Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.64K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.3%

Resolved

1,355

Trades

1,362

lifetime

Volume

$4.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-06 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

43% 9% -$474

Crypto

37% 7% -$675

Politics

14% 8% -$389

Tech

5% 20% -$73

Sports

1% 5% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$66	2,570	400	+2,170	Yes	-$50	04-10 02:48
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	1	$51	5,450	0	+5,450	No	-$51	04-10 02:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	1	$50	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$50	04-10 03:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	1	$50	1,480	0	+1,480	No	-$50	04-10 03:07
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	718	0	+718	Yes	-$50	04-10 00:05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	1	$50	1,470	0	+1,470	No	-$50	04-10 05:15
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$50	1,930	0	+1,930	No	-$50	04-10 04:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	1,136	0	+1,136	No	-$50	04-10 02:34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	1	$50	3,215	0	+3,215	No	-$50	04-10 09:05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$50	1,132	0	+1,132	No	-$50	04-10 03:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$50	3,050	0	+3,050	No	-$50	04-10 06:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$50	1,960	0	+1,960	No	-$50	04-10 09:05
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$50	640	0	+640	No	-$50	04-10 04:34
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$50	2,170	0	+2,170	No	-$50	04-10 01:45
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-10 03:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$50	2,800	0	+2,800	No	-$50	04-10 06:51
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-10 03:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-10 03:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$50	1,610	0	+1,610	No	-$50	04-10 08:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$50	1,180	0	+1,180	No	-$50	04-10 03:23
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	1	$50	610	0	+610	No	-$50	04-10 00:05
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-10 03:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-10 03:29
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-10 09:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$50	690	0	+690	No	-$50	04-10 02:57
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	1	$50	630	0	+630	No	-$50	04-10 01:29
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$50	630	0	+630	Yes	-$50	04-10 08:35
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	1	$49	420	0	+420	No	-$49	04-10 00:05
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	3	$26	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 07:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4?	2	$9	62	62	+0	No	-$1	06-03 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 08:26:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf95b89…
10-06 08:26:01	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x24f389…
10-01 21:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xdbe1f4…
10-01 20:52:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xeaf245…
10-01 20:01:57	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xcbe4c7…
10-01 18:46:47	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x4e2df6…
10-01 16:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xad31d9…
10-01 12:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1ac3e0…
09-30 22:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc60ee7…
09-30 17:54:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x822c49…
09-30 17:44:48	Will Lebanon win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x451cda…
09-30 17:14:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x7f208a…
09-30 16:49:36	Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x0af6f9…
09-30 16:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3e5ec6…
09-30 16:04:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x81cb18…
09-30 16:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x0af914…
09-30 15:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3eb957…
09-30 14:54:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x6c702e…
09-30 12:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x73d6c4…
09-30 11:28:57	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	No	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x48951e…
09-30 06:43:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x0cbe89…
09-30 04:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x38d504…
09-30 00:02:33	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 150k	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x33d8ba…
09-29 22:22:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd0c742…
09-29 20:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc5f536…
09-29 18:26:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xbdcf2d…
09-29 18:21:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x946ee4…
09-29 17:46:32	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf712c1…
09-29 16:06:20	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa1db7b…
09-29 14:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x35613e…
09-29 14:46:08	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x507eea…
09-29 14:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8e9ded…
09-29 12:30:50	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x31524e…
09-29 09:05:27	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x8cc4a2…
09-29 07:15:12	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x5e464d…
09-29 07:10:14	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xdd5da9…
09-29 05:55:02	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8a9731…
09-29 05:25:02	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x762880…
09-29 05:24:57	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xf9f275…
09-29 04:14:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x4e58d6…
09-29 04:09:47	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x8c5703…
09-29 04:04:51	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x121929…
09-29 04:04:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xaf0d4e…
09-29 03:59:42	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x755cb8…
09-29 00:04:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc08b16…
09-29 00:04:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xb5cf99…
09-28 20:53:38	Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x88163e…
09-28 17:53:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x929c45…
09-28 17:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xd60752…
09-28 16:02:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xb3253e…
09-28 16:02:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x1fc665…
09-28 15:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x0ae674…
09-28 11:57:39	Will Ethiopia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf0d0cb…
09-28 06:56:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4acb46…
09-28 04:36:18	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xf03700…
09-28 02:46:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x1bcb43…
09-27 23:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa2a811…
09-27 21:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x48544b…
09-27 19:15:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x59d42e…
09-27 17:39:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x92a376…
09-27 16:14:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x885d10…
09-27 13:29:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x6f3ae8…
09-27 12:59:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3bf3e7…
09-27 10:13:48	Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x09597e…
09-27 01:57:39	Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xffc17e…
09-26 19:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1bffa5…
09-26 17:11:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x822f5f…
09-26 14:26:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x5cf1b3…
09-26 12:45:57	Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xf01d7e…
09-26 12:10:53	Exact Score: Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xba04a0…
09-26 10:10:38	Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb08035…
09-26 05:44:53	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x596318…
09-26 03:59:39	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x30b3b0…
09-26 00:19:06	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x101b15…
09-26 00:14:06	Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe0e54c…
09-25 16:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe8447f…
09-25 15:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x30f18d…
09-25 15:37:51	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa006ad…
09-25 08:16:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa2bb80…
09-25 07:11:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x97616b…
09-25 05:41:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1bdbeb…
09-25 05:26:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf8cdba…
09-25 03:36:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x6cf8da…
09-24 20:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd6f51f…
09-24 16:04:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x884b03…
09-24 15:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x93d3c1…
09-24 10:43:54	Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xec03f0…
09-24 09:38:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x7cbdc8…
09-24 04:28:09	Will Trump say "Boeing" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xd4bd05…
09-24 00:02:31	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	No	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xbf9472…
09-23 22:12:17	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xfe94a4…
09-23 16:01:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0c2818…
09-23 16:01:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xbdb0bb…
09-23 00:14:16	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x5fb210…
09-22 15:58:18	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xbc7a4b…
09-22 13:42:58	Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x05fefd…
09-22 13:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc1a165…
09-22 13:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x477d0c…
09-22 09:57:28	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x38bf9e…
09-22 09:42:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x3c6401…