Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

27.6%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$1.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$86

9 positions

First seen

2026-09-10

last 10-30 00:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

35% 31% -$56

Other

34% 42% +$9

Sports

31% 37% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+15	$8	97¢	$14	+$7	10-03 16:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+15	$7	94¢	$14	+$7	10-05 02:17
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	+14	$11	86¢	$12	+$1	10-05 22:25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+15	$10	78¢	$12	+$1	10-05 15:18
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+15	$11	78¢	$12	+$1	10-05 01:58
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+15	$11	70¢	$11	-$1	10-05 01:46
Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	+13	$6	46¢	$6	$0	10-30 00:30
Hornets vs. Wizards	Wizards	+12	$6	50¢	$6	$0	10-29 23:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	$0	33¢	$0	$0	09-30 08:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$83	99	99	+0	No	-$7	10-08 19:16
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	6	$71	42	42	+0	Yes	+$6	10-06 09:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$70	44	44	+0	open	—	10-07 11:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	6	$62	51	36	+15	open	—	10-03 16:54
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$59	76	76	+0	Yes	-$6	10-09 18:21
Chiefs vs. Seahawks	7	$54	70	55	+16	Seahawks	-$7	10-25 20:29
trump renames ai by september 30	4	$44	34	34	+0	Yes	-$2	09-29 17:46
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	4	$41	30	30	+0	No	$0	10-04 17:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$38	37	22	+15	open	—	10-05 02:17
Seahawks vs. Broncos	4	$36	42	42	+0	Broncos	+$0	10-15 20:29
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$34	33	19	+14	Yes	-$9	10-04 15:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$33	28	16	+12	Yes	-$10	10-02 11:51
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	4	$32	31	31	+0	Middle Tennessee	-$2	10-13 23:36
Steelers vs. Buccaneers	3	$28	40	25	+14	Steelers	-$7	10-16 13:27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$27	21	16	+5	No	-$5	10-03 16:21
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	09-27 13:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	10-05 01:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	10-02 16:47
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	10-03 13:14
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	2	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	09-29 15:33
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	09-22 22:15
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	09-28 17:10
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	2	$23	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 17:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	3	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	10-23 11:09
nfl car phi 2026 10 18	2	$22	22	22	+0	Panthers	$0	10-15 04:34
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$22	18	18	+0	Cleveland Guardians	$0	10-13 02:05
Bills vs. Raiders	2	$22	16	16	+0	Bills	$0	10-17 13:29
Bills vs. Rams	2	$22	18	18	+0	Bills	$0	10-13 00:30
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal	2	$20	23	23	+0	Sonay Kartal	-$2	10-15 10:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	10-22 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:31:40	Kraken vs. Flames	Kraken	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x435fd3…
10-30 00:30:34	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xc37ab7…
10-29 23:35:03	Hornets vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xfe4e97…
10-29 19:35:39	UConn vs. Air Force	UConn	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x265844…
10-29 19:02:06	Oilers vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x1ff376…
10-28 04:29:32	Eagles vs. Commanders	Eagles	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0x31be4f…
10-27 22:52:36	Devils vs. Stars	Devils	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x6cd77e…
10-27 22:24:41	Panthers vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	14	46¢	$7	0x1f79db…
10-27 20:34:44	Canadiens vs. Blues	Blues	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x1cc725…
10-27 16:28:02	Raiders vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x98e04e…
10-27 16:27:44	Eagles vs. Commanders	Eagles	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0xdc6af3…
10-27 03:45:30	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x638124…
10-26 21:28:36	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x0653ee…
10-26 20:48:39	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x505acb…
10-26 09:37:41	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xbc8a78…
10-26 02:36:41	Guangzhou Open: Simona Waltert vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x0a7cc7…
10-25 20:29:32	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x39ad75…
10-25 17:42:38	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0x0e89fe…
10-25 00:34:21	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0xd7773d…
10-24 17:32:30	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x78fdf9…
10-24 12:13:29	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x9d25fa…
10-24 01:45:30	Wizards vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x45a461…
10-24 00:41:41	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x353e72…
10-23 22:41:59	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x2a82f7…
10-23 11:09:32	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xccee4e…
10-23 00:06:47	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x1fb4ac…
10-22 21:33:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	68¢	$10	0xf4cdd1…
10-22 21:10:33	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0xf7c53c…
10-22 19:35:35	Panthers vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x3a0c67…
10-22 14:08:38	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x5bef1b…
10-22 10:28:39	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x83cb13…
10-21 23:30:48	Rangers vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x2d451e…
10-21 21:04:45	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x92c656…
10-21 00:35:29	Jazz vs. Grizzlies	Jazz	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xed819d…
10-20 23:32:42	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x0dc79d…
10-20 22:35:32	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xc635b0…
10-20 21:46:20	Panthers vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x4ffc77…
10-20 14:35:35	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x267f21…
10-19 14:33:27	Hornets vs. Nets	Hornets	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xdc0f13…
10-19 09:36:32	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x89cd16…
10-19 02:05:42	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xbd3713…
10-18 02:27:32	Almaty Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adam Walton	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0x41ea18…
10-17 18:36:39	Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	18	48¢	$8	0xb2d804…
10-17 14:27:26	atp walton basilas 2026 10 18	Adam Walton	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xea7865…
10-17 13:29:35	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0x70df59…
10-16 13:27:31	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xcdfdd4…
10-15 20:29:38	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x90c1f6…
10-15 20:24:35	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xe794db…
10-15 20:23:36	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	SELL	27	43¢	$12	0x0820e0…
10-15 10:20:34	Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x5bd0e1…
10-15 04:34:23	nfl car phi 2026 10 18	Eagles	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x25da5e…
10-15 03:38:16	mlb mil lad 2026 10 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x5159c1…
10-15 02:10:35	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x87b715…
10-15 00:58:25	nhl mon wsh 2026 10 14	Canadiens	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0x60fc27…
10-14 22:20:27	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xb934ad…
10-14 16:06:18	wta paolini kartal 2026 10 14	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0x8f3522…
10-14 15:26:22	nfl car phi 2026 10 18	Eagles	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xbdf006…
10-14 12:03:27	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x067039…
10-14 03:02:20	Canadiens vs. Capitals	Canadiens	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x1a30eb…
10-14 00:32:22	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xfb2e1a…
10-13 23:36:25	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x3e32be…
10-13 13:33:34	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	SELL	25	42¢	$11	0x1a9b4a…
10-13 13:31:29	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xbd08ac…
10-13 06:52:37	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x1629f6…
10-13 02:05:17	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0x5eb351…
10-13 00:30:17	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0x5b60b3…
10-12 23:33:26	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	22	25¢	$5	0x3996e8…
10-12 21:26:35	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0xdb806b…
10-12 14:11:29	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xf8c7c0…
10-12 14:06:23	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x76026c…
10-12 09:37:38	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xaf7fb7…
10-12 09:32:23	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xa848eb…
10-12 06:45:31	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x9836ba…
10-12 03:32:32	Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Mia Pohankova	Iva Jovic	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x6328b6…
10-12 03:27:27	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3f8f7a…
10-12 01:57:27	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	22	34¢	$8	0x514cc9…
10-11 22:28:30	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x96f1dc…
10-11 22:22:29	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xc3a195…
10-11 22:21:30	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xbafbcb…
10-11 18:02:18	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x7924d4…
10-11 17:24:27	Colts vs. Steelers	Colts	SELL	19	39¢	$8	0x683011…
10-11 16:33:28	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xc5fcc2…
10-11 14:36:33	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0xbff82c…
10-11 01:26:30	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto	Alex de Minaur	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x9a06ff…
10-11 01:03:28	Colts vs. Steelers	Colts	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xc1f649…
10-11 00:36:33	Minnesota vs. Purdue	Minnesota	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x18073a…
10-10 20:33:34	Oilers vs. Sharks	Sharks	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0xfb1532…
10-10 20:09:39	Tulsa vs. Navy	Navy	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x1e528c…
10-10 19:57:28	UConn vs. Temple	Temple	SELL	14	48¢	$6	0xa05ab2…
10-10 18:02:22	Utah Tech vs. Portland State	Portland State	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x316cef…
10-10 16:44:25	Tulsa vs. Navy	Navy	BUY	15	58¢	$8	0x6f1e3e…
10-10 16:33:39	Oilers vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	21	41¢	$8	0x44616c…
10-10 06:25:33	Browns vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x1d1ab8…
10-09 18:21:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x9a2b50…
10-09 15:36:30	mlb lad mil 2026 10 12	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x724b2e…
10-09 11:13:37	atp djokovi hurkacz 2026 10 09	Novak Djokovic	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x4605d0…
10-09 06:24:31	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Novak Djokovic	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x6e676e…
10-09 04:45:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0xba1aa7…
10-09 04:38:00	Minnesota vs. Purdue	Minnesota	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x9883de…
10-09 04:37:49	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x1d9c04…