Caring-Fannypack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

1,737

Trades

3,362

lifetime

Volume

$57.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-26 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 41% -$3,754

Other

7% 18% -$393

Politics

0% 0% -$19

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 365 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	30	$2.6K	5,902	5,902	+0	No	-$92	10-26 21:40
bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026	22	$926	3,722	3,422	+299	Down	+$91	08-31 15:53
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	24	$740	5,100	2,801	+2,298	No	-$208	10-26 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	16	$697	3,111	2,418	+692	Down	-$11	10-23 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	6	$686	999	982	+17	Down	+$50	04-28 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	8	$618	936	936	+0	Up	+$120	04-28 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$582	571	571	+0	Up	+$462	10-22 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:55 UTC	5	$519	1,985	675	+1,310	Down	-$80	04-14 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$497	6,566	1,566	+5,000	Down	+$327	10-22 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$460	733	733	+0	Up	+$360	10-26 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:20 UTC	4	$434	283	277	+6	Up	+$40	04-14 15:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 10:00 UTC	10	$423	981	981	+0	Up	+$77	08-26 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:50 UTC	8	$418	729	360	+369	Up	-$42	04-14 14:54
bitcoin up or down on september 17 2026	2	$409	1,564	1,564	+0	Up	-$2	09-17 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	7	$409	2,217	376	+1,841	Down	-$81	05-04 10:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 14:45 UTC	7	$380	1,432	1,432	+0	Down	+$40	08-31 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	9	$378	584	563	+20	Up	+$127	10-23 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:05 UTC	10	$367	1,231	1,231	+0	Up	+$227	08-31 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$364	377	377	+0	Up	+$221	10-23 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 10:15 UTC	6	$360	1,525	822	+703	Up	-$100	08-26 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 18:45 UTC	4	$359	1,973	444	+1,529	Down	-$86	08-22 18:48
bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 9am et	6	$353	395	395	+0	Down	+$13	08-31 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	12	$346	561	561	+0	Down	+$53	10-20 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11AM ET	10	$341	5,474	0	+5,474	Down	-$341	10-22 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:20 UTC	5	$329	4,989	4,640	+348	Up	+$31	04-14 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:00 UTC	6	$328	2,081	438	+1,643	Down	+$74	08-26 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:10 UTC	5	$328	1,199	586	+613	Up	+$8	08-26 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:15 UTC	4	$320	633	602	+31	Up	-$77	04-14 11:19
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	6	$317	966	598	+368	Up	+$157	10-23 20:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 15:00 UTC	9	$315	1,609	768	+841	Down	+$15	08-31 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:40:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	312	7¢	$22	0xa5a4ee…
10-26 21:40:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	130	18¢	$23	0x3b8ae3…
10-26 21:37:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	130	20¢	$26	0x6574cb…
10-26 21:37:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0x24ffb5…
10-26 20:59:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	139	6¢	$8	0x7a5be1…
10-26 20:40:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	147	12¢	$17	0xb33f64…
10-26 20:40:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	129	11¢	$15	0x0498ed…
10-26 20:40:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	188	14¢	$26	0xbe3810…
10-26 20:35:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	188	2¢	$5	0x33ddcc…
10-26 20:35:39	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	120	9¢	$11	0x911af1…
10-26 20:31:48	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	420	8¢	$32	0x2996d6…
10-26 20:31:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	188	16¢	$31	0x636b1b…
10-26 20:28:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0xe7e960…
10-26 20:28:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	441	7¢	$30	0x1adbbb…
10-26 20:25:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	172	7¢	$12	0x1333e0…
10-26 20:25:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	70	18¢	$12	0x1e5ee5…
10-26 20:13:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	275	7¢	$19	0x45e895…
10-26 20:13:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	93	18¢	$17	0x56c0ca…
10-26 20:07:48	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	299	7¢	$20	0xc901c4…
10-26 19:30:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x7c9f97…
10-26 19:17:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	251	20¢	$50	0x24e7a6…
10-26 19:17:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	364	5¢	$20	0xfda4a6…
10-26 19:17:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	597	20¢	$118	0x5d4366…
10-26 16:46:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	597	28¢	$170	0x7f9497…
10-26 16:43:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	682	26¢	$177	0x29362b…
10-26 16:13:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	682	35¢	$238	0x2f8e43…
10-26 16:11:53	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	762	32¢	$248	0x999d31…
10-26 15:24:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	762	30¢	$228	0xf61339…
10-26 15:17:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	851	28¢	$238	0x6138e2…
10-26 13:27:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	395	26¢	$105	0xb90319…
10-26 13:11:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	176	26¢	$46	0xfe98ea…
10-26 13:08:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	194	5¢	$10	0x21ccef…
10-26 13:08:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xfd90b5…
10-26 13:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x5c20df…
10-26 13:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	132	23¢	$30	0x8f4062…
10-26 13:04:50	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xedbbac…
10-26 13:04:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	279	25¢	$70	0x699fdd…
10-26 13:03:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	600	25¢	$150	0x9f2028…
10-26 13:01:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xbf8aa5…
10-26 13:01:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$74	0x33251e…
10-26 12:54:41	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xddf319…
10-26 12:52:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	301	25¢	$75	0x6ab73d…
10-26 12:50:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	309	25¢	$78	0xfa7920…
10-26 12:47:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0x39f84e…
10-26 10:05:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	188	5¢	$9	0x8c8f9c…
10-26 10:05:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	47	21¢	$10	0xea9865…
10-26 08:01:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	132	24¢	$31	0xf54d57…
10-26 08:01:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	399	8¢	$33	0xd6ed81…
10-26 07:16:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	202	11¢	$22	0xdbb15f…
10-26 06:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x1b30e2…
10-26 06:53:17	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	148	24¢	$36	0x82d172…
10-26 04:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	56	16¢	$9	0x411635…
10-26 04:32:33	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0x945606…
10-26 04:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xb3d920…
10-26 04:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	78	20¢	$16	0x6ec7e4…
10-26 04:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	451	9¢	$40	0xb2a8e5…
10-26 04:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	581	8¢	$47	0x5b2d66…
10-26 04:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	351	11¢	$40	0x3417a2…
10-26 04:22:11	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	130	22¢	$29	0x42b1ad…
10-26 04:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	187	28¢	$52	0xe959ab…
10-26 04:13:41	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x813ae2…
10-26 04:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x720ec3…
10-26 04:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	187	27¢	$50	0x9788cc…
10-26 04:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xf2a36d…
10-26 04:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x948c62…
10-26 04:09:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	92	38¢	$35	0x019fba…
10-26 04:09:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	92	22¢	$20	0x9eef07…
10-26 04:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	183	11¢	$20	0x21d80b…
10-26 04:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0x985c2d…
10-26 04:07:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	118	18¢	$22	0x3b094e…
10-26 04:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xb00621…
10-26 04:06:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	236	17¢	$40	0xe228d9…
10-26 04:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xad6c6b…
10-26 04:04:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	197	10¢	$20	0x55aa1d…
10-26 03:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	367	80¢	$292	0x78fad5…
10-26 03:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	367	32¢	$118	0x618edc…
10-26 03:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	762	4¢	$30	0xca56b2…
10-26 03:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xf8c1fa…
10-26 03:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0xf62f93…
10-26 03:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xb4055f…
10-26 03:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	269	14¢	$39	0xd5670b…
10-26 03:45:06	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	214	13¢	$28	0x19bc3d…
10-26 03:44:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	484	20¢	$97	0x397dfb…
10-26 03:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	340	6¢	$20	0xc7c018…
10-26 03:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x028bdc…
10-26 03:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	152	11¢	$17	0x855c5d…
10-26 03:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x53f99a…
10-26 03:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	105	29¢	$30	0xd6c13a…
10-26 03:36:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	91	63¢	$57	0x92e42e…
10-26 03:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x25e068…
10-26 03:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	138	37¢	$52	0x995745…
10-26 03:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0x761df5…
10-26 03:34:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	194	5¢	$10	0x768886…
10-26 03:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xcb9a46…
10-26 03:33:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	87	56¢	$48	0x4a62d0…
10-26 03:32:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xb9350c…
10-26 03:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x8ab8b8…
10-26 03:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	81	41¢	$33	0x958bab…
10-26 03:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x35aca0…
10-26 03:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xfb5a87…