Bouncy-Distributor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$222

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

506

Trades

1,880

lifetime

Volume

$223.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 11-09 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Other

83% 63% +$537

Politics

15% 44% -$278

Crypto

2% 56% -$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-14	-$5	2¢	$-0	+$5	05-06 16:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$12.0K	6,021	6,021	+0	Yes	-$20	03-27 18:36
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	55	$10.4K	5,660	4,798	+862	No	+$8	03-20 09:14
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 80 99	2	$9.0K	4,486	4,486	+0	No	+$4	03-20 02:32
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 190 214	10	$8.9K	4,481	4,481	+0	No	+$5	03-17 15:44
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$8.0K	5,513	2,541	+2,972	Yes	+$20	03-26 14:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$6.0K	3,438	3,438	+0	No	+$26	03-28 07:55
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 520 539	30	$5.9K	2,966	2,966	+0	No	+$0	03-25 15:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$5.0K	2,519	2,519	+0	No	+$10	03-25 19:33
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C or higher on June 26?	3	$4.5K	3,521	981	+2,540	No	+$20	06-26 10:57
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	11	$4.0K	2,032	2,032	+0	Yes	+$21	09-09 21:33
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 0 19	4	$3.8K	1,877	1,877	+0	No	+$0	03-25 05:54
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	2	$3.4K	1,693	1,693	+0	No	+$0	03-22 04:22
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	4	$3.2K	1,593	1,593	+0	No	+$2	03-21 13:04
crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	6	$3.2K	1,739	1,739	+0	India	-$94	03-05 17:15
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 140 164	2	$3.0K	1,514	1,514	+0	No	+$9	03-24 15:43
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 0 19	2	$3.0K	1,505	1,505	+0	No	+$0	03-24 18:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	5	$2.9K	1,569	1,565	+5	No	+$1	04-23 09:30
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 80 99	6	$2.8K	1,378	1,378	+0	No	+$2	03-24 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 25?	23	$2.7K	1,533	1,221	+311	No	+$25	06-25 10:23
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	10	$2.7K	1,340	1,340	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	-$1	04-13 17:28
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	2	$2.6K	1,772	1,772	+0	No	-$574	04-08 19:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C or higher on June 27?	5	$2.5K	2,557	0	+2,557	No	+$17	06-26 10:58
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 520 539	3	$2.5K	1,256	1,256	+0	No	+$3	03-24 16:02
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	33	$2.3K	2,808	1,808	+1,000	No	+$244	04-04 15:31
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	25	$2.2K	1,142	1,142	+0	Yes	-$13	03-30 09:35
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	2	$2.2K	1,112	1,112	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$3	04-14 17:46
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	6	$2.1K	1,193	1,193	+0	No	+$2	04-13 10:29
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	7	$2.1K	1,076	1,076	+0	No	-$16	03-15 07:26
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	13	$2.0K	1,272	826	+446	Yes	+$68	03-30 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 10?	18	$2.0K	1,591	528	+1,063	No	+$71	06-10 10:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 12:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 10?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd6bcb4…
11-09 12:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on November 10?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x816f19…
11-07 03:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 7?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x99cc77…
11-06 06:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 6?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xa9432e…
11-05 10:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on November 5?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x82c493…
10-06 10:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 7?	No	BUY	46	78¢	$36	0xb18d50…
10-05 08:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 5?	No	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0x168463…
10-05 07:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 5?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x637366…
10-05 06:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6399a2…
10-05 06:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 5?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcded9b…
10-05 06:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 5?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6f1dc4…
10-04 10:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 4?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x18745d…
10-04 07:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6d77ca…
10-04 07:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc2b785…
10-04 07:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3f5cf5…
10-02 07:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 3?	No	BUY	717	100¢	$716	0xf6b5cf…
09-30 09:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x751309…
09-30 09:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x89071b…
09-30 09:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfad862…
09-30 09:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe0133b…
09-30 09:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe764c6…
09-30 09:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3f211d…
09-30 05:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 30?	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0xec5ce7…
09-28 08:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 28?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xe9c960…
09-28 08:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 28?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xbbdfa8…
09-28 08:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 28?	No	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xd847f4…
09-28 08:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 28?	No	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x0da592…
09-27 17:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x919b66…
09-27 10:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x5b51d9…
09-26 23:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 27?	No	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x871412…
09-26 21:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xf64e9b…
09-26 08:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or higher on September 27?	No	SELL	65	83¢	$54	0x7e4626…
09-25 16:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or higher on September 27?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x36eeca…
09-24 04:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x0f7511…
09-22 09:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on September 23?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xeb36f8…
09-22 06:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 23?	No	BUY	452	93¢	$420	0x40d804…
09-21 08:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x5b467b…
09-21 06:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9c7276…
09-21 06:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 21?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5c2e4d…
09-20 11:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 20?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xe2f18c…
09-20 07:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 20?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x55787e…
09-20 07:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 20?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd186ce…
09-19 09:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 19?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3488d9…
09-19 09:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 19?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x786ee6…
09-19 04:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x43786d…
09-19 03:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x30c9e6…
09-18 10:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 18?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x6f17f4…
09-18 08:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 18?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb30810…
09-17 09:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc15368…
09-17 09:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x03153c…
09-17 09:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x062990…
09-17 08:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5642a6…
09-17 08:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	174	98¢	$170	0x13a56c…
09-17 08:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	380	100¢	$380	0x0a16e1…
09-17 08:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xefa9c1…
09-17 05:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6a259d…
09-16 13:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xe36ff9…
09-15 15:55:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	SELL	104	93¢	$96	0x4d057f…
09-15 09:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xd6aba9…
09-15 08:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xfc731d…
09-15 08:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xf64f70…
09-15 08:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8ddf41…
09-15 08:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x096aee…
09-15 08:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0xf85c8c…
09-15 08:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xda8f66…
09-15 07:25:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xfe2376…
09-15 05:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xdad779…
09-13 18:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x5b2a29…
09-13 18:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x70eeb2…
09-13 14:46:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	31	58¢	$18	0x426ed0…
09-13 08:50:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x94692f…
09-12 18:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xe5ffe2…
09-12 11:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 13?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x21b4bf…
09-12 01:39:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x58aa9c…
09-11 08:23:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xdf41aa…
09-11 06:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 11?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9993ad…
09-11 06:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 11?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x6ae30c…
09-11 06:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2287f5…
09-11 05:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 11?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc9f349…
09-10 21:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 11?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x4ba7af…
09-10 17:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 11?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x24bb32…
09-10 08:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 10?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x0a406e…
09-10 04:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 10?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xdf1705…
09-10 04:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 10?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xae3437…
09-09 21:33:51	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	442	100¢	$441	0x128690…
09-09 20:47:19	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x383a04…
09-09 19:18:46	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1f32af…
09-09 19:12:57	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0x7920c7…
09-09 18:09:30	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0x07ce98…
09-09 18:08:21	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x9d5411…
09-09 17:37:01	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd154d7…
09-09 17:34:21	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	732	100¢	$729	0xf9d918…
09-09 13:44:43	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,515	99¢	$1,500	0x1a1524…
09-09 12:04:00	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	517	99¢	$510	0x2da02e…
09-09 08:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xdda6ce…
09-09 08:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x88ac9e…
09-09 04:32:06	laptop fdv above 10m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0x915bbe…
09-08 19:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xffc3fc…
09-08 19:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4bd319…
09-08 10:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 8?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x306031…