Clean-Larva — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

419

Trades

664

lifetime

Volume

$932

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-28 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% -$28

Other

3% 62% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	10-08 11:40
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	09-24 09:34
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	Yes	-2	-$1	1¢	$-0	+$1	10-28 13:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:35 UTC	3	$27	24	10	+14	Down	+$7	03-06 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:50 UTC	2	$24	25	0	+25	Up	-$24	03-06 13:55
bitcoin up or down march 3 9am et	6	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	03-03 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:45 UTC	4	$21	12	10	+2	Down	+$0	03-06 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:40 UTC	2	$21	22	0	+22	Up	-$1	03-06 10:45
bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	4	$20	11	11	+0	Down	$0	03-03 10:11
bitcoin up or down march 3 3am et	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-03 09:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 10:15 UTC	2	$16	15	2	+13	Up	+$0	03-06 10:29
bitcoin up or down march 8 3pm et	1	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	03-08 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:30 UTC	3	$14	17	0	+17	Up	-$8	03-06 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:05 UTC	3	$13	14	0	+14	Up	+$1	03-06 13:09
bitcoin up or down march 3 2am et	3	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-03 08:04
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?	2	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	10-02 07:38
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	2	$12	9	9	+0	No	+$4	10-19 12:24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	3	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$1	09-30 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:25 UTC	4	$11	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	03-06 10:29
will ethereum dip to 2600 in october 2026	6	$11	0	16	-16	Yes	-$5	10-02 04:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:10 UTC	2	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	03-06 13:15
bitcoin up or down march 4 6am et	3	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-04 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	3	$11	7	5	+1	Up	$0	05-17 10:14
will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-28 10:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:10 UTC	4	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 05:10
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-21 23:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 13:15 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-06 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 11:10 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-06 11:13
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7am et	3	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	04-21 12:14
will ethereum dip to 2600 september 28 october 4 2026	3	$8	4	9	-6	No	+$3	10-02 04:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:40 UTC	3	$7	6	5	+1	Down	+$3	03-06 12:45
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	2	$7	0	20	-20	Yes	-$3	10-12 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:35 UTC	3	$7	7	2	+5	Down	$0	03-07 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:33:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0x4f6ba1…
10-28 13:32:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xd8450b…
10-28 11:31:34	Will Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United end in a draw?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xe28f59…
10-28 11:11:32	Will Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x78ca51…
10-25 12:54:57	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x759912…
10-22 12:29:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 19-25?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x13c0df…
10-19 12:25:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x17f392…
10-19 12:24:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x2fa48c…
10-14 11:57:11	Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x164fa5…
10-14 11:29:44	Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb7215f…
10-13 03:27:50	Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x4b12d2…
10-13 03:26:42	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x20690d…
10-12 15:03:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xacd63e…
10-12 14:55:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x7d8ebb…
10-12 12:38:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x43078d…
10-11 13:19:21	Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x9cde65…
10-08 14:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xf0f81d…
10-08 11:40:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xac4ca4…
10-08 04:53:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x2d4457…
10-08 04:52:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x81a234…
10-07 02:36:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x5e1623…
10-07 02:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x56ef00…
10-06 11:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x95ff9a…
10-05 09:26:58	will ethereum dip to 2500 october 5 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xb12374…
10-05 09:17:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x54549f…
10-05 09:03:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xcdef3a…
10-05 08:57:38	will ethereum dip to 2600 october 5 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x2247f7…
10-05 07:48:16	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x49eb8b…
10-05 07:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x98b8ea…
10-05 07:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x73e6a7…
10-05 07:37:49	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x3d7538…
10-05 07:19:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x433073…
10-05 07:17:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x8d9d95…
10-05 07:17:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x30699b…
10-05 05:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xf41d86…
10-05 04:37:05	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xde7231…
10-05 04:02:02	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc73e71…
10-05 03:37:49	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x162723…
10-03 12:57:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd650ad…
10-02 10:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x4045f0…
10-02 10:54:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x0b74d3…
10-02 09:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xf10bcd…
10-02 09:36:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x9b1677…
10-02 07:38:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3fe8b5…
10-02 04:53:33	will ethereum dip to 2600 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x0bedf3…
10-02 04:53:02	will ethereum dip to 2600 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x19177f…
10-02 04:50:18	will ethereum dip to 2600 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xf20ec9…
10-02 04:49:17	will ethereum dip to 2600 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x659389…
10-02 04:48:30	will ethereum dip to 2600 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xb86eaf…
10-02 04:47:54	will ethereum dip to 2600 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x284fe0…
10-02 04:36:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4?	No	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0xd55771…
10-02 02:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x6131bd…
10-01 10:05:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x497c62…
10-01 03:08:35	will ethereum dip to 2600 september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x3aed81…
10-01 01:54:59	will ethereum dip to 2600 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe3c671…
09-30 14:27:29	Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x4e45c4…
09-30 14:27:02	Will Germany vs. Serbia end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x175975…
09-30 14:23:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x0b413e…
09-30 13:03:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x476fe6…
09-30 13:01:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x488f04…
09-30 09:45:41	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0xf78c51…
09-30 09:41:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x98416f…
09-30 09:40:27	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x23fb2a…
09-30 09:38:20	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x60ab15…
09-30 09:35:56	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x95db90…
09-30 09:34:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x9a0c48…
09-30 09:34:30	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x541b0b…
09-30 08:31:17	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2d0e52…
09-30 08:29:39	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x6debbb…
09-30 07:49:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x904774…
09-30 07:49:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x19f1c5…
09-30 06:22:50	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x07b498…
09-30 05:35:30	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xc76650…
09-30 03:27:36	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x6b5d06…
09-30 02:40:23	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x87b1ef…
09-30 01:59:05	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xa402c1…
09-30 01:52:20	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 9pm et	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x0e9396…
09-30 01:52:02	ethereum up or down september 29 2026 9pm et	Down	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x8a07fb…
09-30 01:38:26	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x11d7bd…
09-30 01:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xed5e55…
09-30 00:37:15	Will Germany vs. Serbia end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf51ada…
09-30 00:36:42	Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x33c67d…
09-30 00:32:32	Will AS Roma vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcec29b…
09-30 00:29:44	ethereum up or down september 29 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x897441…
09-30 00:24:32	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xc15d22…
09-29 11:41:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-29 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xb97aa4…
09-29 11:41:09	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xbc7ab0…
09-29 10:32:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x744af8…
09-29 10:32:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x6e9496…
09-29 10:29:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-29 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xbb72c1…
09-29 10:20:47	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x452285…
09-29 10:20:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-29 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x431ff8…
09-29 09:54:45	Will South Sudan vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x7e3386…
09-29 09:53:09	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2c49a0…
09-29 09:52:41	Will Czechia vs. England end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x65071d…
09-29 09:52:20	Will South Sudan vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc996f8…
09-29 09:51:33	Will Gambia win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x876797…
09-29 09:50:12	Will South Sudan vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdac67b…
09-29 09:47:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-29 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x805a2e…
09-29 09:45:15	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x7bb425…