Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$77

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

151

Trades

903

lifetime

Volume

$274

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-05 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

97% 6% +$84

Tech

2% 0% -$5

Crypto

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+7,077	$12	0¢	$11	-$1	10-31 09:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	15	$57	116	116	+0	No	+$56	07-18 20:40
highest temperature in london on january 28 10c	3	$29	33	33	+0	Yes	+$27	01-28 14:52
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	20	$29	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$14	07-18 16:44
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	232	$26	0	13,190	-13,190	No	+$26	06-01 04:57
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	16	$14	2,191	2,191	+0	No	$0	04-24 06:32
highest temperature in seoul on february 14 2026 11corhigher	4	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	+$13	02-14 04:26
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	50	$12	7,077	0	+7,077	open	—	10-31 09:16
highest temperature in dallas on january 30 44 45f	11	$9	30	20	+10	No	+$9	01-30 17:20
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	35	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$5	09-29 20:16
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	3	$5	293	0	+293	No	-$5	01-15 10:58
highest temperature in ankara on january 29 11c	3	$3	47	7	+40	No	+$2	01-29 10:54
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	20	$3	500	0	+500	No	-$3	07-28 06:50
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	54	$3	2,325	0	+2,325	No	-$3	09-26 01:33
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?	5	$3	309	304	+5	No	+$1	07-31 15:05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	11	$2	195	0	+195	No	-$2	08-19 08:53
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	6	$2	255	0	+255	No	-$2	09-18 19:50
highest temperature in nyc on january 31 18 19f	6	$2	108	108	+0	No	$0	01-31 15:58
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$2	2,083	0	+2,083	No	-$2	10-10 20:36
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	-$1	03-12 12:18
highest temperature in dallas on january 27 44 45f	7	$2	127	67	+60	No	-$1	01-27 22:29
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$2	27	27	+0	No	$0	01-20 11:55
val tl1 kc3 2026 01 27	1	$2	6	0	+6	Team Liquid	-$2	01-27 18:40
dota2 ngx pr1 2026 01 27	2	$2	5	0	+5	Power Rangers	-$2	01-27 18:57
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$1	261	0	+261	No	-$1	10-09 13:51
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	3	$1	563	563	+0	No	+$0	10-25 09:20
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	1,042	0	+1,042	No	-$1	10-13 21:26
solana above 140 on january 14	3	$1	46	0	+46	Yes	-$1	01-14 12:50
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$1	334	0	+334	No	-$1	02-04 20:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	143	0	+143	No	-$1	06-02 09:16
highest temperature in toronto on january 29 neg 10c	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	01-29 10:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 02:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4e8f3c…
10-31 15:19:48	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x157fe3…
10-31 09:16:49	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,077	0¢	$2	0xc3b80b…
10-25 09:20:18	Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	563	0¢	$1	0xbb559c…
10-21 08:44:14	Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa5aae2…
10-21 08:44:14	Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	429	0¢	$0	0x6d59b1…
10-21 08:38:11	Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf5e766…
10-21 08:38:11	Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	557	0¢	$1	0xd6fd66…
10-13 21:26:21	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$1	0x7a7dbe…
10-10 20:36:09	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,083	0¢	$2	0x15d899…
10-09 13:51:55	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x91d044…
10-03 12:37:06	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x056fd9…
10-03 12:36:54	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x87f74e…
10-03 12:36:53	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdec875…
10-03 01:08:21	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	0¢	$1	0xa1a3ff…
10-03 01:08:21	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x0e1532…
10-03 01:08:20	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xed7fbd…
10-02 14:01:00	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1b1cbb…
10-02 13:55:30	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xf78031…
10-02 13:55:30	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9d6846…
10-02 13:55:30	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x69e73c…
10-02 13:55:30	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x567ef9…
10-02 13:55:30	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	0¢	$1	0x34cc3a…
10-01 23:46:24	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	0¢	$1	0x516d6c…
10-01 22:08:15	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x46acf6…
10-01 22:07:38	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	0¢	$1	0x65f1d8…
10-01 21:05:06	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xf92492…
10-01 18:48:56	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x765c15…
10-01 18:05:08	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	0¢	$0	0x107b16…
10-01 17:45:14	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	0¢	$0	0xc06225…
10-01 17:45:14	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	0¢	$0	0x3e4adb…
10-01 17:45:12	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xbcfb74…
10-01 17:45:12	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xab3614…
10-01 17:45:12	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x9f7c58…
10-01 17:45:12	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x82da25…
10-01 17:45:12	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0x80686c…
10-01 17:45:12	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x45893d…
10-01 17:45:12	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x30020c…
10-01 17:41:39	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdca60c…
10-01 17:41:39	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa7c18b…
10-01 13:36:08	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc99d95…
10-01 13:36:08	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x937ae6…
10-01 13:36:08	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0x8b1049…
10-01 13:36:08	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5d00b6…
10-01 13:36:08	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x55ae43…
10-01 13:36:08	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4efd90…
10-01 13:21:17	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf7c6e8…
10-01 13:21:17	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x9de59e…
10-01 13:21:17	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0f9ed2…
10-01 13:19:18	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x001e9c…
10-01 13:18:18	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x993e25…
10-01 13:18:18	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x67db4a…
10-01 13:18:18	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0x521936…
10-01 13:18:18	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	0¢	$0	0x4c50b2…
10-01 13:01:50	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6d5bec…
10-01 10:12:57	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$1	0xf4220a…
10-01 10:12:57	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf26b17…
10-01 10:12:57	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8ae6dd…
10-01 10:12:57	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x8647fe…
10-01 10:12:57	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x825d8d…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd96364…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	0¢	$1	0xc07d37…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	0¢	$0	0xb67082…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x9d611e…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	0¢	$0	0x970e51…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,102	0¢	$1	0x8fbde0…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$0	0x6bd413…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x3793a2…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x17caae…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0df426…
09-29 19:33:39	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc585aa…
09-29 17:04:51	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	0¢	$0	0xc9806e…
09-29 11:54:12	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xaac372…
09-29 11:54:03	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0xe9b425…
09-29 11:53:38	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0xef7611…
09-29 11:53:33	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x316b7b…
09-29 11:53:32	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$0	0xc7f57d…
09-29 11:53:30	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x206be9…
09-29 09:41:00	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x688209…
09-29 09:34:12	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x03da5a…
09-29 08:30:57	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x51dcd2…
09-29 07:41:56	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xddd2f8…
09-29 07:11:48	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0x38f567…
09-29 07:11:11	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xad86a3…
09-29 06:27:06	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbdad9f…
09-29 05:04:51	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x7f1365…
09-29 04:42:18	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xb6685c…
09-29 03:15:33	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd10978…
09-29 03:06:17	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb52826…
09-29 03:06:15	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x860630…
09-28 22:35:08	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x9ffeb1…
09-28 22:35:06	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0xe08ce4…
09-28 20:52:35	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0x570e82…
09-28 20:50:56	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x77fbbb…
09-27 19:59:50	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x964f12…
09-26 13:15:45	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xaa3507…
09-26 01:33:09	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe5d353…
09-26 01:33:06	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x85c096…
09-26 01:33:06	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x726fa3…
09-26 01:33:06	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x29141f…