Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$212
$1,271 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$2,756
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 03:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $56 | $56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $23 | $98 | $75 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $41 | $41 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| Median | 6 | $1 | $69 | $68 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $16 | $7 | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $28 | $27 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | +222 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 05-09 19:27 |
| Severe-Downturn 0x51f6…9f18 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 04:59 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-09 19:22 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-09 02:25 |
| Miserable-Buggy 0xf419…5f89 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:10 |
| Crazy-Jockey 0x0583…b86f | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x297c…0f89 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:51 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 20:08 |
| Rewarding-Psychologist 0x8b38…52c8 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 04:10 |
| Which-Axis 0x3aba…debf | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:10 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 22:51 |
| Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:53 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:53 |
| Fearless-Bitter 0x012e…7a33 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 05:14 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 16:49 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 05:19 |
| Marvelous-Puritan 0x69a7…7fd5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 03:20:51 | Spiteful-Cleaner 0x80e7…d585 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x35ebcd… |
| 05-10 03:01:36 | Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | No | SELL | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x082ca2… |
| 05-10 02:53:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xd10fa0… |
| 05-10 02:30:57 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xb4e76d… |
| 05-10 02:10:51 | Miserable-Buggy 0xf419…5f89 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x7f8c6c… |
| 05-10 01:50:17 | Crazy-Jockey 0x0583…b86f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xeba5c0… |
| 05-09 23:01:07 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe509b1… |
| 05-09 22:10:14 | Which-Axis 0x3aba…debf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x90bc79… |
| 05-09 20:08:20 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xe10eab… |
| 05-09 19:27:08 | Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x962544… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0b2bf6… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xcc85c7… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xddd8d2… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xc903c2… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x334803… |
| 05-09 18:26:42 | Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x15da56… |
| 05-09 17:14:51 | Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x314e15… |
| 05-09 16:49:57 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x420d0f… |
| 05-09 15:47:28 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf30bd8… |
| 05-09 14:58:37 | Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf18a79… |
| 05-09 14:43:52 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfaef65… |
| 05-09 14:43:45 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x67489f… |
| 05-09 10:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x7969…9fec | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x45effc… |
| 05-09 07:04:45 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2416e4… |
| 05-09 06:59:46 | Beloved-Insert 0xfb75…41b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x20b575… |
| 05-09 04:10:37 | Rewarding-Psychologist 0x8b38…52c8 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x1993ff… |
| 05-09 03:51:40 | (anonymous) 0x297c…0f89 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8af182… |
| 05-09 02:25:34 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xb596fd… |
| 05-09 01:20:16 | Honest-Atom 0xa857…86ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4d0179… |
| 05-08 22:51:24 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xe425b3… |
| 05-08 07:35:47 | Marvelous-Puritan 0x69a7…7fd5 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xaecfdf… |
| 05-08 05:19:24 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x81636e… |
| 05-08 05:14:12 | Fearless-Bitter 0x012e…7a33 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb257dd… |
| 05-08 04:59:55 | Severe-Downturn 0x51f6…9f18 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x83db41… |
| 05-08 04:53:26 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7c2834… |
| 05-08 04:53:26 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xaa1150… |