Merry-Rice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

1,633

Trades

12,282

lifetime

Volume

$50.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-24 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 56% -$354

Politics

2% 50% +$78

Other

1% 60% +$316

Sports

1% 72% -$159

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 458 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	2	$782	868	0	+868	Yes	+$86	01-28 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	64	$549	986	0	+986	Up	-$54	10-21 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	59	$514	882	0	+882	Up	-$25	10-21 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 00:25 UTC	84	$471	3,751	364	+3,386	Up	-$34	06-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	58	$439	898	231	+667	Down	-$33	06-02 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	50	$375	702	0	+702	Down	-$10	10-21 13:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:10 UTC	70	$339	1,315	123	+1,192	Up	-$23	06-04 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	45	$316	277	231	+46	Up	-$3	06-02 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 00:50 UTC	47	$296	258	163	+95	Up	-$6	06-06 00:54
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	35	$274	543	0	+543	No	+$253	02-09 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	94	$274	19,657	233	+19,424	Down	-$172	06-06 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	47	$270	339	170	+169	Down	+$22	06-06 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:25 UTC	53	$263	541	0	+541	Down	-$17	08-03 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	31	$241	422	0	+422	Down	-$20	10-21 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:15 UTC	46	$236	445	0	+445	Up	-$16	08-03 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 11:05 UTC	46	$232	197	149	+48	Down	+$2	06-04 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	39	$225	459	93	+366	Up	-$19	06-06 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 14:05 UTC	55	$225	449	0	+449	Up	+$23	07-26 14:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	54	$219	295	105	+190	Down	-$13	06-05 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	42	$219	324	194	+131	Down	-$42	06-03 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	38	$217	623	82	+541	Down	-$6	06-03 08:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:55 UTC	32	$202	150	117	+33	Down	$0	06-04 03:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:35 UTC	28	$200	169	75	+94	Down	-$16	06-05 05:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:35 UTC	44	$197	379	0	+379	Up	-$24	08-04 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 22:10 UTC	33	$196	394	0	+394	Down	+$2	08-02 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:20 UTC	35	$195	388	0	+388	Down	-$2	08-03 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:20 UTC	37	$192	385	0	+385	Down	+$6	08-02 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	22	$188	118	118	+0	Up	+$34	06-03 01:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 21:45 UTC	40	$188	406	0	+406	Down	+$35	08-02 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	23	$178	425	0	+425	Up	+$40	10-18 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 02:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x221ccf…
10-24 02:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x2bfc4d…
10-24 02:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x3466f1…
10-24 02:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x8ed4a1…
10-24 01:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x66411b…
10-24 01:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x617756…
10-24 01:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xc06e6c…
10-24 01:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xaf8af4…
10-24 01:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x96aa7a…
10-24 01:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x78ead2…
10-24 01:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x7ccfd6…
10-24 01:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x89d09e…
10-24 01:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x84571f…
10-24 01:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xe4aa05…
10-24 01:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb55a10…
10-24 01:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xcc8f05…
10-24 01:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xf0163d…
10-24 01:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x8f0a88…
10-24 01:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x45cdf6…
10-24 01:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xfa7464…
10-24 01:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe90755…
10-24 01:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x347e9b…
10-24 01:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x7a3068…
10-24 01:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x649a83…
10-24 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x38fdb9…
10-24 01:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x44a301…
10-24 01:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0x779ec2…
10-24 01:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x85a546…
10-24 01:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x3b30b2…
10-24 01:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5d8fe5…
10-24 01:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xbef86d…
10-24 01:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xc1333f…
10-24 01:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x3bbaaa…
10-24 01:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x9f1112…
10-24 01:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3e2748…
10-24 01:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	86¢	$13	0x66cc0f…
10-24 01:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc80106…
10-24 01:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x01bf75…
10-24 01:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xc02990…
10-24 01:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x374b97…
10-24 01:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x4e5ea7…
10-24 01:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xa3665a…
10-24 01:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x5ef15e…
10-24 01:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x355c2f…
10-24 01:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	66¢	$14	0xc8c7da…
10-24 01:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x8f8596…
10-24 01:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x040cb0…
10-24 01:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xc28d14…
10-24 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xfa8b64…
10-23 13:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2a14ec…
10-23 13:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x7205b1…
10-23 13:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x47a0fc…
10-23 13:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$9	0x7be69d…
10-23 13:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x5430f6…
10-23 13:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x068125…
10-23 13:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x09b151…
10-23 13:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x14dd3b…
10-23 13:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x10ffdf…
10-23 13:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x98c83b…
10-22 05:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xa02b8c…
10-22 05:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x68b0ce…
10-22 05:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xc78faf…
10-21 13:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xfe89b3…
10-21 13:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0xd2d8a2…
10-21 13:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0xcf2958…
10-21 13:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0x8b423e…
10-21 13:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x396bfb…
10-21 13:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf88a27…
10-21 13:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x7ca9ef…
10-21 13:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xadda9a…
10-21 13:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xfbc9fd…
10-21 13:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0xab6794…
10-21 13:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x037cea…
10-21 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xebb337…
10-21 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd8600a…
10-21 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x7c05c3…
10-21 13:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xfd49c8…
10-21 13:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xf1a06d…
10-21 13:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x530e66…
10-21 13:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x341885…
10-21 13:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0xe899c3…
10-21 13:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xb57c7d…
10-21 13:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xac82ea…
10-21 13:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1d703f…
10-21 13:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x0bd6d0…
10-21 13:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb9e850…
10-21 13:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xc3a5f5…
10-21 13:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$5	0x2f0fa3…
10-21 13:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc0d144…
10-21 13:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xaa7bc6…
10-21 13:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x3e6662…
10-21 13:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2b7123…
10-21 13:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x258184…
10-21 13:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0xdb8fe1…
10-21 13:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xb3af9f…
10-21 13:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x9117b8…
10-21 13:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x33036d…
10-21 13:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x96c6d4…
10-21 13:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xdaa5b8…
10-21 13:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x0bc0dc…