Rough-Prior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

1,934

Trades

3,881

lifetime

Volume

$719.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$185

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-26 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

61% 53% +$27,552

Crypto

38% 40% -$20,621

Sports

1% 20% -$857

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	36	$20.1K	14,446	14,224	+222	Yes	+$6,280	04-27 21:14
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$19.0K	10,796	10,796	+0	Yes	+$2,580	05-06 23:00
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	2	$12.0K	7,042	7,042	+0	Over	+$2,035	05-09 18:25
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$11.4K	7,246	7,246	+0	Yes	+$1,445	05-09 20:25
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	2	$11.3K	6,291	6,291	+0	CA Osasuna	+$1,285	05-02 21:13
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	2	$11.1K	6,082	6,082	+0	Over	+$1,076	05-03 15:50
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5	7	$11.0K	6,754	6,754	+0	Under	+$1,074	05-18 19:38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	2	$10.8K	5,814	5,814	+0	Yes	+$808	05-02 18:27
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	3	$10.7K	9,012	9,012	+0	Yes	+$942	07-15 20:51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$10.4K	6,301	6,301	+0	Yes	+$387	05-17 13:08
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score	2	$9.3K	7,760	7,760	+0	No	-$594	05-17 19:37
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$9.2K	5,333	5,333	+0	Argentina	+$1,200	07-12 03:34
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	5	$8.4K	5,946	5,946	+0	Yes	+$2,394	05-08 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	15	$7.9K	7,027	6,278	+749	Down	+$1,751	05-06 00:29
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?	2	$7.0K	4,464	4,464	+0	Yes	+$1,960	05-07 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	5	$6.7K	3,745	3,745	+0	Down	+$708	05-06 10:49
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score	2	$6.7K	4,179	4,179	+0	Yes	+$1,675	05-12 18:51
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 btts	2	$6.5K	4,032	4,032	+0	Yes	+$1,528	07-07 00:35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$6.5K	6,250	6,250	+0	Yes	+$1,508	05-03 15:42
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	2	$6.4K	3,913	3,913	+0	Over	+$1,409	05-17 13:06
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	2	$6.2K	3,671	3,671	+0	Yes	+$1,167	05-12 17:55
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score	7	$6.0K	3,551	3,551	+0	Yes	+$1,047	05-17 20:55
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	26	$6.0K	8,076	29	+8,047	Burnley FC	-$5,967	05-18 20:42
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?	2	$5.9K	3,571	3,571	+0	Yes	+$930	05-17 10:35
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?	2	$5.8K	3,906	3,906	+0	No	+$836	05-12 20:19
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-16?	3	$5.6K	3,181	3,181	+0	Yes	+$650	05-16 20:13
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	2	$5.6K	3,687	3,687	+0	Yes	+$1,729	07-10 19:48
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	19	$4.9K	3,130	3,130	+0	England	+$850	07-11 23:49
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total home 1pt5	2	$4.8K	2,820	2,820	+0	Over	+$815	07-10 20:53
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	2	$4.8K	2,834	2,834	+0	Over	+$847	05-12 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:52:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x70e0d5…
10-26 22:24:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0xb9bffc…
10-26 22:24:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	95	25¢	$24	0x728be1…
10-26 22:16:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0x5ecc8f…
09-11 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	103	51¢	$53	0x013a2d…
09-11 21:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0xcdec3d…
09-11 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	58	55¢	$32	0x3bee2b…
09-11 21:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x507287…
09-11 21:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x07d40e…
09-11 19:07:03	Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	702	70¢	$491	0x1c0ae6…
09-11 19:05:16	Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	116	70¢	$81	0xb9582d…
09-11 19:03:06	Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	598	70¢	$418	0xecb6d6…
09-10 22:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb3e3d8…
09-10 21:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x50a3bd…
09-10 21:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xba7973…
09-10 21:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb75864…
09-10 21:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc0140a…
09-09 22:10:57	Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 0 LDU de Quito?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x2da53e…
09-09 21:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x09113a…
09-09 21:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5e415a…
09-09 21:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	77	97¢	$75	0x15aff3…
09-09 21:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x7f6a8c…
09-09 21:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xe9f9f5…
09-09 21:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x1def80…
09-09 20:57:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0x5b1f1c…
09-09 20:35:09	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	267	38¢	$100	0xae8460…
09-09 18:57:04	Karim Adeyemi: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	1,075	100¢	$1,074	0xaab68e…
09-09 16:36:28	Karim Adeyemi: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	1,075	47¢	$500	0x531676…
09-08 20:59:33	FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xb13595…
09-08 20:45:49	FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	109	32¢	$35	0x2c754f…
09-08 20:35:00	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1,940	100¢	$1,938	0x7cec23…
09-08 19:31:00	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	373	50¢	$186	0x4d8c7b…
09-08 19:30:58	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,478	50¢	$739	0x23d598…
09-08 19:30:54	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x3f8242…
09-08 19:30:19	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$17	0x019d61…
08-23 19:06:03	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x86a2eb…
08-23 15:45:00	Spread: FK Spartak Moskva (-1.5)	FK Zenit	BUY	492	85¢	$418	0x93e49c…
08-23 11:53:12	Spread: FK Spartak Moskva (-1.5)	FK Zenit	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x7c7a7d…
08-23 11:53:10	Spread: FK Spartak Moskva (-1.5)	FK Zenit	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xe1face…
08-23 11:37:34	Spread: FK Spartak Moskva (-1.5)	FK Zenit	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x42a065…
08-22 21:46:52	gsc bvb bmu 2026 08 22 btts	Yes	SELL	1,427	100¢	$1,425	0x40dd20…
08-22 18:12:39	gsc bvb bmu 2026 08 22 btts	Yes	BUY	1,427	69¢	$984	0xb825be…
07-29 19:45:48	ucl sba sab 2026 07 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x6b9c0b…
07-29 19:43:41	ucl gor fen 2026 07 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4b9336…
07-29 19:40:47	ucl sba sab 2026 07 29 btts	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x788bed…
07-29 18:57:14	ucl sba sab 2026 07 29 btts	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x0c8867…
07-29 18:50:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x127584…
07-29 17:41:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xfec297…
07-28 02:07:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	264	34¢	$90	0xff070d…
07-28 02:02:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xcb275d…
07-28 01:57:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xaa0cca…
07-28 01:51:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x834a1f…
07-28 00:52:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	310	26¢	$80	0x2606ab…
07-28 00:46:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	118	21¢	$25	0xe88de3…
07-28 00:41:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x5a067a…
07-28 00:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xac3ba2…
07-28 00:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x01dff7…
07-28 00:29:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	468	2¢	$10	0xe63ca3…
07-28 00:28:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:25 UTC	Up	SELL	114	77¢	$88	0xbcc08f…
07-28 00:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x051a18…
07-28 00:21:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xc9e684…
07-28 00:18:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	243	10¢	$25	0xe43bf1…
07-28 00:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	78	63¢	$49	0xb938c1…
07-28 00:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	50	59¢	$29	0x75ef33…
07-28 00:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xcf93b6…
07-28 00:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x9cc772…
07-28 00:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xd95946…
07-28 00:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x713df8…
07-27 23:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x7a5af0…
07-27 22:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xfa973a…
07-27 21:17:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0x15fdb7…
07-27 21:12:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xa5bd25…
07-27 21:05:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xcad7af…
07-27 20:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	221	11¢	$25	0x146fe4…
07-27 20:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x9fb317…
07-27 20:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x5bc132…
07-27 20:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x5c5cf6…
07-27 20:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x35c37a…
07-27 20:17:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x830bfb…
07-27 20:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xd12858…
07-27 20:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x4b5acc…
07-27 20:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	528	5¢	$25	0xa41331…
07-27 19:59:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xce232f…
07-27 19:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x8bc2ec…
07-27 19:48:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	186	13¢	$25	0x151afc…
07-27 17:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	574	4¢	$23	0xc716f9…
07-27 17:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0xbdbecb…
07-27 17:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1ff8e8…
07-27 17:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x448edf…
07-27 16:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x2689f8…
07-27 16:48:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x72d77e…
07-27 16:40:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x44ec90…
07-27 16:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x151ecf…
07-27 16:33:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	156	21¢	$33	0x3f646c…
07-27 16:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xfa40de…
07-26 23:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x06bb35…
07-26 22:59:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x59bb88…
07-26 22:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	110	83¢	$92	0xea31c1…
07-26 22:47:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	110	29¢	$32	0xb6e6df…
07-26 22:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	221	11¢	$25	0x68857d…