Loose-Fiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

1.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

17 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$96

$96 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 12% $-41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 10?	Yes		+120	$17	15¢	$17	+$1	05-10 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 10?	Yes		+222	$16	0¢	$0	$-16	05-09 19:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 7?	1	$21	100	+100	No	$-21	05-06 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 10?	3	$17	120	+120	open	—	05-10 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 10?	4	$16	222	+222	open	—	05-09 19:27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 6?	2	$11	53	+53	No	$-11	05-06 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 8?	1	$10	100	+100	No	$-10	05-08 18:38
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 6?	2	$7	100	+100	No	$-7	05-06 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	1	$7	30	+30	No	$-7	05-08 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 8?	1	$3	64	+64	No	$-3	05-08 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 7?	1	$2	16	+16	No	$-2	05-07 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 7?	1	$1	22	+22	Yes	+$21	05-07 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 05:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	82	15¢	$12	0xd775cf…
05-10 04:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x530783…
05-10 04:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x38e98d…
05-09 19:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x962544…
05-09 18:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	82	8¢	$7	0x15da56…
05-09 17:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x314e15…
05-09 14:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xf18a79…
05-08 18:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x8a264b…
05-08 14:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x7af5f0…
05-08 03:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x262ac9…
05-07 02:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x77fd50…
05-07 02:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x54de29…
05-06 20:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xffdef6…
05-06 18:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x20a762…
05-06 17:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x851803…
05-06 16:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0x214363…
05-06 16:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4ab8a2…