Svelte-Disengagement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-07 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 59% $-161

Other

40% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 28c	2	$854	477	473	+5	open	—	04-19 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	8	$717	371	371	+0	Up	+$17	05-07 07:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 18c	4	$600	405	399	+5	open	—	04-15 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	9	$370	30,111	0	+30,111	Down	$-349	05-07 08:50
highest temperature in wuhan on april 22 2026 14c	3	$356	210	207	+3	open	—	04-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	7	$354	390	0	+390	Down	+$36	05-07 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	11	$349	391	0	+391	Down	+$42	05-07 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?	2	$330	171	170	+0	open	—	04-28 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	7	$308	338	0	+338	Down	+$30	05-07 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	6	$300	306	0	+306	Up	+$6	05-07 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	6	$300	313	0	+313	Down	+$13	05-07 07:29
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 23c	3	$291	295	291	+3	open	—	04-22 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	6	$265	329	102	+227	Up	$-7	05-07 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$255	396	0	+396	Down	$-97	05-07 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	9	$232	317	14	+303	Down	$-15	05-07 03:04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 27?	4	$230	127	127	+0	open	—	04-27 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$215	116	116	+0	Down	+$15	05-07 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$200	301	0	+301	Down	+$101	05-07 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	4	$200	246	0	+246	Down	+$46	05-07 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$200	214	0	+214	Up	+$14	05-07 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	9	$165	179	70	+108	Up	+$3	05-06 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$151	176	0	+176	Up	+$8	05-07 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$150	181	0	+181	Up	+$31	05-07 08:09
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 22c	2	$145	119	118	+1	open	—	04-22 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	1	$140	149	0	+149	open	—	04-27 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	7	$120	149	39	+110	Up	$-80	05-07 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$110	130	0	+130	Down	+$20	05-06 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$110	129	0	+129	Down	+$19	05-06 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 27?	2	$107	58	57	+0	open	—	04-27 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-06 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 09:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4fc489…
05-07 08:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x84e2eb…
05-07 08:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x37a2f6…
05-07 08:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x7be9f2…
05-07 08:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x443287…
05-07 08:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x33b986…
05-07 08:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x14d5dd…
05-07 08:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0xd3508e…
05-07 08:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1a812f…
05-07 08:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x065ac7…
05-07 08:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x65b950…
05-07 08:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3ff5b3…
05-07 08:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe92255…
05-07 08:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x492e0c…
05-07 08:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x77ba76…
05-07 08:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x57e3f4…
05-07 08:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x5044e8…
05-07 08:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xcb6c90…
05-07 08:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x480885…
05-07 08:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x18bf78…
05-07 08:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	78	69¢	$54	0x9fa4b3…
05-07 08:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x962cab…
05-07 08:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x281196…
05-07 08:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4711cc…
05-07 08:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa8642e…
05-07 08:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5921ed…
05-07 08:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	39	52¢	$20	0xd39fc7…
05-07 08:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xff4cdb…
05-07 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xe11cad…
05-07 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x928152…
05-07 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x56f43c…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb44220…
05-07 08:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x6d65a8…
05-07 08:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6d794d…
05-07 08:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x207b40…
05-07 08:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xdb916b…
05-07 08:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x274ea4…
05-07 08:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x933865…
05-07 08:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x53ea51…
05-07 08:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x5c4f20…
05-07 07:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x212e2b…
05-07 07:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x8ed84f…
05-07 07:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x5a483c…
05-07 07:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xfb8088…
05-07 07:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbabcdf…
05-07 07:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf5aacd…
05-07 07:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x78b978…
05-07 07:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xc5e4c9…
05-07 07:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x9445fb…
05-07 07:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe64078…
05-07 07:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	61	88¢	$54	0x1f81ae…
05-07 07:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x7c4d7f…
05-07 07:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x8bed00…
05-07 07:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x0a6706…
05-07 07:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x6c2b1f…
05-07 07:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x670f38…
05-07 07:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	102	15¢	$15	0xb5b3ea…
05-07 07:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x726ec3…
05-07 07:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x26f4f9…
05-07 07:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x66b685…
05-07 07:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xce6269…
05-07 07:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa465a3…
05-07 07:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x785d1e…
05-07 07:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xfe977a…
05-07 07:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8a6337…
05-07 07:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x49bea0…
05-07 07:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa50eb7…
05-07 07:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6e1f90…
05-07 07:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x38830d…
05-07 07:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x14d62a…
05-07 07:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x61cbc9…
05-07 07:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x04d207…
05-07 07:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xba6c67…
05-07 07:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	371	99¢	$367	0x6a420d…
05-07 07:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x93f3e5…
05-07 07:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x905991…
05-07 07:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x7a0e45…
05-07 07:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xf9e2eb…
05-07 07:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x2b7053…
05-07 07:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x272afa…
05-07 07:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x2383a9…
05-07 06:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xabf8b7…
05-07 06:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x15190b…
05-07 06:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x4fd71a…
05-07 06:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0x141240…
05-07 06:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x4415c7…
05-07 06:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x879ab5…
05-07 06:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2414fb…
05-07 06:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xedf4dd…
05-07 06:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xdecbed…
05-07 06:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd2c048…
05-07 06:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbb8ec0…
05-07 06:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb01b8d…
05-07 06:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8859f6…
05-07 06:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x35d55a…
05-07 06:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x63abf3…
05-07 06:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xb44a0b…
05-07 06:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x7abeaa…
05-07 06:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	81	64¢	$52	0xf9df0b…
05-07 06:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	81	66¢	$53	0x996b11…