Mushy-Locker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$228

Unrealized P&L

-$40

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

101

Trades

275

lifetime

Volume

$5.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$90

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-09 00:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

54% 65% -$87

Sports

24% 55% -$35

Crypto

18% 42% -$94

Politics

4% 25% -$14

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No		-147	-$22	45¢	$-66	-$44	05-08 13:31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-115	-$28	21¢	$-24	+$4	05-08 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$201	191	191	+0	No	+$1	04-20 16:26
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	7	$137	261	248	+13	Yes	-$13	04-18 10:54
cs2 1win bbp 2026 04 14	4	$106	56	56	+0	1WIN	+$6	04-14 19:53
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$105	138	138	+0	No	+$5	04-20 05:14
xrp above 1pt3 on april 17	4	$100	51	51	+0	Yes	+$0	04-16 20:24
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	4	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	05-08 13:31
nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	4	$91	93	92	+1	Canadiens	-$7	04-19 23:25
nhl lak col 2026 04 19	3	$88	278	271	+7	Avalanche	-$12	04-19 21:13
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$81	496	496	+0	No	+$6	04-18 21:12
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 liv	3	$81	196	192	+4	Yes	-$15	04-19 14:48
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	4	$81	231	218	+13	No	-$19	04-19 08:35
highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 17c	3	$79	86	44	+43	No	+$22	04-17 13:20
dota2 pari heroic 2026 04 19 game1	3	$79	59	29	+30	PARIVISION	+$8	04-19 16:59
dota2 bb4 vp 2026 04 18	3	$79	58	29	+29	BetBoom Team	+$8	04-18 15:27
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 31corhigher	6	$77	56	28	+28	No	+$6	04-19 06:32
highest temperature in lagos on april 19 2026 35c	3	$77	54	27	+27	No	+$3	04-19 14:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$76	531	531	+0	No	-$4	05-21 18:26
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 17c	5	$76	52	26	+26	No	+$2	04-15 03:29
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 19corhigher	4	$75	52	26	+26	No	+$1	04-15 13:49
highest temperature in beijing on april 16 2026 23c	5	$75	51	26	+26	No	+$1	04-16 03:38
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 24corhigher	3	$75	51	25	+26	No	+$1	04-16 04:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 21c	3	$75	51	25	+25	No	+$1	04-16 04:13
highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 22c	3	$75	51	25	+25	No	+$0	04-15 13:51
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 16c	3	$75	50	25	+25	No	+$0	04-15 03:30
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	4	$75	108	108	+0	Team Spirit	-$5	05-21 17:56
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$70	352	352	+0	No	-$5	04-19 22:20
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	3	$64	87	45	+42	Natus Vincere	-$16	05-21 10:19
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	3	$60	226	226	+0	Team Falcons	-$20	05-21 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:50 UTC	2	$56	58	56	+2	Up	+$8	04-17 21:53
bitcoin above 76k on april 15	4	$56	226	211	+14	No	+$4	04-15 01:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 00:48:31	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	96	25¢	$24	0x5e5c9d…
06-06 09:04:04	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0xbc2fb3…
06-04 23:26:01	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04	Atlanta Braves	SELL	28	73¢	$21	0x51e706…
06-04 18:24:42	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04	Atlanta Braves	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xfc9ebd…
06-03 23:02:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	34¢	$9	0xaf7abd…
06-03 08:32:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0x78214c…
06-03 00:29:25	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	71¢	$24	0x965ca6…
06-02 21:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9fbee8…
06-02 20:01:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb97d39…
06-01 16:25:14	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xf826a2…
05-27 16:22:09	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x0bd4c6…
05-26 10:41:25	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	New York Yankees	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf547aa…
05-24 16:32:16	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	38	62¢	$24	0xaf4ca2…
05-24 16:32:12	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x6fc591…
05-24 16:31:44	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xba6de9…
05-22 01:44:24	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0xebf85e…
05-21 20:06:47	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	34	43¢	$15	0x9539ba…
05-21 19:57:20	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x263068…
05-21 19:56:49	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x250ae8…
05-21 18:44:03	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	Aurora	SELL	59	41¢	$24	0xaf151f…
05-21 18:37:48	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	Aurora	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xd4e9d6…
05-21 18:26:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	108	8¢	$9	0xd5ad7f…
05-21 17:56:25	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	SELL	54	20¢	$11	0x5471a3…
05-21 17:43:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x9d4856…
05-21 17:38:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	103	9¢	$9	0xb9f743…
05-21 17:38:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0xdd3d4f…
05-21 17:37:24	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	SELL	54	44¢	$24	0x972493…
05-21 17:34:50	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x8eb0ac…
05-21 17:34:32	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xd1c14c…
05-21 17:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	135	7¢	$10	0x1d3c2b…
05-21 17:34:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0x92f60a…
05-21 17:33:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	167	5¢	$8	0xe3bc4f…
05-21 16:47:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x9d2912…
05-21 16:28:32	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x11d686…
05-21 16:28:30	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x67dd58…
05-21 16:28:25	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x546213…
05-21 16:26:16	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x9d02fa…
05-21 14:35:48	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	226	9¢	$20	0xefdb18…
05-21 14:28:40	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x612494…
05-21 14:28:22	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	108	19¢	$20	0x81222b…
05-21 14:27:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	167	5¢	$8	0xa806ca…
05-21 12:41:58	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PlayTime	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0x14d4dd…
05-21 12:13:18	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PlayTime	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xad51a6…
05-21 11:42:02	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	SELL	47	52¢	$24	0x08e84f…
05-21 11:22:31	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x3c1727…
05-21 11:21:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	185	4¢	$8	0x482958…
05-21 10:56:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x1d97ea…
05-21 10:19:15	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0xd4f44d…
05-21 10:15:16	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xc0f332…
05-21 10:14:56	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x442c68…
05-21 09:21:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0xaecada…
05-08 13:31:33	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0x5f6ddc…
05-08 13:31:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	115	24¢	$28	0xd5e4b2…
05-08 13:31:24	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	147	15¢	$22	0xf24c88…
05-08 13:30:37	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	54	45¢	$25	0xd63bd1…
04-20 16:26:12	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	46	51¢	$24	0xe14fc9…
04-20 14:52:46	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa9c479…
04-20 14:51:18	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x10fa53…
04-20 13:02:00	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2fd026…
04-20 12:27:08	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xdd68d8…
04-20 11:28:04	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	135	22¢	$30	0x0df2d7…
04-20 05:14:48	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0xb0c13f…
04-20 04:42:06	nhl utah las 2026 04 19	Utah	SELL	58	14¢	$8	0xb5a0dd…
04-20 03:05:00	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0x302727…
04-20 00:05:08	nhl bos buf 2026 04 19	Sabres	SELL	41	40¢	$16	0x44c3d8…
04-19 23:25:56	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	SELL	46	26¢	$12	0xb799b7…
04-19 23:12:52	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	SELL	46	64¢	$30	0x54f169…
04-19 22:53:06	highest temperature in houston on april 19 2026 72 73f	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xf7205f…
04-19 22:22:52	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x584e75…
04-19 22:22:32	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x1a32a7…
04-19 22:20:54	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0xea83c9…
04-19 22:17:40	nhl utah las 2026 04 19	Utah	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x53df8d…
04-19 22:16:54	nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	Oilers	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xf54511…
04-19 22:16:06	nhl min dal 2026 04 20	Wild	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xef73bc…
04-19 22:10:52	nhl bos buf 2026 04 19	Sabres	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xb568e4…
04-19 22:07:48	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	67	28¢	$19	0x0ceb81…
04-19 22:06:28	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	Yes	SELL	119	10¢	$12	0x70772a…
04-19 22:00:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	145	17¢	$25	0x323568…
04-19 21:42:50	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x541e54…
04-19 21:19:30	highest temperature in houston on april 19 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x9e59d0…
04-19 21:19:12	highest temperature in houston on april 19 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xf97754…
04-19 21:13:44	nhl lak col 2026 04 19	Kings	SELL	271	14¢	$38	0x52b6d0…
04-19 20:48:04	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x71bf6b…
04-19 20:47:46	nhl lak col 2026 04 19	Kings	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xac7af1…
04-19 20:47:28	nhl lak col 2026 04 19	Kings	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xf03d3a…
04-19 19:35:14	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0xa92c10…
04-19 18:44:08	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe476ac…
04-19 18:30:22	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 19 2026 28corhigher	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x551f0a…
04-19 18:25:08	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xa1bf1d…
04-19 17:59:30	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x8dfe6f…
04-19 17:59:12	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x265837…
04-19 17:57:16	bitcoin above 74k on april 20	Yes	SELL	28	68¢	$19	0x4f15cd…
04-19 17:23:38	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x925c04…
04-19 17:12:52	highest temperature in lagos on april 19 2026 34c	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x561b31…
04-19 16:59:54	dota2 pari heroic 2026 04 19 game1	PARIVISION	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xe00b67…
04-19 16:58:02	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	SELL	91	19¢	$17	0x1c1a27…
04-19 16:48:34	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	Yes	SELL	106	18¢	$19	0x28a000…
04-19 16:45:36	dota2 pari heroic 2026 04 19 game1	PARIVISION	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x99bbbf…
04-19 16:45:18	dota2 pari heroic 2026 04 19 game1	PARIVISION	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x8742ea…
04-19 16:28:00	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 19 2026 28corhigher	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xdd9ac1…