Frosty-Kielbasa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.1%

Resolved

1,018

Trades

1,646

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 08-11 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 39% +$98

Other

3% 42% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 04:15 UTC	1	$20	43	0	+43	Down	+$23	02-20 04:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 07:00 UTC	3	$20	49	0	+49	Down	-$20	03-09 07:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 15:15 UTC	3	$17	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	02-23 15:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 23:00 UTC	2	$15	20	0	+20	Up	+$5	03-11 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-23 06:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:30 UTC	4	$12	31	0	+31	Down	-$12	08-11 02:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:45 UTC	4	$12	31	0	+31	Down	+$18	07-22 03:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 16:15 UTC	2	$12	29	28	+0	Up	-$8	02-25 16:23
bitcoin up or down february 5 7pm et	5	$11	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	02-06 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	06-01 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$11	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-23 01:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	07-30 20:12
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-19 20:00 UTC	6	$10	33	0	+33	Up	-$10	06-19 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$10	25	0	+25	Up	-$10	05-22 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	Down	+$15	05-22 22:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:30 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	-$10	03-12 00:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 04:00 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	03-11 04:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 00:30 UTC	4	$10	25	0	+25	Up	-$10	06-26 00:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 21:30 UTC	4	$10	25	0	+25	Up	+$3	06-24 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	5	$10	25	0	+25	Up	-$10	06-02 02:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 02:15 UTC	2	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	02-18 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 13:00 UTC	1	$9	18	0	+18	Up	-$9	03-12 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 02:30 UTC	3	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-03 02:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 17:45 UTC	4	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	02-18 17:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 13:00 UTC	2	$8	11	11	+0	Down	-$1	03-08 13:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 04:00 UTC	2	$8	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-19 04:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:30 UTC	1	$8	20	0	+20	Down	-$8	08-09 17:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 23:00 UTC	2	$8	20	0	+20	Up	+$12	02-27 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 15:30 UTC	1	$8	20	0	+20	Up	+$12	02-28 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 05:15 UTC	2	$8	20	0	+20	Up	-$8	02-21 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 02:34:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xefdc66…
08-11 02:34:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xe881a7…
08-11 02:34:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc0d144…
08-11 02:34:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x286116…
08-11 02:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3ff19f…
08-11 02:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2b441e…
08-11 02:00:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7ce081…
08-11 01:47:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x600407…
08-11 01:01:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6db0fe…
08-09 17:33:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x3610f4…
08-09 16:48:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x78238a…
08-08 03:49:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf3da2b…
08-08 03:04:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x490a16…
08-07 02:21:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0e54c3…
08-07 02:00:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe85d2a…
08-07 02:00:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x7d8629…
08-07 02:00:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x595109…
08-07 01:16:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x71f655…
08-07 00:47:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6b1d28…
08-06 00:18:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x77a17d…
08-05 06:16:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xaede3c…
08-05 04:19:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc91a60…
08-05 04:19:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x574c7c…
08-05 03:15:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x77225c…
08-05 01:09:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7e04fe…
08-04 23:30:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x28018c…
08-04 17:19:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9326bd…
08-04 13:18:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe9fa0b…
08-04 09:49:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x35bdba…
08-04 09:49:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x954698…
08-04 07:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xfc1388…
08-04 07:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x845467…
08-04 06:04:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9031c9…
08-04 05:16:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf5ea33…
08-03 20:37:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcd4917…
08-03 16:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x32f69d…
08-03 13:28:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb8f44e…
08-03 13:28:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x85283b…
08-03 06:30:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xc522bf…
08-03 06:30:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0044a7…
08-03 05:40:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb136d0…
08-03 05:40:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3eaa0c…
08-03 00:47:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x987a2b…
08-01 04:18:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc7d06b…
08-01 03:49:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x96414b…
08-01 03:49:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7c8f43…
08-01 03:49:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x0d5ccd…
07-31 22:57:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe00fb1…
07-31 22:25:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xeb3698…
07-31 22:25:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0cd867…
07-31 22:25:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x00407f…
07-31 21:45:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x97a370…
07-31 21:45:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xf125ee…
07-31 21:45:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf876b2…
07-31 21:27:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x3ffba8…
07-31 21:27:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x3a4c82…
07-31 11:31:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfb40a6…
07-31 11:31:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7725cb…
07-31 11:25:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x68160c…
07-31 08:33:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9c4eaa…
07-31 05:31:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x79a7f6…
07-31 04:01:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5d0b8f…
07-31 03:53:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd7dd8b…
07-31 03:53:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x7c2754…
07-30 21:00:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x853a99…
07-30 21:00:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x502109…
07-30 20:12:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x4faab0…
07-30 20:01:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x285cde…
07-30 19:46:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf4b3a1…
07-29 08:55:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x905869…
07-29 08:52:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa17240…
07-29 08:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xcdea09…
07-29 07:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7f4144…
07-28 23:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc69e10…
07-28 08:17:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xebca28…
07-28 02:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa35dff…
07-28 02:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x36a6cf…
07-28 02:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x251b27…
07-28 01:37:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2ee8fd…
07-28 00:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xbc1ee3…
07-28 00:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x540709…
07-28 00:00:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x162efa…
07-27 08:46:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x33d997…
07-27 07:02:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x108475…
07-27 05:01:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x16a1b2…
07-27 03:20:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x27765b…
07-27 02:48:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5efdb8…
07-26 23:15:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x36a725…
07-26 23:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xcb33d0…
07-26 23:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x77a277…
07-26 20:01:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7ec4d7…
07-26 20:01:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x7ad27a…
07-26 20:01:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xa499e5…
07-26 20:01:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x41d6b0…
07-26 19:15:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5e3cc1…
07-26 19:15:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0398e0…
07-26 17:32:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x9293b2…
07-26 16:00:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x799168…
07-26 15:15:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x122101…
07-24 01:17:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa85cc2…