Rough-Prior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.77K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

323

Trades

3,440

lifetime

Volume

$571.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-19 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

52% 58% +$6,204

Crypto

47% 43% $-8,970

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	36	$20.1K	14,446	14,224	+222	open	—	04-27 21:14
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$19.0K	10,796	10,796	+0	Yes	+$2,580	05-06 23:00
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	2	$12.0K	7,042	7,042	+0	Over	+$2,035	05-09 18:25
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	2	$11.3K	6,291	6,291	+0	open	—	05-02 21:13
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	2	$11.1K	6,082	6,082	+0	open	—	05-03 15:50
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5	7	$11.0K	6,754	6,754	+0	open	—	05-18 19:38
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	3	$10.7K	9,012	9,012	+0	open	—	07-15 20:51
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score	2	$9.3K	7,760	7,760	+0	open	—	05-17 19:37
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$9.2K	5,333	5,333	+0	open	—	07-12 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	15	$7.9K	7,027	6,278	+749	Down	+$1,751	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	5	$6.7K	3,745	3,745	+0	Down	+$708	05-06 10:49
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score	2	$6.7K	4,179	4,179	+0	Yes	+$1,675	05-12 18:51
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 btts	2	$6.5K	4,032	4,032	+0	open	—	07-07 00:35
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	2	$6.4K	3,913	3,913	+0	open	—	05-17 13:06
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	2	$6.2K	3,671	3,671	+0	Yes	+$1,167	05-12 17:55
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score	7	$6.0K	3,551	3,551	+0	open	—	05-17 20:55
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	26	$6.0K	8,076	29	+8,047	open	—	05-18 20:42
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	2	$5.6K	3,687	3,687	+0	open	—	07-10 19:48
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	19	$4.9K	3,130	3,130	+0	open	—	07-11 23:49
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total home 1pt5	2	$4.8K	2,820	2,820	+0	open	—	07-10 20:53
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	2	$4.8K	2,834	2,834	+0	Over	+$847	05-12 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	8	$4.6K	2,946	2,864	+82	Down	+$547	05-06 00:22
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$4.3K	3,714	3,714	+0	open	—	04-30 08:37
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	28	$4.1K	2,112	2,112	+0	open	—	04-24 10:56
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	2	$4.1K	2,584	2,584	+0	open	—	05-17 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	6	$3.8K	7,707	0	+7,707	open	—	05-17 14:40
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	21	$3.3K	1,907	1,907	+0	open	—	07-04 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	7	$3.0K	2,557	2,557	+0	Up	+$1,018	05-06 10:29
btc updown 5m 1783895400	6	$3.0K	5,574	0	+5,574	open	—	07-12 22:31
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 total 2pt5	2	$2.7K	1,724	1,702	+22	open	—	04-13 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 17:32:19	btc updown 5m 1784482200	Down	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xfda2dc…
07-19 17:30:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2,195	41¢	$900	0xd5df15…
07-19 17:29:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0x8dd737…
07-16 16:05:47	btc updown 5m 1784217900	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xe54567…
07-16 16:02:25	btc updown 5m 1784217600	Up	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x97601a…
07-16 15:56:02	btc updown 5m 1784217300	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xf1b657…
07-16 15:49:41	btc updown 5m 1784216700	Up	SELL	303	42¢	$128	0x4eb4fa…
07-16 15:46:37	btc updown 5m 1784216700	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x7167f7…
07-16 15:41:53	btc updown 5m 1784216400	Up	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x2387e8…
07-16 15:38:55	btc updown 5m 1784216100	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x7e2a77…
07-16 15:32:05	btc updown 5m 1784215800	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x958bd0…
07-16 15:12:37	btc updown 5m 1784214600	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xf0260b…
07-16 15:05:52	btc updown 5m 1784214300	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x860137…
07-16 14:58:46	btc updown 5m 1784213700	Up	SELL	150	43¢	$64	0x5178a0…
07-16 14:55:50	btc updown 5m 1784213700	Up	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x4622bb…
07-16 14:50:34	btc updown 5m 1784213400	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x1c2687…
07-16 14:42:14	btc updown 5m 1784212800	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x694adc…
07-16 14:39:10	btc updown 5m 1784212500	Down	SELL	99	89¢	$88	0xda8245…
07-16 14:37:22	btc updown 5m 1784212500	Down	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x01ccc0…
07-16 14:36:19	btc updown 5m 1784212500	Down	BUY	199	25¢	$50	0x18e0f0…
07-16 14:31:13	btc updown 5m 1784212200	Up	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x92b1e0…
07-16 14:26:56	btc updown 5m 1784211900	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x18d215…
07-16 14:19:07	btc updown 5m 1784211300	Down	SELL	81	85¢	$69	0x074b33…
07-16 14:16:56	btc updown 5m 1784211300	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xb2ff7d…
07-16 14:13:50	btc updown 5m 1784211000	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x52efce…
07-16 14:02:31	btc updown 5m 1784210400	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x61fc3a…
07-16 13:45:32	btc updown 5m 1784209500	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x546955…
07-16 13:39:50	btc updown 5m 1784208900	Down	SELL	276	78¢	$216	0x39069b…
07-16 13:38:29	btc updown 5m 1784208900	Down	SELL	250	54¢	$135	0x8905fc…
07-16 13:36:29	btc updown 5m 1784208900	Down	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xd24ac1…
07-16 13:31:23	btc updown 5m 1784208600	Down	SELL	250	47¢	$116	0x84d873…
07-16 13:30:50	btc updown 5m 1784208600	Down	BUY	510	20¢	$100	0x0f0a54…
07-16 13:20:32	btc updown 5m 1784208000	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xe6680b…
07-16 13:15:31	btc updown 5m 1784207700	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x7bf1e2…
07-16 13:11:05	btc updown 5m 1784207400	Down	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x7401c1…
07-16 13:06:23	btc updown 5m 1784207100	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x68b01e…
07-16 13:02:52	btc updown 5m 1784206800	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xb8203e…
07-16 12:36:20	btc updown 5m 1784205300	Up	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x66243e…
07-16 12:31:50	btc updown 5m 1784205000	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x62e988…
07-16 12:28:16	btc updown 5m 1784204700	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x801ffe…
07-16 12:07:55	btc updown 5m 1784203500	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x85e79b…
07-16 12:01:52	btc updown 5m 1784203200	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x3d4a27…
07-16 00:12:02	btc updown 5m 1784160600	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x933e08…
07-16 00:09:44	btc updown 5m 1784160300	Up	SELL	172	83¢	$142	0xc11889…
07-16 00:06:29	btc updown 5m 1784160300	Up	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x30c11c…
07-15 23:57:26	btc updown 5m 1784159700	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x840841…
07-15 23:51:43	btc updown 5m 1784159400	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x2ece65…
07-15 23:47:43	btc updown 5m 1784159100	Down	SELL	119	63¢	$75	0x2efc38…
07-15 23:46:31	btc updown 5m 1784159100	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xe504b6…
07-15 23:41:19	btc updown 5m 1784158800	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x920d3b…
07-15 21:11:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	913	100¢	$911	0x7ef79e…
07-15 20:51:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	4,012	100¢	$4,008	0x5fef73…
07-15 20:50:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	913	55¢	$500	0xf443b4…
07-15 20:44:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	5,000	36¢	$1,800	0x480a36…
07-15 18:49:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	9,012	54¢	$4,867	0xcd5424…
07-14 17:48:02	btc updown 5m 1784051100	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x8fdd02…
07-14 17:41:49	btc updown 5m 1784050800	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xcaf27d…
07-14 17:38:46	btc updown 5m 1784050500	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x94d1c1…
07-14 14:43:56	btc updown 5m 1784040000	Up	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0xa876eb…
07-14 14:30:35	btc updown 5m 1784039400	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xeeb4fe…
07-14 14:21:50	btc updown 5m 1784038800	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x6c8fb7…
07-14 14:19:55	btc updown 5m 1784038500	Up	SELL	139	67¢	$93	0x9acc69…
07-14 14:16:20	btc updown 5m 1784038500	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xc3e168…
07-14 14:12:59	btc updown 5m 1784038200	Up	SELL	86	94¢	$81	0x6b6abf…
07-14 14:10:44	btc updown 5m 1784038200	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xc9ee7b…
07-14 14:05:22	btc updown 5m 1784037900	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x19a14c…
07-14 13:49:11	btc updown 5m 1784036700	Down	SELL	96	90¢	$87	0x361a34…
07-14 13:45:55	btc updown 5m 1784036700	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x74cdf7…
07-14 13:42:53	btc updown 5m 1784036400	Down	SELL	246	84¢	$206	0x56aa9f…
07-14 13:40:50	btc updown 5m 1784036400	Down	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0x897f79…
07-14 13:21:11	btc updown 5m 1784035200	Down	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x2befd3…
07-14 13:15:55	btc updown 5m 1784034900	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x5dcbc6…
07-14 13:01:22	btc updown 5m 1784034000	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x9ee256…
07-14 12:51:16	btc updown 5m 1784033400	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x7b92a9…
07-13 22:54:11	btc updown 5m 1783983000	Up	SELL	668	32¢	$215	0x687e08…
07-13 22:53:43	btc updown 5m 1783983000	Up	BUY	668	7¢	$50	0xf2801f…
07-13 22:47:49	btc updown 5m 1783982700	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xdf8b72…
07-13 22:39:25	btc updown 5m 1783982100	Down	SELL	78	58¢	$45	0x400fe0…
07-13 22:37:22	btc updown 5m 1783982100	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x699013…
07-13 22:32:26	btc updown 5m 1783981800	Down	SELL	83	86¢	$72	0xc3ada8…
07-13 22:30:35	btc updown 5m 1783981800	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x4f3622…
07-13 22:14:40	btc updown 5m 1783980600	Down	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0xa6abd0…
07-13 22:13:07	btc updown 5m 1783980600	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2fb37b…
07-13 22:12:01	btc updown 5m 1783980600	Up	SELL	192	61¢	$118	0xd5739f…
07-13 22:11:26	btc updown 5m 1783980600	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xa87d34…
07-13 22:09:49	btc updown 5m 1783980300	Down	SELL	83	3¢	$2	0xfd5999…
07-13 22:05:59	btc updown 5m 1783980300	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x0c8054…
07-13 21:48:49	btc updown 5m 1783979100	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x391265…
07-13 21:47:10	btc updown 5m 1783979100	Up	SELL	217	39¢	$84	0x9decf8…
07-13 21:45:56	btc updown 5m 1783979100	Up	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x2d347c…
07-13 21:44:31	btc updown 5m 1783978800	Up	SELL	200	36¢	$73	0x868342…
07-13 21:42:16	btc updown 5m 1783978800	Up	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xfda70a…
07-13 21:36:17	btc updown 5m 1783978500	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x9ddb95…
07-13 21:26:14	btc updown 5m 1783977900	Up	BUY	202	25¢	$50	0x06fc0b…
07-13 21:24:41	btc updown 5m 1783977600	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x43fb51…
07-13 21:12:37	btc updown 5m 1783977000	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xfc4122…
07-13 20:58:13	btc updown 5m 1783976100	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xf13e9e…
07-13 20:53:17	btc updown 5m 1783975800	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xb9736a…
07-13 20:44:17	btc updown 5m 1783975200	Down	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0xea7e43…
07-13 20:42:02	btc updown 5m 1783975200	Down	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x5f2af2…