Questionable-Column — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

291

Trades

595

lifetime

Volume

$6.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-29 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

92% 59% +$70

Politics

4% 67% +$8

Crypto

3% 53% +$2

Sports

0% 83% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+4	$1	31¢	$1	+$0	10-28 02:51
Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe		+12	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-29 16:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	4	$197	101	101	+0	No	+$4	01-27 14:18
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	8	$167	85	85	+0	No	+$3	02-13 08:01
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	6	$166	85	85	+0	No	+$4	04-05 20:16
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 140 164	6	$113	62	62	+0	No	+$3	01-31 16:00
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	2	$111	56	56	+0	No	+$0	01-26 18:29
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	3	$109	57	57	+0	No	+$5	03-20 11:22
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 40 64	2	$107	54	54	+0	No	-$1	01-24 22:26
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 320 339	3	$106	54	54	+0	No	+$0	01-25 07:33
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	2	$106	54	54	+0	No	+$2	01-24 17:03
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 440 459	2	$104	53	53	+0	No	+$2	01-23 07:51
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 100 119	2	$103	53	53	+0	No	+$2	04-19 15:41
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 90 114	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	$0	01-23 04:28
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 40 64	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	01-22 19:59
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 0 39	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	01-22 04:55
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	5	$100	53	53	+0	No	+$3	03-02 15:32
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 80 99	2	$96	55	54	+0	No	+$6	04-18 02:32
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 40 64	5	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$3	02-23 10:51
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 0 39	6	$93	59	59	+0	No	+$1	02-20 08:36
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	3	$93	48	48	+0	No	+$2	02-17 16:15
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	2	$93	48	48	+0	No	+$1	01-29 09:02
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	6	$92	48	48	+0	No	+$4	01-26 09:21
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 420 439	5	$92	49	49	+0	No	-$4	01-29 21:20
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	6	$91	73	73	+0	Yes	-$1	02-12 17:30
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	4	$91	47	47	+0	No	+$2	02-19 18:09
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	4	$90	49	49	+0	No	+$8	04-06 11:19
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	3	$86	51	51	+0	No	-$3	03-21 01:59
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	2	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$1	03-12 01:29
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 90 114	2	$84	43	43	+0	No	+$1	02-14 10:20
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114	3	$80	36	46	-10	No	+$1	01-28 17:26
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	7	$80	55	55	+0	Yes	-$14	01-27 05:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:48:49	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9ebcea…
10-29 16:56:58	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf87d6b…
10-29 14:13:22	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x349b1e…
10-29 11:53:43	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x9bdc5e…
10-28 16:01:26	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x985578…
10-28 14:41:11	Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud	Nuno Borges	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x85a43a…
10-28 14:40:44	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x718dda…
10-28 02:51:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xad9563…
10-27 17:03:44	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x46256d…
10-27 17:03:20	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6e78e0…
10-27 14:52:41	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x771f5c…
10-27 14:45:18	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xc29275…
10-27 10:28:15	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xce98a9…
10-27 01:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbb16b5…
10-27 01:25:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb98b28…
10-27 01:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x70fd2f…
10-27 01:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x32b6a5…
10-27 01:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xac2cc7…
10-27 01:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xfd595e…
10-27 01:05:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9a9698…
10-27 00:44:57	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x261ce4…
10-27 00:42:44	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x10c0a1…
10-27 00:36:42	Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xea74c0…
10-26 23:25:20	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x53a41a…
10-26 20:33:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd14b73…
10-26 06:29:20	Seoul: Marin Cilic vs Zhizhen Zhang	Zhizhen Zhang	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf42be4…
10-25 14:57:27	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x6deac4…
10-25 11:21:47	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6a4bc3…
10-25 10:01:57	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x426838…
10-25 09:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7f0882…
10-24 03:06:53	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x88bea1…
10-23 02:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x5b9adc…
10-22 13:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa6cb41…
10-22 13:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x917b0a…
10-22 13:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xb795e8…
10-22 13:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$2	0xe2b0f4…
10-22 01:10:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x03894f…
10-22 01:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6665ad…
10-22 01:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x81acfd…
10-21 20:01:15	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa3db46…
10-20 22:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2d44bc…
10-20 20:29:51	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfdf0cd…
10-20 20:28:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd42007…
10-20 13:32:45	Lyon Open: Arthur Fery vs Borna Gojo	Arthur Fery	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x872dd5…
10-20 13:32:06	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdc92ce…
10-20 12:14:41	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	Pakistan	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd71244…
10-19 06:08:41	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb3d83d…
10-19 02:37:47	World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs West Indies Champions	West Indies Champions	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x88497f…
10-18 15:25:39	World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs West Indies Champions	West Indies Champions	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x79f17e…
10-18 08:18:21	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcfd132…
10-17 16:52:48	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	India	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xae6b61…
10-17 16:51:29	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Bangladesh vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0168f2…
10-17 15:36:53	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	India	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7bb2bd…
10-16 13:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x93cee5…
10-14 15:38:45	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x07e500…
10-14 12:30:45	cricwcl eng aus 2026 10 14	Australia Champions	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe22eec…
10-13 22:41:16	Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs Namibia	Namibia	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x04b77c…
10-13 17:40:22	Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs Namibia	Namibia	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4e0363…
08-07 02:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0cf5bf…
08-07 01:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x90ab12…
08-06 14:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x2af6cf…
08-06 11:01:23	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0655b1…
08-06 00:11:57	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xad31a1…
08-06 00:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x95fff4…
08-06 00:09:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3daf5b…
08-06 00:07:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xaac7b9…
08-06 00:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x2608d6…
08-05 02:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdd81f0…
08-05 02:06:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x8d0736…
08-05 02:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x44049d…
08-05 02:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb76a8d…
08-04 03:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7510fd…
08-04 02:45:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x5cf3e8…
08-04 02:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xfbe8b8…
08-04 02:44:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9b8255…
08-04 02:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaead23…
08-03 04:51:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x880c9e…
08-02 22:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2fa374…
08-02 22:15:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x8549be…
08-02 22:15:14	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x961ce8…
08-02 22:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xc5f4df…
08-02 22:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2957f0…
08-02 09:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xa30ce6…
08-02 00:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x5e9d56…
08-02 00:17:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x50cf46…
08-02 00:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb9b7bc…
08-02 00:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x21ba80…
08-01 15:09:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xfa133b…
08-01 15:07:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:05 UTC	Up	SELL	66	35¢	$23	0x779993…
08-01 15:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x182641…
07-31 00:37:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x40a158…
07-31 00:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf86041…
07-31 00:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x588043…
07-31 00:33:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x3c3b62…
07-30 16:54:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc9dcfa…
07-30 16:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2b4ae1…
07-30 09:56:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8bebea…
07-30 09:56:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1fa07a…
07-30 07:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9bdfd3…
07-30 07:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xddff0d…