Courteous-Skean — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$37

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

223

Trades

3,133

lifetime

Volume

$55.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-30 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% $-16

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes		+79	$50	16¢	$13	$-37	06-28 14:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down april 24 2026 8am et	2	$85	43	43	+0	open	—	04-24 14:12
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12am et	2	$85	46	45	+0	open	—	04-24 07:16
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 9am et	2	$85	45	45	+0	open	—	04-24 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2AM ET	2	$84	44	44	+0	open	—	04-27 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2PM ET	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	04-25 20:02
ethereum up or down march 11 4am et	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-11 10:28
ethereum up or down march 11 10am et	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	03-11 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11AM ET	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	04-25 17:35
ethereum up or down april 1 2026 4am et	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	04-01 09:59
bitcoin up or down march 4 1pm et	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	03-04 23:11
ethereum up or down march 4 1pm et	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	03-04 23:12
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	1	$50	79	0	+79	open	—	06-28 14:39
ethereum up or down march 8 3am et	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	03-10 12:27
bitcoin up or down february 17 4pm et	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	02-17 22:10
ethereum up or down february 24 12pm et	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	02-24 19:49
ethereum up or down february 24 9pm et	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	02-25 07:41
ethereum up or down february 20 2am et	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	02-20 08:12
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 8pm et	1	$42	47	0	+47	open	—	04-01 00:50
bitcoin up or down february 24 10am et	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	02-24 19:50
ethereum up or down april 20 2026 8pm et	1	$41	43	0	+43	open	—	04-21 00:47
ethereum up or down april 6 2026 12pm et	1	$41	42	0	+42	open	—	04-06 16:54
ethereum up or down april 18 2026 12pm et	1	$41	44	0	+44	open	—	04-18 16:51
ethereum up or down april 6 2026 3am et	1	$41	42	0	+42	open	—	04-06 07:49
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 4am et	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	03-17 08:50
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 2pm et	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	03-17 18:50
ethereum up or down april 18 2026 10pm et	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	04-19 02:49
ethereum up or down march 16 2026 9am et	1	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	03-16 13:50
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 12pm et	1	$40	44	0	+44	open	—	03-17 16:45
ethereum up or down april 15 2026 9pm et	1	$40	44	0	+44	open	—	04-16 01:45
bitcoin up or down march 14 8am et	1	$40	46	0	+46	open	—	03-14 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:08:32	btc updown 15m 1782846000	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xaa438a…
06-30 19:03:25	eth updown 15m 1782846000	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x232d3e…
06-30 19:02:37	btc updown 15m 1782846000	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2a4a1a…
06-30 19:02:13	eth updown 15m 1782846000	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x11cd2a…
06-30 18:25:02	btc updown 15m 1782843300	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x963435…
06-30 18:17:41	eth updown 15m 1782843300	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfde8e1…
06-30 18:17:41	btc updown 15m 1782843300	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x57a8d2…
06-30 18:03:35	btc updown 15m 1782842400	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x58c945…
06-30 18:02:37	btc updown 15m 1782842400	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x046d61…
06-30 17:33:28	eth updown 15m 1782840600	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x8e1b66…
06-30 17:31:59	eth updown 15m 1782840600	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe10205…
06-30 16:33:26	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x6b4d6b…
06-30 16:32:25	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x9dd532…
06-30 16:21:59	btc updown 15m 1782836100	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x25b23f…
06-30 16:16:56	btc updown 15m 1782836100	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x0d6ec4…
06-30 14:22:52	eth updown 15m 1782828900	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x7c0cfa…
06-30 14:17:47	eth updown 15m 1782828900	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xcf3d6f…
06-30 14:13:07	eth updown 15m 1782828000	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb08fe9…
06-30 14:01:53	eth updown 15m 1782828000	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xe40d6f…
06-30 13:51:19	eth updown 15m 1782827100	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1b3a61…
06-30 13:47:49	eth updown 15m 1782827100	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa675c3…
06-30 12:33:41	eth updown 15m 1782822600	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x35b096…
06-30 12:32:32	eth updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x2ff5f8…
06-30 12:17:11	eth updown 15m 1782821700	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2fd466…
06-30 12:16:50	eth updown 15m 1782821700	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf50939…
06-30 11:14:29	eth updown 15m 1782817200	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x81800a…
06-30 11:02:34	btc updown 15m 1782817200	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xc78961…
06-30 11:02:34	eth updown 15m 1782817200	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb38132…
06-30 09:08:28	eth updown 15m 1782810000	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x751804…
06-30 09:08:22	btc updown 15m 1782810000	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xd0b99e…
06-30 09:02:31	eth updown 15m 1782810000	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x423ad6…
06-30 09:01:19	btc updown 15m 1782810000	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xbd912d…
06-30 08:32:55	btc updown 15m 1782808200	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x46ab38…
06-30 08:03:31	eth updown 15m 1782806400	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xb334cd…
06-30 08:02:40	eth updown 15m 1782806400	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xfc4d71…
06-30 06:58:07	eth updown 15m 1782801900	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x43fae5…
06-30 06:54:22	btc updown 15m 1782801900	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x314b17…
06-30 06:47:38	eth updown 15m 1782801900	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x53f30a…
06-30 06:47:34	btc updown 15m 1782801900	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x104e18…
06-30 06:23:59	eth updown 15m 1782800100	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x6bfb1d…
06-30 06:15:58	eth updown 15m 1782800100	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x051616…
06-30 06:00:38	btc updown 15m 1782799200	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd6da6d…
06-30 05:46:44	btc updown 15m 1782798300	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x62b235…
06-30 05:36:05	btc updown 15m 1782797400	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x432296…
06-30 05:32:13	btc updown 15m 1782797400	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x66215e…
06-30 04:59:04	eth updown 15m 1782794700	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2d826d…
06-30 04:47:49	eth updown 15m 1782794700	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb04776…
06-30 04:28:50	btc updown 15m 1782792900	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe8a4b3…
06-30 04:16:10	btc updown 15m 1782792900	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x290ac3…
06-30 03:46:01	btc updown 15m 1782791100	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe58c9d…
06-30 02:00:35	btc updown 15m 1782784800	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5d6b9c…
06-30 01:04:23	eth updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6075f7…
06-30 01:04:22	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf71e7d…
06-30 01:02:35	eth updown 15m 1782781200	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc8c3cd…
06-30 01:02:34	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x040bb8…
06-29 22:31:55	eth updown 15m 1782772200	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6030cb…
06-29 22:05:49	eth updown 15m 1782770400	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x619951…
06-29 22:01:17	eth updown 15m 1782770400	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xf821ea…
06-29 20:03:29	eth updown 15m 1782763200	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x328b2f…
06-29 20:02:53	eth updown 15m 1782763200	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xdf89dc…
06-29 19:48:37	eth updown 15m 1782762300	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x853102…
06-29 19:46:11	eth updown 15m 1782762300	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x5b2fcc…
06-29 17:42:20	eth updown 15m 1782754200	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x1b04b0…
06-29 17:32:50	eth updown 15m 1782754200	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe894a4…
06-29 14:33:28	eth updown 15m 1782743400	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x908789…
06-29 14:31:16	eth updown 15m 1782743400	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x1df563…
06-29 14:15:53	eth updown 15m 1782742500	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x5c5804…
06-29 14:15:38	eth updown 15m 1782742500	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4087d5…
06-29 12:31:34	btc updown 15m 1782736200	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xae5ac2…
06-29 12:18:20	btc updown 15m 1782735300	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xa3f27d…
06-29 12:17:05	btc updown 15m 1782735300	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x219f50…
06-29 09:03:28	btc updown 15m 1782723600	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x5f79ee…
06-29 09:02:44	btc updown 15m 1782723600	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf14db0…
06-29 08:03:40	btc updown 15m 1782720000	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf78380…
06-29 08:02:08	btc updown 15m 1782720000	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x350476…
06-29 07:36:35	btc updown 15m 1782718200	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd392cf…
06-29 07:31:07	btc updown 15m 1782718200	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x204d73…
06-29 05:32:07	btc updown 15m 1782711000	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc4f812…
06-29 04:20:28	btc updown 15m 1782706500	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x285855…
06-29 04:16:40	btc updown 15m 1782706500	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x3a59ba…
06-29 01:34:56	btc updown 15m 1782696600	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x77b018…
06-29 01:32:25	btc updown 15m 1782696600	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc7d86f…
06-29 01:16:41	btc updown 15m 1782695700	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x4a55b1…
06-29 01:16:13	btc updown 15m 1782695700	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x0f3fbd…
06-28 21:46:11	btc updown 15m 1782683100	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x1eab56…
06-28 20:50:20	btc updown 15m 1782679500	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xca15df…
06-28 20:48:01	btc updown 15m 1782679500	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe9d230…
06-28 19:35:38	btc updown 15m 1782675000	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xbb8b55…
06-28 19:31:17	btc updown 15m 1782675000	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x6bdbfb…
06-28 18:48:10	btc updown 15m 1782672300	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xb8b9a0…
06-28 18:47:07	btc updown 15m 1782672300	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x302335…
06-28 18:22:05	btc updown 15m 1782670500	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x161b9f…
06-28 18:17:10	btc updown 15m 1782670500	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xba4dfc…
06-28 16:46:38	btc updown 15m 1782665100	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xa558b2…
06-28 16:32:22	btc updown 15m 1782664200	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x285663…
06-28 14:39:04	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x0eb3d2…
06-28 14:33:14	btc updown 15m 1782657000	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x01de68…
06-28 14:32:17	btc updown 15m 1782657000	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfb3955…
06-28 12:16:50	btc updown 15m 1782648900	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc39fbc…
06-28 11:53:34	btc updown 15m 1782647100	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb4635e…