Quick-Witted-Catastrophe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.26K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

5,679

Trades

11,613

lifetime

Volume

$74.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 11-14 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 76% -$2,189

Other

4% 81% -$111

Sports

0% 75% +$42

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 01:00 UTC	14	$570	318	318	+0	Down	+$60	07-06 01:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 02:15 UTC	27	$512	344	344	+0	Up	+$168	07-06 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:25 UTC	33	$434	462	462	-0	Down	-$28	07-06 02:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:15 UTC	3	$409	236	230	+6	Up	-$1	07-04 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:10 UTC	8	$385	224	224	+0	Down	+$59	07-04 13:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 03:25 UTC	22	$319	394	0	+394	Up	+$75	06-30 03:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:50 UTC	10	$314	186	166	+20	Up	+$35	06-30 00:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 21:25 UTC	4	$311	431	170	+261	Up	-$149	06-08 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:25 UTC	3	$300	419	0	+419	Up	+$119	06-24 02:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:15 UTC	3	$298	322	0	+322	Down	+$24	06-24 02:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:55 UTC	10	$286	160	160	+0	Up	+$32	06-30 09:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 01:15 UTC	10	$281	241	176	+65	Down	+$68	07-06 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 00:15 UTC	7	$280	390	0	+390	Up	+$110	06-24 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:00 UTC	3	$280	149	149	+0	Up	+$16	07-04 02:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 03:15 UTC	100	$265	518	222	+296	Down	-$41	07-06 03:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:10 UTC	3	$242	205	205	+0	Up	+$40	07-04 01:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 02:25 UTC	15	$235	280	0	+280	Up	+$45	06-30 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 03:15 UTC	91	$230	1,072	200	+872	Down	-$57	07-06 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:50 UTC	2	$224	126	126	+0	Up	+$24	06-08 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:20 UTC	2	$221	122	122	+0	Down	+$21	07-04 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 02:45 UTC	13	$210	259	0	+259	Up	+$50	06-30 02:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 01:15 UTC	14	$205	196	106	+90	Down	+$6	07-06 01:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 01:30 UTC	8	$203	224	224	+0	Down	+$19	07-06 01:43
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:20 UTC	2	$200	219	0	+219	Down	+$19	06-24 02:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 02:25 UTC	13	$196	241	0	+241	Up	+$45	06-30 02:27
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:25 UTC	3	$190	253	0	+253	Up	+$63	06-24 02:26
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 02:35 UTC	12	$186	229	0	+229	Up	+$43	06-30 02:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 01:00 UTC	14	$185	615	0	+615	Up	-$185	07-06 01:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 01:15 UTC	22	$182	275	95	+180	Down	-$93	07-06 01:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:40 UTC	6	$181	100	100	+0	Up	+$19	06-30 00:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfbbe23…
11-14 10:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x487b67…
11-13 15:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2cd4b3…
11-13 12:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0d6f64…
11-13 06:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x4938c7…
11-13 06:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x11c59b…
11-13 00:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x943583…
11-12 21:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2a0011…
11-12 14:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x560b75…
11-12 10:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7b3929…
11-12 10:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x06612e…
11-12 03:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf832ee…
11-11 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x641600…
11-11 18:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x90ed5c…
11-11 01:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xad4f73…
11-10 13:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb311d9…
11-10 13:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x588c4e…
11-10 10:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x72b844…
11-10 08:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x91d60e…
11-09 22:19:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x418abd…
11-09 07:54:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7bdf65…
11-09 07:49:55	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xae5c00…
11-08 22:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4aed95…
11-08 22:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8eba71…
11-07 08:14:55	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xede02a…
11-07 08:09:54	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa7ad86…
11-07 08:09:52	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x1e3856…
11-07 01:39:54	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x790cd7…
11-06 19:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x96e6d7…
11-06 19:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8d0876…
11-06 16:29:27	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x5ee8d7…
11-06 15:29:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x70f57e…
11-06 15:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xdb0029…
11-06 13:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3aacd5…
11-05 03:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xc51b86…
11-05 03:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xb2fa5e…
11-05 03:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xf59d70…
11-05 02:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xcb1a4f…
11-04 23:49:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8ded2e…
11-04 23:29:25	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x227456…
11-04 23:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x56843a…
11-04 23:14:52	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x158cbb…
11-04 21:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc797e6…
11-04 21:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf0f45c…
11-04 18:59:28	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xc71b51…
11-04 18:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd0381f…
11-04 18:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xb53b6c…
11-04 18:14:39	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$9	0x54556a…
11-04 18:09:55	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7cf0fa…
11-04 18:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x338d0a…
11-04 17:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbbc400…
11-04 17:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xac64a3…
11-04 16:49:31	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xc683e7…
11-04 16:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfe7111…
11-04 16:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6d54e8…
11-04 16:14:34	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1ef362…
11-04 16:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x1fac9b…
11-04 16:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x89fe68…
11-04 14:59:27	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x86af1f…
11-04 14:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x7c777e…
11-04 14:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6304e6…
11-04 14:54:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x69f4ec…
11-04 14:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x499e0e…
11-04 14:24:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x77e61b…
11-04 14:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1cb153…
11-04 13:44:22	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6f1d79…
11-04 12:49:57	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa441f1…
11-04 12:29:27	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf47ff2…
11-04 12:29:24	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6dbf43…
11-04 11:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x11a936…
11-04 11:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc7fcb7…
11-04 11:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0e8905…
11-04 08:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xfb6e39…
11-04 07:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa0555a…
11-04 04:54:37	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb8e5aa…
11-04 03:29:34	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1af6ea…
11-04 02:24:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x99b00f…
11-04 01:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5ea08d…
11-04 01:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x253ab9…
11-04 01:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc21097…
11-04 01:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xb18a0c…
11-04 01:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb3e523…
11-04 01:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x717fa4…
11-04 01:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3a3329…
11-04 00:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf337a3…
11-04 00:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7fae32…
11-04 00:44:25	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x69ae09…
11-04 00:44:22	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x920930…
11-03 21:54:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xed46a8…
11-03 20:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7ab2a2…
11-03 19:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbb3e44…
11-03 16:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x938af2…
11-03 16:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf20c77…
10-30 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xc26df5…
10-30 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x8d7acf…
10-30 15:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x504317…
10-30 15:14:36	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x36a97e…
10-30 15:14:34	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x592681…
10-30 15:14:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x31736c…
10-30 15:14:27	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x89cd8e…