Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,133

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$65

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

74% 50% $-11

Other

20% 100% +$32

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+65	$50	80¢	$52	+$2	06-13 21:18
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+20	$14	41¢	$8	$-6	06-13 22:36
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	+210	$25	3¢	$5	$-20	06-27 20:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	7	$1.4K	853	641	+212	open	—	03-24 14:35
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	9	$864	668	668	+0	open	—	02-18 06:02
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	11	$746	568	420	+148	open	—	03-08 18:09
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 8	5	$585	310	310	+0	open	—	03-09 05:51
Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?	1	$547	615	0	+615	open	—	05-18 21:48
will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	8	$505	273	273	+0	open	—	04-08 11:35
will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week february 15	7	$467	369	150	+219	open	—	02-15 19:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$451	255	255	+0	open	—	04-26 12:28
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	3	$430	268	200	+68	open	—	05-25 21:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$403	274	274	+0	open	—	03-16 18:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$402	230	230	+0	open	—	03-24 06:07
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$401	233	233	+0	open	—	03-19 11:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$394	854	854	+0	open	—	04-17 08:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$333	211	211	+0	open	—	05-17 21:50
will khamenei leave iran by december 31	1	$286	442	0	+442	open	—	02-28 08:48
will maga be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 312	6	$279	162	133	+30	open	—	02-02 17:14
will trump say winter olympic or winter olympics this week february 22	5	$277	160	174	-14	open	—	02-23 05:09
will trump say tiktok during the announcement on thursday	13	$228	228	32	+196	open	—	01-29 22:52
will trump say bidens war this week february 8	1	$208	215	0	+215	open	—	02-09 03:19
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$202	0	220	-220	open	—	03-25 20:10
will starmer say oil or gas or gasoline during the next prime ministers questions event 598	4	$202	112	111	+1	open	—	04-22 11:39
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	6	$201	125	125	+0	open	—	03-08 10:39
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$200	104	104	+0	open	—	03-06 21:01
will hillary say victim during her epstein testimony	5	$198	108	107	+1	open	—	02-26 22:45
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$186	143	143	+0	open	—	05-17 11:02
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	13	$184	262	0	+262	open	—	02-25 03:57
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	6	$177	199	199	+0	open	—	03-16 00:16
will trump say turkey or orban during board of peace events on february 19	6	$168	478	478	+0	open	—	02-19 16:01
will hillary say island during her epstein testimony	3	$150	84	84	+0	open	—	02-28 04:28
will keir starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions	2	$143	155	0	+155	open	—	01-21 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:05:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xbcf2af…
06-28 19:18:58	will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	No	BUY	125	28¢	$35	0x59f181…
06-28 04:35:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x6a2fde…
06-27 20:35:38	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	12¢	$25	0xb1bced…
06-27 15:09:55	will trump meet with keir starmer in july 2026 20260626153701910	No	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xd0e742…
06-26 17:10:07	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	74	90¢	$67	0xd9c0a0…
06-26 16:50:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	37	55¢	$20	0xdb97a0…
06-24 21:48:26	will the announcers say qatar during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947262	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6ec8ff…
06-24 20:00:13	will the announcers say qatar during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947262	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x70414c…
06-24 18:23:29	will trump say tax 20 times during june 24 rally 20260616194255605	No	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xb3694a…
06-24 16:12:47	will the announcers say ronaldo during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947281	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x01a228…
06-24 15:54:50	will the announcers say ronaldo during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947281	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x12b8da…
06-24 15:54:50	will the announcers say ronaldo during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947281	No	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0x11282e…
06-24 14:31:20	will the announcers say ronaldo during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947281	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x2660f8…
06-24 14:18:07	will the announcers say ronaldo during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947281	No	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xc8dcbc…
06-24 13:59:34	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947255	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xdc76f2…
06-23 20:41:52	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xd16761…
06-18 09:10:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	31¢	$21	0xb909c7…
06-18 09:10:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	31¢	$24	0x87f463…
06-18 09:10:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x416ed6…
06-17 21:45:04	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xf7c6d2…
06-16 15:08:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	133	36¢	$48	0xbfc8b6…
06-16 13:37:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	132	34¢	$45	0x0a32f9…
06-14 15:21:57	will trump say america during ufc 250 20260610182827988	No	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xeaa42d…
06-13 22:36:13	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x59b9ac…
06-13 22:36:10	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdca941…
06-13 22:35:45	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe9e824…
06-13 21:18:24	Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x1e6da5…
06-13 18:27:22	will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in june 2026	No	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0xe93c08…
06-13 17:46:52	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x8bdefb…
06-13 09:15:15	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in june 2026	No	SELL	14	88¢	$13	0xe813ff…
06-11 23:07:30	will trump say fraud during tele rallies 20260611141630069	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x730647…
06-11 22:25:45	will trump say radical left during tele rallies 20260611141630075	No	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x8be65a…
06-11 22:04:04	will trump say football during tele rallies 20260611141630077	No	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x059a03…
06-11 21:58:45	will trump say football during tele rallies 20260611141630077	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x89008c…
06-11 21:47:06	will trump say migrant crime during tele rallies 20260611141630079	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xd10a71…
06-11 21:31:45	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in june 2026	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x40d275…
06-11 21:22:03	will trump say state 5 times during tele rallies 20260611141630063	Yes	BUY	49	70¢	$34	0x95f9b0…
06-11 20:14:22	will trump say football during tele rallies 20260611141630077	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x525acf…
06-11 20:13:28	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in june 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x615b4b…
06-11 19:54:21	will trump say dumocrat or dumbocrat or dumacrat during tele rallies 20260611141630067	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x226bce…
06-11 19:45:28	will trump say state 5 times during tele rallies 20260611141630063	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1bd1f2…
06-11 01:24:24	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in june 2026	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x2cf91b…
06-10 12:17:22	will starmer say urgent during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137152	No	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0xcb1dd6…
06-10 12:02:31	will starmer say urgent during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137152	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf1a51f…
06-08 21:51:36	will trump say job 2 times during tele rally 20260608165428965	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x310e0c…
06-07 15:36:30	will starmer say urgent during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137152	No	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x8bfd03…
06-05 18:12:45	will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201992	No	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xffa247…
06-05 18:11:37	will trump say scam during wisconsin events 20260602174202000	No	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x0bcbe9…
06-05 15:26:19	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in june 2026	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xa136ae…
06-02 14:03:02	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x4a55bc…
05-31 18:16:08	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?	No	BUY	63	75¢	$47	0x2403c1…
05-27 07:03:31	Will Vance say "Telemetry" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x581c54…
05-27 00:47:25	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x7239a5…
05-25 21:38:00	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x3cb3c6…
05-21 10:49:18	Will Trump say "Oil" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0x1aa692…
05-21 08:51:49	Will Trump say "Oil" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xee64df…
05-20 21:57:19	Will NVIDIA say "Gigawatt" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xb9bdf2…
05-20 21:53:58	Will NVIDIA say "Gigawatt" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x52b17d…
05-20 21:26:57	Will NVIDIA say "Gigawatt" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8a938e…
05-20 16:44:48	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x8cf6de…
05-20 16:29:13	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	35	46¢	$16	0x1e7fa7…
05-20 11:32:34	Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x881961…
05-20 11:29:00	Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x9e2627…
05-20 11:26:51	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x8aeab1…
05-20 11:25:27	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xfbc144…
05-20 11:23:00	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x0a20b7…
05-20 11:21:27	Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x882373…
05-20 11:16:44	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x58a1be…
05-20 11:15:37	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$2	0xa0c706…
05-20 11:15:37	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x0f7c62…
05-20 10:58:02	Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xf690ff…
05-20 10:57:39	Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x0d300b…
05-20 10:46:01	Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x782b40…
05-20 09:57:24	Will Trump say "Semper" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x97535b…
05-20 07:22:19	Will Trump say "Semper" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x8823f7…
05-20 03:36:37	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	49	60¢	$30	0x787de1…
05-20 03:36:16	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x7f34ec…
05-20 03:29:20	Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x34bbd4…
05-20 01:49:09	Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x8d9e45…
05-19 10:53:19	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x2324bc…
05-19 10:36:45	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5d933c…
05-19 10:04:35	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4d189f…
05-19 09:53:49	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x538cf5…
05-19 09:27:38	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x573253…
05-19 09:22:54	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8b43a5…
05-19 09:04:44	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x12ae1c…
05-19 01:27:12	Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4e426b…
05-18 23:59:42	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x73f6d9…
05-18 23:55:59	Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0xb10cd8…
05-18 22:34:28	Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x37b06c…
05-18 22:33:46	Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0xa1e387…
05-18 21:48:34	Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	BUY	615	89¢	$547	0x765ef6…
05-18 21:27:51	Will Trump say "Trump" 7+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0x9ad8f5…
05-18 21:09:16	Will Trump say "Eli Lilly" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x9c565c…
05-18 21:05:48	Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x4ebf63…
05-18 20:57:21	Will Trump say "Insurance" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9a0ff7…
05-18 20:51:48	Will Trump say "Trump" 7+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x57baa0…
05-18 10:23:58	Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" this week?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x13fe5c…
05-18 06:44:41	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x3a7bae…