:54	Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf68aa3…
09-30 14:31:05	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x794d86…
09-30 14:31:03	Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x427abe…
09-30 13:52:03	Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x9ca1c8…
09-30 13:07:42	Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xee85c6…
09-29 19:25:30	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	No	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x9afb1f…
09-29 19:25:17	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	Yes	BUY	340	1¢	$5	0xb8cf2b…
09-29 18:47:36	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x1f5677…
09-29 18:47:35	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	38	9¢	$3	0xb51364…
09-29 18:45:26	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September?	No	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x664094…
09-29 18:06:30	Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x66f587…
09-29 18:06:17	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 150k	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x69fa0e…
09-29 16:44:57	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xa94ddf…
09-29 16:44:54	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x43a0ca…
09-29 16:40:17	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x93288d…
09-29 16:00:05	Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x054722…
09-29 15:53:56	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x73be8f…
09-29 15:13:47	r6siege tyloo pozy 2026 10 02	POZY	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xfb4f49…
09-29 15:13:45	Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x59dd99…
09-29 15:08:51	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf50d8d…
09-29 13:50:17	Will Trump's approval rating be between 36.5 and 36.9 on October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xde0a05…
09-29 13:50:15	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x49e1aa…
09-29 13:50:12	Democratic Senate odds 64%+ on October 2?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdbcca8…
09-29 13:24:26	will bitcoin reach 85k on september 29 2026	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb02c2f…
09-29 13:24:23	spy up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xefa863…
09-29 13:23:15	spx up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xd01517…