Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$85

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-12

last 10-14 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

80% 49% -$8

Politics

20% 75% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	08-14 16:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	2	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$1	09-11 15:28
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:47
will hood reach 120 by september 28 2026 from september 30	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-01 05:35
will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-14 01:34
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-10 20:31
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	09-16 03:33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-20 21:31
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-11 06:00
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-21 06:01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-10 04:45
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-21 22:06
will aapl reach 332 by august 31 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-31 00:13
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-05 10:01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 20:00
will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-05 00:34
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-17 03:57
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-06 01:49
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-14 15:26
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-09 20:15
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 09:26
will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-23 16:58
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-09 09:53
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-16 11:33
will ewy reach 190 in september 2026 from september 23	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-25 12:42
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-13 23:04
next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-31 11:21
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-14 07:05
will xagusd reach 63 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-28 22:31
will aapl reach 308 by august 17 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-17 19:39
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-08 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 01:34:49	will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2e576e…
10-10 04:45:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xba45aa…
10-09 20:15:44	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0d0a71…
10-09 09:53:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf07575…
10-09 01:00:06	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x56085e…
10-08 03:59:40	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb1cc6e…
10-07 17:52:51	will rklb reach 74 by october 5 2026 from october 7	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xca0991…
10-06 21:51:59	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x775e66…
10-06 01:49:41	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbd8a23…
10-05 15:29:59	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xad03ee…
10-05 10:01:29	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf98438…
10-05 00:34:58	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x904d15…
10-01 05:35:30	will hood reach 120 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5f5dc0…
09-29 08:23:14	will ewy reach 188 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x79d399…
09-28 22:31:42	will xagusd reach 63 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb51b9b…
09-27 21:46:42	will spy reach 780 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xab1e2c…
09-27 02:45:06	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4c161d…
09-26 09:26:30	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x31de6d…
09-25 12:42:14	will ewy reach 190 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x147318…
09-25 04:23:44	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb45a72…
09-24 19:55:18	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa4186b…
09-24 11:00:00	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa5d06e…
09-24 02:59:22	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x742258…
09-23 06:27:31	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x507a2b…
09-21 22:06:10	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7823da…
09-21 14:05:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xae9aaa…
09-21 06:01:45	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x00a1ca…
09-20 21:31:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb12132…
09-19 07:47:39	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb26898…
09-17 03:57:37	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa1c3f5…
09-16 19:53:34	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1704a0…
09-16 11:33:46	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2ea4bb…
09-16 03:33:24	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd2d2a7…
09-14 15:26:19	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9fdf35…
09-14 07:05:31	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5e495d…
09-13 23:04:00	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x85eedb…
09-11 15:28:22	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x745c27…
09-11 06:00:07	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x79591d…
09-10 20:31:54	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1d87c3…
09-10 08:24:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd68d6c…
09-09 20:00:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfeb8b4…
09-09 11:59:00	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x48270c…
09-09 02:07:43	Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3c3300…
09-08 12:57:28	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5e2f8d…
09-08 04:01:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe96d70…
09-04 00:37:30	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd09239…
09-03 12:15:19	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2eb758…
09-02 21:48:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xafdb23…
09-02 12:10:42	spy up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe9f47e…
09-02 00:16:21	will xauusd reach 4400 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf7e839…
09-01 11:29:55	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1d8969…
09-01 03:23:43	will pltr dip to 177 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf317a9…
08-31 19:23:30	Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4d0ffa…
08-31 11:21:53	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4a8250…
08-31 00:13:24	will aapl reach 332 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb73fab…
08-30 16:04:58	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf809e3…
08-30 07:03:43	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa166c0…
08-29 21:53:28	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc4714f…
08-29 13:52:03	will googl reach 350 in august 2026 from august 27	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4440dc…
08-29 03:59:04	will coin dip to 175 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd07d4e…
08-25 03:53:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x284149…
08-24 19:25:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf633c3…
08-24 19:25:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x07d671…
08-24 17:53:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7b92ed…
08-24 09:46:25	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $178 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x867e10…
08-24 01:44:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x899d87…
08-23 16:58:46	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x95d107…
08-21 08:13:21	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9b6010…
08-20 23:18:10	spx up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8422b8…
08-20 13:27:06	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbc3175…
08-19 12:00:04	wti up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x665f09…
08-19 03:57:51	will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x466d62…
08-18 19:49:19	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x575a81…
08-18 11:48:39	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x58b0bf…
08-18 03:40:30	will tsla dip to 330 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcb9be2…
08-17 19:39:57	will aapl reach 308 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4d14af…
08-17 09:46:55	spx up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x95ca69…
08-17 01:25:07	will nflx dip to 77 50 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xac4d4a…
08-14 16:23:52	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdfb841…
08-14 01:11:43	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3cd2db…
08-13 16:19:07	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x63e75c…
08-13 08:02:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf43467…
08-12 23:59:57	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x66f019…
08-12 15:58:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf28857…
08-12 07:57:55	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x86f4b2…