Aggressive-Hotel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

Trades

19,407

lifetime

Volume

$1.27M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$279

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-30 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

64% 80% +$13

Politics

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

15% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 414 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+233	$228	100¢	$233	+$4	06-30 00:08
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	+23	$23	100¢	$23	+$0	06-25 12:12
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+23	$23	98¢	$23	$-0	06-25 00:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	195	$15.6K	8,746	7,105	+1,641	open	—	04-15 02:13
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	204	$15.0K	8,333	6,844	+1,489	open	—	03-30 04:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	152	$14.4K	8,364	6,321	+2,043	open	—	04-07 03:42
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	175	$14.2K	7,923	6,512	+1,411	open	—	04-15 11:43
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	169	$13.4K	7,719	5,865	+1,854	open	—	03-28 08:08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	202	$13.2K	6,896	6,434	+462	open	—	04-09 10:54
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	165	$13.2K	7,883	5,477	+2,406	open	—	03-30 17:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	173	$12.7K	7,086	5,806	+1,279	open	—	03-28 01:41
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	210	$12.6K	7,187	5,604	+1,583	open	—	04-12 20:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	186	$11.3K	6,440	5,044	+1,395	open	—	04-28 03:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	198	$10.6K	5,707	4,985	+721	open	—	04-01 11:19
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	180	$10.3K	5,831	4,549	+1,283	open	—	03-30 12:34
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	115	$9.8K	5,350	4,649	+701	open	—	03-18 13:45
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	115	$9.7K	5,149	4,603	+546	open	—	04-12 20:22
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	113	$9.4K	5,268	4,256	+1,012	open	—	03-24 13:49
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	143	$9.4K	5,471	4,034	+1,438	open	—	03-28 07:10
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	285	$9.1K	4,916	4,314	+602	open	—	02-27 13:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	104	$9.1K	5,297	3,907	+1,389	open	—	03-31 06:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	102	$9.0K	5,111	4,031	+1,080	open	—	03-30 12:22
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	131	$9.0K	5,299	3,744	+1,555	open	—	03-31 20:10
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	119	$8.9K	4,914	4,063	+851	open	—	04-02 16:10
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	121	$8.9K	4,775	4,232	+542	open	—	02-27 13:08
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	95	$8.5K	4,599	4,019	+581	open	—	03-30 09:44
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	111	$8.4K	4,764	3,761	+1,004	open	—	03-31 03:29
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	88	$8.2K	4,323	3,958	+365	open	—	03-29 08:28
Netanyahu out by April 30?	117	$8.1K	4,821	3,425	+1,396	open	—	04-26 15:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	98	$8.1K	4,404	3,856	+549	open	—	04-30 19:51
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	158	$7.9K	4,186	3,805	+380	open	—	03-28 12:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	72	$7.8K	4,079	3,862	+218	open	—	03-18 13:46
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	85	$7.8K	3,905	3,983	-78	open	—	03-17 08:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 00:08:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xa3aab0…
06-29 23:42:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x2bd92a…
06-29 23:29:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xdb0f2c…
06-29 23:29:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x624ebc…
06-29 23:28:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xb75dc2…
06-29 23:26:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x64e42a…
06-29 23:25:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaba720…
06-29 23:25:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xd41a29…
06-29 20:56:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x19d297…
06-29 20:08:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xfc46f6…
06-29 19:59:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x3f92a4…
06-29 19:10:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x9e1ecb…
06-29 18:59:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xdc566a…
06-29 18:47:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xd750f9…
06-29 18:41:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x471932…
06-29 18:41:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa90b74…
06-29 18:39:40	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xaa49b8…
06-29 18:37:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x26b901…
06-29 18:20:01	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x1fbac1…
06-29 18:19:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5cc208…
06-29 18:18:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49af66…
06-29 18:18:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33f1fd…
06-29 18:18:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x0ea9f8…
06-29 18:18:37	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x126a06…
06-29 18:18:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa366d0…
06-29 18:18:34	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x58bb7a…
06-29 18:16:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8fb58d…
06-29 18:13:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x7950f0…
06-29 16:59:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xbde9e8…
06-29 15:31:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x940613…
06-29 15:29:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xb739b4…
06-29 15:28:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe5a214…
06-29 13:51:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xf9c350…
06-29 13:02:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf46b4b…
06-29 13:02:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x025ce6…
06-29 13:02:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaf32bd…
06-29 13:02:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6cc724…
06-29 13:02:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x449e5f…
06-29 13:02:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x45ccf1…
06-29 13:01:25	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x17eda0…
06-29 12:12:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x8a5992…
06-29 11:43:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xcab858…
06-29 11:20:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x323773…
06-29 09:27:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xcc4b6d…
06-29 08:34:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x34f8a0…
06-29 08:26:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x831414…
06-29 08:21:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xae3274…
06-29 08:18:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x519a6e…
06-29 08:12:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xeff9f0…
06-29 08:02:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x3720f1…
06-29 08:01:01	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x89fadb…
06-29 07:56:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xd01ef1…
06-29 07:47:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xb0d51c…
06-29 07:47:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x25cab3…
06-29 07:46:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x77feb9…
06-29 07:37:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xed0f63…
06-29 04:01:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xf08fda…
06-29 03:50:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xcb3760…
06-29 03:28:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x027be4…
06-29 01:17:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe59cf5…
06-28 18:19:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xf92e72…
06-28 18:08:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x46296f…
06-25 12:12:53	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x932a76…
06-25 00:01:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x8b1ec4…
06-24 04:08:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xf26c78…
06-24 03:27:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa00503…
06-23 21:20:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3c4407…
06-23 12:04:05	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbce259…
06-23 09:10:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfb443b…
06-23 08:59:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd9f83f…
06-23 06:15:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x11151a…
06-23 06:12:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0ffcf3…
06-23 06:03:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x497f18…
06-22 14:31:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x2a9d5d…
06-22 08:34:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	99¢	$93	0x43bc11…
06-22 08:32:32	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x9baadd…
06-22 08:31:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x19094a…
06-22 08:31:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xc9b525…
06-22 08:30:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x66d018…
06-22 08:28:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xb22a59…
06-22 08:26:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xc6ba37…
06-22 08:25:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x99ee5e…
06-22 08:24:41	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x01ec9c…
06-22 08:24:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x052a51…
06-22 08:23:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x092073…
06-22 08:20:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x6aeae7…
06-22 08:15:50	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x7d85fd…
06-22 08:15:38	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x401016…
06-22 08:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x650244…
06-22 07:55:47	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x3f0ee1…
06-22 07:51:34	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x84c8a6…
06-22 07:49:31	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x6bd8fe…
06-22 07:48:52	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x9e565e…
06-22 07:47:05	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x14f4f0…
06-22 07:46:20	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xed1b11…
06-22 07:46:04	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x83435b…
06-22 02:04:07	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x976e06…
06-22 02:02:46	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6ee88d…
06-22 01:55:58	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa4d15a…
06-22 01:42:22	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x369ec3…