Aggressive-Hotel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$364

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

986

Trades

20,267

lifetime

Volume

$1.29M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$28

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-11 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

64% 94% +$707

Politics

18% 96% -$1,388

Crypto

15% 92% +$253

Tech

3% 100% +$58

Sports

0% 86% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+23	$23	100¢	$23	+$0	08-24 14:38
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5	$4	100¢	$5	+$0	09-05 21:59
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	07-24 18:22
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	09-07 00:28
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	07-30 00:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	195	$15.6K	8,746	7,105	+1,641	No	+$24	04-15 02:13
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	204	$15.0K	8,333	6,844	+1,489	No	+$20	03-30 04:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	152	$14.4K	8,364	6,321	+2,043	Yes	-$1,992	04-07 03:42
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	175	$14.2K	7,923	6,512	+1,411	No	+$29	04-15 11:43
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	169	$13.4K	7,719	5,865	+1,854	No	+$21	03-28 08:08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	202	$13.2K	6,896	6,434	+462	No	+$18	04-09 10:54
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	165	$13.2K	7,883	5,477	+2,406	No	+$33	03-30 17:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	173	$12.7K	7,086	5,806	+1,279	No	+$19	03-28 01:41
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	210	$12.6K	7,187	5,604	+1,583	Yes	+$30	04-12 20:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	187	$11.3K	6,440	5,067	+1,372	Yes	+$29	04-29 18:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	198	$10.6K	5,707	4,985	+721	No	+$12	04-01 11:19
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	180	$10.3K	5,831	4,549	+1,283	Yes	+$22	03-30 12:34
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	115	$9.8K	5,350	4,649	+701	Yes	+$14	03-18 13:45
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	115	$9.7K	5,149	4,603	+546	No	+$12	04-12 20:22
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	113	$9.4K	5,268	4,256	+1,012	Yes	+$17	03-24 13:49
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	143	$9.4K	5,471	4,034	+1,438	No	+$29	03-28 07:10
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	285	$9.1K	4,916	4,314	+602	No	+$13	02-27 13:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	104	$9.1K	5,297	3,907	+1,389	No	+$16	03-31 06:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	102	$9.0K	5,111	4,031	+1,080	No	+$17	03-30 12:22
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	131	$9.0K	5,299	3,744	+1,555	No	+$19	03-31 20:10
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	119	$8.9K	4,914	4,063	+851	No	+$4	04-02 16:10
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	121	$8.9K	4,775	4,232	+542	No	+$16	02-27 13:08
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	95	$8.5K	4,599	4,019	+581	No	+$10	03-30 09:44
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	111	$8.4K	4,764	3,761	+1,004	No	+$20	03-31 03:29
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	88	$8.2K	4,323	3,958	+365	No	+$3	03-29 08:28
Netanyahu out by April 30?	117	$8.1K	4,821	3,425	+1,396	No	+$25	04-26 15:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	98	$8.1K	4,404	3,856	+549	No	+$16	04-30 19:51
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	158	$7.9K	4,186	3,805	+380	No	+$10	03-28 12:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	72	$7.8K	4,079	3,862	+218	No	+$7	03-18 13:46
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	85	$7.8K	3,905	3,983	-78	No	+$7	03-17 08:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 02:34:30	Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa0baf8…
10-06 15:46:44	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb0d71b…
09-07 00:28:19	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x7ee314…
09-05 21:59:28	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x15832d…
09-04 10:12:09	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4c890d…
08-28 14:26:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xd89783…
08-28 14:26:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0xddba07…
08-24 14:38:06	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x70f23d…
08-17 16:26:22	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xaa7160…
08-15 03:33:42	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a860b…
08-15 03:22:06	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68e5f2…
08-15 03:10:04	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x96cab6…
08-15 03:03:55	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x324b45…
08-15 02:39:48	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xac88dc…
08-15 02:38:18	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdacbf2…
08-15 00:51:06	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x8efd1b…
08-15 00:16:58	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f1f43…
08-14 23:52:22	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x83887e…
08-14 23:52:09	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5469bb…
08-14 23:32:21	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e5a59…
08-14 23:15:21	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7aa60a…
08-14 22:53:49	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x45b6d7…
08-14 22:29:40	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe4847c…
08-14 21:51:00	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b9faf…
08-14 21:21:51	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x511d06…
08-14 21:00:40	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x277b0f…
08-14 19:03:46	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x26dab8…
08-14 19:03:01	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd410bf…
08-14 18:04:30	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0bb010…
08-14 17:19:16	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc4aa9a…
08-14 14:53:01	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x97c04e…
08-14 13:15:06	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd58d6f…
08-10 21:48:15	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc48bb9…
08-10 14:32:34	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb662ef…
08-10 13:01:13	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x589d2c…
08-10 13:00:58	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2034ad…
08-10 08:42:01	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xcff52e…
08-10 07:58:13	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc4be89…
08-10 07:12:49	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbf8517…
08-10 07:03:30	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb2fe24…
08-10 06:36:33	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf2ed9e…
08-10 06:36:16	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x449871…
08-09 20:24:52	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xcf67f9…
08-09 19:09:31	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x4bbe0f…
08-08 20:50:40	Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x33de2c…
08-08 20:48:18	Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x935bd5…
08-06 22:28:35	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xfb008c…
08-04 01:07:42	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5c7c7b…
08-02 22:06:05	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x8e1900…
08-02 17:28:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x822658…
08-02 07:49:11	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc0b00f…
08-02 05:45:32	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x8c4883…
08-02 05:44:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x571013…
08-02 02:11:56	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xd51120…
07-30 00:46:56	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5a46ec…
07-30 00:42:39	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5a55bf…
07-30 00:11:00	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf76d6f…
07-30 00:11:00	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa44c3…
07-29 23:42:26	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa0b192…
07-29 18:00:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x6a48b3…
07-29 15:18:20	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xab68cf…
07-27 14:42:36	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0fa6e5…
07-27 08:11:49	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf926d6…
07-27 08:07:13	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9ec644…
07-27 08:06:45	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x77e019…
07-27 00:08:52	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4e30e4…
07-26 23:08:33	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xec0836…
07-26 21:18:24	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x04b9bc…
07-26 21:16:16	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3663aa…
07-26 21:14:10	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2d8701…
07-26 21:12:04	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x066587…
07-26 00:55:46	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe7738a…
07-24 18:22:07	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x836944…
07-24 18:20:51	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x24baa3…
07-24 13:29:07	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x23c920…
07-23 12:05:54	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4fce3b…
07-23 10:21:43	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x82c440…
07-23 09:12:25	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa6f0ee…
07-23 07:23:03	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x970ffd…
07-22 17:59:43	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x35209c…
07-22 13:58:09	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x513993…
07-20 10:39:58	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x1fb05d…
07-20 10:39:57	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf4a723…
07-20 10:39:24	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x820642…
07-20 10:39:22	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb0760f…
07-20 10:39:22	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d8eda…
07-20 10:38:54	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xee6030…
07-20 10:37:55	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x82b8f9…
07-20 10:37:54	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xfffb53…
07-20 07:11:39	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc495df…
07-20 06:19:07	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x87be95…
07-20 01:28:19	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf0c7e2…
07-19 22:43:36	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x7f0ac1…
07-19 17:18:54	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe5d93a…
07-19 17:18:36	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1cc2dd…
07-19 17:17:06	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x780d76…
07-16 14:31:07	Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xbff6d3…
07-16 11:47:37	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xf60e9e…
07-16 11:47:25	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1e469b…
07-16 11:46:19	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x245508…