Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

682 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$84

$341 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-08

last 08-31 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

65% 38% -$22

Politics

27% 57% -$1

Tech

5% 43% -$2

Sports

2% 14% -$7

Crypto

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	+1	-$1	15¢	$0	+$1	08-10 16:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+4	-$1	2¢	$0	+$1	08-18 03:35
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1	-$1	3¢	$0	+$1	07-25 18:19
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	07-28 03:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?	27	$13	350	350	+0	No	+$1	08-02 09:30
will wti reach 120 in august 2026	5	$11	440	230	+210	No	-$1	08-09 02:55
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	16	$10	173	172	+1	No	+$2	07-23 20:05
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	7	$9	990	990	+0	No	+$3	06-12 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2?	29	$8	282	226	+56	No	-$1	08-02 09:21
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	7	$8	120	120	+0	No	+$2	08-15 00:33
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	42	$7	2,000	998	+1,002	No	-$1	07-24 15:37
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$7	235	235	+0	No	+$1	08-10 14:07
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?	5	$7	102	100	+3	No	+$2	07-19 01:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	8	$7	210	206	+4	open	—	08-18 03:35
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	11	$7	2,407	576	+1,831	No	-$2	07-24 15:40
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	15	$6	220	217	+3	No	+$0	07-24 19:22
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	4	$6	174	174	+0	No	+$0	08-12 17:06
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	4	$6	110	110	+0	Yes	+$1	07-13 08:26
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	8	$5	215	215	+0	No	+$1	07-27 10:03
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$5	210	210	+0	No	-$1	08-03 03:03
will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	17	$5	250	93	+157	No	-$1	08-11 12:33
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?	10	$5	280	280	+0	No	-$1	08-03 03:13
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	10	$5	125	124	+1	No	+$1	07-28 12:25
Will FULL SENSE win Valorant Masters London 2026?	6	$5	648	360	+288	No	-$1	06-09 19:46
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	5	$5	210	210	+0	No	+$1	06-12 07:18
Chirayu Rana divorced?	3	$4	375	375	+0	No	+$1	06-26 17:18
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	305	305	+0	No	+$0	07-23 16:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	2	$4	365	365	+0	No	+$1	06-10 18:35
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	3	$4	50	50	+0	No	+$1	08-11 01:28
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	4	$4	200	55	+145	No	-$2	08-06 16:26
over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	4	$4	125	125	+0	No	+$1	07-17 05:11
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	7	$4	500	495	+5	No	+$1	08-19 21:25
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	7	$4	300	300	+0	No	+$1	07-17 17:26
will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	7	$4	75	75	+0	No	+$1	07-27 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 22:00:45	US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x9156e8…
08-31 21:59:10	US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xbe8f75…
08-19 21:25:36	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	1¢	$1	0x71d967…
08-18 03:35:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x72b591…
08-18 03:34:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xdec18d…
08-15 00:33:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xe9e983…
08-15 00:32:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x915f34…
08-14 19:48:15	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$2	0x0745ec…
08-12 17:06:10	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	94	2¢	$2	0xfb63ea…
08-11 12:33:49	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x1049f7…
08-11 08:48:12	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x0792b8…
08-11 08:37:37	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb2a7f0…
08-11 08:10:49	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xd49d42…
08-11 05:13:13	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xf8f471…
08-11 01:28:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xcfa6d8…
08-10 18:10:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xd2c821…
08-10 16:30:16	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x76d408…
08-10 14:07:22	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	235	2¢	$4	0xa5bce1…
08-10 10:54:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xe01032…
08-10 08:46:31	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xb3e23e…
08-09 20:57:40	iran leadership change by august 15	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x2a0a99…
08-09 17:34:39	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xb9608c…
08-09 16:44:07	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x9dca0e…
08-09 15:43:21	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xf91f34…
08-09 11:17:37	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x7a0cd7…
08-09 08:14:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x76ce75…
08-09 02:58:48	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x46a195…
08-09 02:55:01	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x025132…
08-09 02:01:03	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$2	0x1bf60b…
08-08 22:37:18	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x98789d…
08-08 22:37:18	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x87367e…
08-08 22:05:18	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$1	0xe9847d…
08-08 21:59:15	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xc10607…
08-08 21:59:15	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0xa81def…
08-08 18:04:12	will a new country join the abraham accords by august 31 1785517679415	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xfc5b67…
08-08 15:50:37	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x6fe90f…
08-08 15:50:34	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xf1319d…
08-08 15:50:34	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x5a063e…
08-08 15:50:34	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4a02a7…
08-08 14:51:58	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$2	0xed6f9e…
08-08 14:12:21	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xa8c9ec…
08-08 13:45:07	will a new country join the abraham accords by august 31 1785517679415	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x5c32b3…
08-08 13:24:06	will a new country join the abraham accords by august 31 1785517679415	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x47401f…
08-08 07:43:07	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	230	2¢	$5	0xeaaa09…
08-08 06:29:34	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xd2a194…
08-08 06:24:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	229	1¢	$3	0x3ba06c…
08-08 05:05:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x82f295…
08-08 04:49:15	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$3	0xab1d07…
08-07 12:34:37	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xae9e5a…
08-07 10:16:30	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xa8ee5b…
08-06 16:26:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x49a244…
08-06 15:28:35	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x2bb56b…
08-06 14:48:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xd51c4f…
08-06 13:18:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa92fcc…
08-06 12:45:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xff48cb…
08-05 21:24:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x797592…
08-05 14:25:59	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0x0b84e8…
08-05 13:41:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x416a13…
08-05 11:43:35	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2820f1…
08-05 11:19:14	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	818	0¢	$1	0xa7ac1b…
08-05 08:54:57	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbb2469…
08-05 04:13:29	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0xad5e31…
08-05 04:13:27	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x4de078…
08-05 04:13:27	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0661ce…
08-05 03:59:23	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xf056cd…
08-05 03:59:23	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2263f6…
08-05 01:59:38	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7398d6…
08-05 01:59:38	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x3805f6…
08-04 22:42:47	Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x8a063e…
08-04 21:21:26	Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x720ca5…
08-04 04:57:29	Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xb92639…
08-04 04:47:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xf18da6…
08-04 04:47:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xb1fbe6…
08-04 04:47:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x61d1d1…
08-03 18:23:29	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x3b7957…
08-03 18:22:48	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xd24191…
08-03 18:22:48	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x12cda1…
08-03 17:45:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x13f399…
08-03 17:23:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe3cb53…
08-03 17:23:14	Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$2	0xcba86c…
08-03 15:24:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xf7ba99…
08-03 14:08:57	Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xa4a1d2…
08-03 03:16:42	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x52e28f…
08-03 03:13:39	Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbdf51a…
08-03 03:10:44	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x297a5c…
08-03 03:10:42	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x70f6aa…
08-03 03:08:27	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0xf9f46b…
08-03 03:08:27	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	370	0¢	$1	0x5df5be…
08-03 03:05:05	Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	0¢	$1	0xf70fa1…
08-03 03:05:05	Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x18de53…
08-03 03:05:03	Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0xd379ad…
08-03 03:03:59	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$2	0xa7124b…
08-03 03:03:59	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x1183e6…
08-03 03:02:00	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x606ee0…
08-03 03:01:59	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	Yes	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0x8c36fe…
08-03 02:58:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x5fc27d…
08-02 17:28:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x822658…
08-02 10:52:41	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x317450…
08-02 09:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x55a00c…
08-02 09:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x2595ae…