Rough-Prior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.77K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

323

Trades

2,759

lifetime

Volume

$471.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-30 11:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 43% $-8,970

Other

49% 58% +$6,204

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	36	$20.1K	14,446	14,224	+222	open	—	04-27 21:14
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$19.0K	10,796	10,796	+0	Yes	+$2,580	05-06 23:00
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	2	$12.0K	7,042	7,042	+0	Over	+$2,035	05-09 18:25
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	2	$11.3K	6,291	6,291	+0	open	—	05-02 21:13
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	2	$11.1K	6,082	6,082	+0	open	—	05-03 15:50
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5	7	$11.0K	6,754	6,754	+0	open	—	05-18 19:38
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score	2	$9.3K	7,760	7,760	+0	open	—	05-17 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	15	$7.9K	7,027	6,278	+749	Down	+$1,751	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	5	$6.7K	3,745	3,745	+0	Down	+$708	05-06 10:49
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score	2	$6.7K	4,179	4,179	+0	Yes	+$1,675	05-12 18:51
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	2	$6.4K	3,913	3,913	+0	open	—	05-17 13:06
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	2	$6.2K	3,671	3,671	+0	Yes	+$1,167	05-12 17:55
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score	7	$6.0K	3,551	3,551	+0	open	—	05-17 20:55
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	26	$6.0K	8,076	29	+8,047	open	—	05-18 20:42
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	2	$4.8K	2,834	2,834	+0	Over	+$847	05-12 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	8	$4.6K	2,946	2,864	+82	Down	+$547	05-06 00:22
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$4.3K	3,714	3,714	+0	open	—	04-30 08:37
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	28	$4.1K	2,112	2,112	+0	open	—	04-24 10:56
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	2	$4.1K	2,584	2,584	+0	open	—	05-17 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	6	$3.8K	7,707	0	+7,707	open	—	05-17 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	7	$3.0K	2,557	2,557	+0	Up	+$1,018	05-06 10:29
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 total 2pt5	2	$2.7K	1,724	1,702	+22	open	—	04-13 21:35
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$2.7K	1,695	1,695	+0	open	—	05-15 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	5	$2.5K	4,024	0	+4,024	Up	$-2,500	05-06 11:00
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5	2	$2.3K	1,316	1,316	+0	Over	+$314	05-10 14:22
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)	2	$2.3K	1,261	1,261	+0	open	—	05-14 20:09
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	2	$2.2K	1,220	1,220	+0	open	—	04-29 21:02
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	40	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	05-20 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$2.0K	4,337	0	+4,337	open	—	05-17 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$2.0K	3,196	0	+3,196	Down	+$1,196	05-06 00:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 11:11:16	btc updown 5m 1782817800	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xda2495…
06-30 11:09:43	btc updown 5m 1782817500	Up	SELL	161	55¢	$88	0x2f8af5…
06-30 11:07:25	btc updown 5m 1782817500	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x42ab1a…
06-30 11:01:47	btc updown 5m 1782817200	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xc8b962…
06-30 10:56:49	btc updown 5m 1782816900	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5d6aa4…
06-30 10:54:35	btc updown 5m 1782816600	Up	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x938225…
06-30 10:51:56	btc updown 5m 1782816600	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x854403…
05-25 12:54:47	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	71	63¢	$45	0xeb13ca…
05-24 21:31:13	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xa54688…
05-24 21:10:45	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xb02773…
05-24 21:10:10	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	109	26¢	$28	0x6954e3…
05-24 20:35:45	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x043e8b…
05-24 20:33:11	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	189	43¢	$81	0xf631e9…
05-24 18:11:48	US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x65b034…
05-24 18:10:44	Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xba3070…
05-24 18:09:14	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x8bed8a…
05-24 16:53:37	Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	175	29¢	$50	0x9eabbb…
05-24 16:43:01	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xfbcb6f…
05-24 16:39:09	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x146304…
05-24 16:15:45	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	Yes	SELL	773	99¢	$769	0x155330…
05-24 14:59:31	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xf202b2…
05-23 13:53:54	Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xe30a18…
05-20 22:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,190	40¢	$476	0xfb93b9…
05-20 22:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xab392d…
05-20 22:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	218	16¢	$35	0x262c7c…
05-20 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0xddba6d…
05-20 22:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	249	22¢	$56	0xb3aa55…
05-20 22:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	152	29¢	$45	0xdef18a…
05-20 21:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xae0bac…
05-20 21:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x09ed05…
05-20 21:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x758b31…
05-20 21:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	263	15¢	$39	0xa51abd…
05-20 21:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x29a401…
05-20 21:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6027c6…
05-20 21:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	260	44¢	$115	0xc630d4…
05-20 21:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	260	19¢	$50	0x599d7f…
05-20 21:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	153	81¢	$125	0x4bae5a…
05-20 21:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xf8286e…
05-20 21:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xf90dde…
05-20 21:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	128	54¢	$69	0x3a60ff…
05-20 21:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0x5c8ac1…
05-20 21:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	170	98¢	$167	0x1d3b3e…
05-20 21:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xcbddb1…
05-20 21:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6ba80b…
05-20 21:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	76	50¢	$38	0x86a1e6…
05-20 21:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x22f5f1…
05-20 21:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1,099	87¢	$958	0xc65483…
05-20 21:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	974	72¢	$705	0xc7c3a2…
05-20 21:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	76¢	$95	0x82bb30…
05-20 21:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x3fbd4a…
05-20 21:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	876	95¢	$836	0x6e53af…
05-20 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	876	46¢	$400	0x685dbd…
05-20 21:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	404	25¢	$100	0xd2cc67…
05-20 21:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xecd837…
05-20 21:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	83	30¢	$25	0xc2e7b2…
05-20 21:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	83	42¢	$35	0x1162d7…
05-20 21:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	471	51¢	$241	0xad25f0…
05-20 21:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	471	40¢	$190	0x08ec03…
05-20 21:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	374	78¢	$290	0x456faf…
05-20 20:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	316	95¢	$300	0x1b02b2…
05-20 20:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	316	68¢	$215	0x7b6ffb…
05-20 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x1e1a52…
05-20 20:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	644	55¢	$357	0x88f9b2…
05-20 20:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	644	16¢	$100	0x4ac51f…
05-20 20:28:09	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	653	100¢	$652	0x2c4dcb…
05-20 20:09:38	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	653	76¢	$496	0xcf9211…
05-20 18:13:26	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	178	50¢	$89	0x3d7d6e…
05-20 18:13:24	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcefa5a…
05-20 18:13:24	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4f3653…
05-20 18:13:22	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	222	50¢	$111	0xfe0f4e…
05-20 18:13:22	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdd0f3a…
05-20 18:13:22	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xa31457…
05-20 18:13:22	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x8e5c1e…
05-20 18:13:22	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x590f73…
05-20 18:13:22	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	357	50¢	$178	0x2f26b8…
05-20 18:13:22	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2dfcf4…
05-20 18:13:21	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xcec97f…
05-20 18:13:21	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ae1f7…
05-20 18:13:21	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1e1d22…
05-20 18:13:21	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x0a2457…
05-20 18:13:17	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4d9416…
05-20 18:13:17	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x05790e…
05-20 18:13:15	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xbd4b65…
05-20 18:13:15	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	872	50¢	$436	0x80a798…
05-20 18:13:15	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ac542…
05-20 18:13:15	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	227	50¢	$114	0x3bca7e…
05-20 18:13:15	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x06653e…
05-20 18:13:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	227	50¢	$114	0xde8aff…
05-20 18:13:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd8d464…
05-20 18:13:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	872	50¢	$436	0xb7fd7c…
05-20 18:13:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa150d1…
05-20 18:13:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x837de9…
05-20 18:13:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7d94ee…
05-20 18:13:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3d917a…
05-20 18:13:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x227c28…
05-20 18:13:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x1c546d…
05-20 18:13:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0ce444…
05-20 18:13:12	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x90f835…
05-20 18:13:12	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x18bc9c…
05-20 18:13:10	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6af3e0…