Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

204

Trades

599

lifetime

Volume

$2.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-11

last 10-27 01:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 68% -$78

Politics

27% 100% +$12

Other

23% 73% +$6

Sports

4% 73% -$9

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	23	$181	180	180	+0	open	—	10-26 22:48
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	28	$166	168	168	+0	open	—	10-26 22:13
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	12	$158	391	391	+0	Down	+$40	09-19 23:33
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	3	$108	60	60	+0	Yes	+$10	10-27 01:37
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	25	$107	104	104	+0	open	—	10-26 19:19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	26	$104	113	113	+0	Yes	+$2	10-26 06:48
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	24	$102	105	105	+0	No	+$0	10-25 18:41
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC	11	$80	361	20	+341	Down	-$56	09-20 02:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$78	85	85	+0	open	—	10-26 23:31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	14	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 18:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC	3	$46	42	42	+0	Up	+$4	09-19 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$41	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	09-13 15:33
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	8	$36	32	32	+0	open	—	10-26 19:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	10	$34	32	32	+0	open	—	10-26 19:17
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	7	$29	28	28	+0	open	—	10-26 11:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	6	$29	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	10-26 14:19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	6	$28	28	28	+0	No	+$0	10-25 22:01
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5	7	$27	28	27	+1	Over	$0	10-25 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	09-20 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$26	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	09-20 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$24	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	09-13 15:48
Walker Kessler: Points O/U 15.5	6	$23	19	19	+0	No	+$4	10-25 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	09-13 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	09-13 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	09-13 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	09-13 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	09-13 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	09-13 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	09-13 15:18
Spread: Suns (-4.5)	3	$20	28	28	+0	Suns	+$1	10-25 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:37:35	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x774dd3…
10-26 23:46:09	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x021757…
10-26 23:42:44	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x5bde04…
10-26 23:35:29	Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0x98fe77…
10-26 23:31:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xae0ce6…
10-26 23:31:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xd09c3f…
10-26 23:31:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x888934…
10-26 23:31:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x7632ee…
10-26 23:30:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x1665ff…
10-26 23:27:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x283bc3…
10-26 23:25:47	Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc84587…
10-26 23:25:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x04557d…
10-26 23:03:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xb7881f…
10-26 23:03:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x70e753…
10-26 22:48:12	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x4af5a4…
10-26 22:47:57	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	25	58¢	$15	0xe6c105…
10-26 22:43:00	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xa2e227…
10-26 22:36:21	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x959e31…
10-26 22:33:53	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x111c70…
10-26 22:23:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	33	46¢	$15	0xa08cb1…
10-26 22:22:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	31	46¢	$14	0x8cac6c…
10-26 22:13:05	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x89a469…
10-26 22:12:44	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0xbc50c1…
10-26 22:01:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	63	45¢	$29	0x8c6fdc…
10-26 22:01:18	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	38	58¢	$22	0xe85de5…
10-26 22:01:08	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0x04d684…
10-26 21:50:57	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x6b1c06…
10-26 21:37:21	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x338f39…
10-26 21:36:35	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0a91d4…
10-26 21:31:20	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x9d2167…
10-26 21:15:02	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x1200f8…
10-26 21:02:41	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x57b396…
10-26 20:59:51	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0x16edec…
10-26 20:56:26	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0x43e5f0…
10-26 20:55:45	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x5eee0c…
10-26 20:54:33	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0x8c5267…
10-26 20:51:50	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x418a42…
10-26 20:45:30	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xa1bfdc…
10-26 20:40:38	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0xfc4265…
10-26 20:27:53	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xe2f0a3…
10-26 20:27:11	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xe08c87…
10-26 20:09:29	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x450628…
10-26 20:01:00	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x8c3acc…
10-26 20:01:00	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0x1fa20c…
10-26 19:55:51	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xbbf21a…
10-26 19:19:57	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x9d89b4…
10-26 19:19:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x2f9ce0…
10-26 19:19:15	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x8cc756…
10-26 19:19:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x77d43e…
10-26 19:17:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe3ae24…
10-26 19:17:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xbfb78b…
10-26 19:12:08	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x707145…
10-26 19:10:26	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0x2adeeb…
10-26 19:09:36	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xc0377d…
10-26 18:52:47	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x942544…
10-26 18:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xfabce3…
10-26 18:45:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x6195e5…
10-26 18:45:35	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x2b8a5a…
10-26 18:43:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x873eb4…
10-26 18:17:47	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xc2f692…
10-26 18:14:20	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xf4d928…
10-26 18:14:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0x236956…
10-26 18:05:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xed47c7…
10-26 18:04:36	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xa25dbd…
10-26 18:01:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x6fff7c…
10-26 17:56:50	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x0520e3…
10-26 17:33:29	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xe2563d…
10-26 17:32:53	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbb131e…
10-26 17:22:36	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x9ec437…
10-26 17:13:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x03957a…
10-26 17:12:51	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x9490e7…
10-26 17:10:36	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x7b09d0…
10-26 17:02:09	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x97b784…
10-26 17:00:18	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x4cc2ae…
10-26 16:19:50	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x53d96c…
10-26 15:58:17	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe27d30…
10-26 15:57:12	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xeceb28…
10-26 15:56:48	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xaec733…
10-26 15:54:23	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xb49d71…
10-26 14:47:20	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xff57ba…
10-26 14:38:56	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x77fc53…
10-26 14:19:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x205bea…
10-26 13:55:35	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x43ace7…
10-26 13:54:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6cd430…
10-26 13:22:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x951cd9…
10-26 13:21:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbef732…
10-26 13:11:12	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa02656…
10-26 13:07:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x669086…
10-26 12:44:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x655318…
10-26 12:06:11	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe412e4…
10-26 11:22:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x64aea0…
10-26 11:04:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xeb139c…
10-26 11:00:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xcad7bb…
10-26 10:31:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7f97cd…
10-26 10:15:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xe74c15…
10-26 10:10:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x78c3e1…
10-26 10:01:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x7116da…
10-26 09:47:09	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x81c556…
10-26 09:46:27	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x5223b9…
10-26 09:40:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xcd7974…