Noteworthy-Paperback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.00K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

3,075

Trades

8,213

lifetime

Volume

$290.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 11-07 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 50% -$1,385

Other

6% 31% -$4,531

Sports

5% 47% -$843

Politics

0% 20% -$243

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:25 UTC	9	$6.1K	4,095	4,020	+76	Down	+$37	04-08 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:05 UTC	5	$4.4K	2,307	2,299	+8	Up	+$34	04-08 08:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:35 UTC	12	$2.2K	1,568	1,533	+35	Up	+$136	04-08 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:35 UTC	5	$2.0K	2,424	1,096	+1,328	Up	-$1,294	04-08 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:20 UTC	11	$1.7K	1,387	1,350	+37	Up	-$11	04-08 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:15 UTC	9	$1.5K	1,632	1,594	+38	Up	-$658	04-08 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 16:40 UTC	12	$1.5K	1,199	1,163	+36	Up	+$87	04-08 16:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:30 UTC	11	$1.4K	1,726	699	+1,026	Down	-$941	04-08 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:45 UTC	3	$1.3K	851	826	+25	Down	+$326	04-08 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:30 UTC	5	$1.2K	780	760	+20	Down	+$244	04-08 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:30 UTC	6	$1.2K	870	851	+19	Up	+$14	04-08 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 02:10 UTC	17	$1.2K	891	872	+19	Up	-$52	04-08 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 16:45 UTC	9	$1.2K	1,197	873	+324	Up	-$17	04-08 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:50 UTC	6	$1.2K	818	798	+20	Down	+$109	04-08 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 03:30 UTC	7	$1.1K	741	723	+17	Down	+$145	04-08 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:25 UTC	10	$1.1K	930	713	+218	Up	-$101	04-08 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:20 UTC	4	$1.1K	1,137	1,106	+31	Up	-$259	04-08 07:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 02:50 UTC	9	$1.1K	783	762	+21	Down	+$140	04-08 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:55 UTC	6	$1.1K	884	864	+20	Up	-$111	04-08 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:45 UTC	4	$1.1K	714	699	+15	Down	+$87	04-08 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:10 UTC	4	$1.1K	630	617	+13	Up	+$167	04-08 06:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:25 UTC	3	$1.0K	593	586	+7	Down	+$56	04-08 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:05 UTC	7	$1.0K	1,545	1,477	+68	Up	-$187	04-08 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:45 UTC	6	$997	633	616	+17	Up	+$214	04-07 23:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:40 UTC	4	$963	675	655	+20	Down	+$183	04-08 07:45
highest temperature in los angeles on april 13 2026 66 67f	73	$958	650	649	+1	Yes	+$326	04-13 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:10 UTC	4	$957	594	580	+14	Down	+$171	04-08 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:05 UTC	5	$932	543	533	+10	Up	+$134	04-08 06:10
highest temperature in san francisco on april 11 2026 62 63f	19	$887	510	507	+3	No	+$129	04-12 04:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:35 UTC	6	$880	742	717	+25	Up	+$92	04-08 06:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 02:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x5ced46…
11-07 02:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	44	81¢	$36	0xa3de49…
11-07 02:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x56160c…
11-07 02:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xefe8e1…
11-07 02:26:00	76ers vs. Cavaliers	76ers	SELL	110	26¢	$28	0x57d035…
11-07 02:25:25	76ers vs. Cavaliers	76ers	SELL	40	26¢	$11	0x066ea6…
11-07 02:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x08c1bf…
11-07 02:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x702c84…
11-07 02:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x6ed78d…
11-07 02:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xf28e20…
11-07 02:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x4a35df…
11-07 02:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x44e84f…
11-07 02:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xd8e97f…
11-07 02:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x767a83…
11-07 02:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1633b7…
11-07 02:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x2df1b6…
11-07 02:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xccdc6e…
11-07 02:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0xfbff62…
11-07 01:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x280f0b…
11-07 01:59:22	76ers vs. Cavaliers	76ers	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x26d97d…
11-07 01:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x957b30…
11-07 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x828fa1…
11-07 00:18:48	76ers vs. Cavaliers	76ers	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xae1770…
11-06 09:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x919700…
11-06 09:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4e225c…
11-06 09:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0xa5ad77…
11-06 09:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x5b1798…
11-06 09:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	74¢	$15	0x7de8cc…
11-06 09:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x39649b…
11-06 09:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x227818…
11-06 07:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0x1c0c23…
11-06 07:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x8fd554…
11-06 07:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x6f05ab…
11-06 07:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x3ebc84…
11-06 07:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb55aa1…
11-06 07:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x2329e2…
11-06 07:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x8b8ef6…
11-06 07:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	184	32¢	$59	0x042fdc…
11-06 06:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x28727b…
11-06 06:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xe48a83…
11-06 06:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0xe722f3…
11-06 06:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x6b7844…
11-06 06:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x13e55e…
11-06 06:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	33	55¢	$18	0xfd181f…
11-06 06:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0x856f74…
11-06 06:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8a5df7…
11-06 06:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x88b40a…
11-06 06:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc6200d…
11-06 06:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xed11a6…
11-06 06:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0x4dda2d…
11-06 06:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	33	69¢	$23	0x9b5650…
11-06 06:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x16996f…
11-06 06:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xdba6be…
11-06 06:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0xec9b88…
11-06 06:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x81c512…
11-06 06:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	46	16¢	$7	0x5d920b…
11-06 06:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	46	23¢	$11	0xa2ffdd…
11-06 06:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x12e4d0…
11-06 06:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x764dc0…
11-06 06:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x91fd35…
11-06 06:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x770470…
11-06 06:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	51	83¢	$43	0x39bab5…
11-06 06:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	79¢	$14	0xc87a5d…
11-06 06:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xcdcb58…
11-06 06:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0xfd1f58…
11-06 06:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe14cf7…
11-06 06:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	78	50¢	$39	0xb90717…
11-06 06:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xf696a1…
11-06 06:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x731bf1…
11-06 06:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x8ab8cb…
11-06 06:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x3a9cac…
11-06 06:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x56732c…
11-06 06:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4b09fb…
11-06 06:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	54	74¢	$40	0x82c4ba…
11-06 06:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa3d9bf…
11-06 06:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x675943…
11-06 06:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6061bc…
11-06 06:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xdad713…
11-06 06:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	59	80¢	$47	0x45bc0a…
11-06 05:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xd5326a…
11-06 05:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0x5a8c5b…
11-06 05:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x9d4f33…
11-06 04:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb569b3…
11-06 04:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc14b6b…
11-06 04:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0x240878…
11-06 04:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x977173…
11-06 04:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	44	53¢	$23	0x3d2938…
11-06 04:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x69f59f…
11-06 04:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x605769…
11-06 04:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x583f49…
11-06 04:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x126eb0…
11-06 04:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	35	54¢	$19	0xa68d10…
11-06 04:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x8d0fca…
11-06 04:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x22164d…
11-06 04:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x065b77…
11-06 04:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x983ad4…
11-06 04:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0x1ff436…
11-06 03:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x10419a…
11-06 03:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	41¢	$11	0x61e358…
11-06 03:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x4d57fa…