Bright-Spring-Dollop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.94K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

342

Trades

374

lifetime

Volume

$50.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 08-21 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

95% 79% -$5,773

Politics

4% 33% +$1,045

Sports

0% 0% -$222

Crypto

0% 85% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	2	$3.5K	1,010,164	0	+1,010,164	No	-$3,500	07-01 22:27
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	1	$2.0K	2,597	0	+2,597	Yes	+$597	07-01 15:27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	1	$2.0K	2,314	0	+2,314	No	-$1,990	07-03 14:23
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	1	$2.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	-$1,952	07-03 18:38
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$1.7K	1,467	1,467	+0	No	+$1,265	06-01 16:04
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	1	$1.6K	3,635	0	+3,635	Yes	+$2,036	06-30 23:33
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$1.5K	1,961	0	+1,961	Yes	+$461	07-02 16:46
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	1	$1.2K	1,603	0	+1,603	Yes	+$353	06-30 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 8?	2	$1.2K	651	651	+0	No	+$80	08-08 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 7?	1	$1.0K	1,114	0	+1,114	No	+$102	08-06 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6?	2	$994	1,016	0	+1,016	No	+$22	08-05 14:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 9?	2	$620	321	321	+0	No	+$20	08-09 23:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 10?	2	$613	316	316	+0	No	+$13	08-10 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 9?	2	$612	313	313	+0	No	+$12	08-09 23:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 10?	2	$608	309	309	+0	No	+$8	08-10 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 9?	2	$606	306	306	+0	No	+$6	08-09 23:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 10?	2	$603	303	303	+0	No	+$3	08-10 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C or higher on August 10?	2	$601	301	301	+0	No	+$1	08-10 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 10?	2	$600	300	300	+0	No	+$0	08-10 13:23
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	1	$591	1,285	0	+1,285	Yes	+$694	06-30 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 9?	3	$580	301	301	+0	No	+$20	08-09 23:39
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	2	$550	747	0	+747	No	-$550	06-29 19:31
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 8?	1	$500	856	0	+856	No	+$356	08-07 21:49
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 7?	1	$500	505	0	+505	No	+$5	08-07 19:05
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	1	$497	1,420	0	+1,420	No	-$497	06-30 01:56
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 9?	2	$430	230	230	+0	No	+$30	08-09 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 9?	2	$386	236	236	+0	No	+$86	08-09 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8?	2	$349	366	0	+366	Yes	-$349	08-07 19:23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 7?	2	$343	406	406	+0	Yes	-$257	08-07 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 10?	1	$300	304	0	+304	No	+$4	08-09 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 12:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	112	84¢	$94	0xd33d7b…
08-20 20:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x06d6d0…
08-20 19:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xd9c321…
08-20 19:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x792bb6…
08-20 19:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0xa052b0…
08-20 19:22:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x658ad4…
08-20 18:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x3914cc…
08-20 18:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x8f6d82…
08-20 17:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x0dbe4c…
08-20 17:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0xaa6197…
08-20 17:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x19ae9b…
08-20 17:21:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x24513b…
08-20 17:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x7f2ea1…
08-20 17:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0xf676a5…
08-20 17:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x0d84de…
08-20 16:01:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x49b9f0…
08-20 16:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x80574f…
08-20 13:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x9b9a57…
08-20 13:38:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0xd1ceb3…
08-20 13:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x4a7195…
08-20 12:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x101e64…
08-20 11:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	83	61¢	$50	0x3d48d7…
08-20 11:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on August 20?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x753db9…
08-20 11:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x96ed5e…
08-20 11:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0xdc3815…
08-20 02:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xd40bff…
08-20 02:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0xb6a16a…
08-20 02:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x5eff47…
08-20 02:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xf2b7c4…
08-20 00:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x0c9f20…
08-19 21:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x29816f…
08-19 19:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x814ca9…
08-19 19:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x57b38c…
08-19 18:52:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x11adeb…
08-19 18:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x86d2ae…
08-19 18:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xbf2c96…
08-19 18:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xcc1a44…
08-19 18:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x04b85c…
08-19 18:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x0d6c45…
08-19 18:14:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x0a26f5…
08-19 18:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc0dd17…
08-19 17:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x4118d7…
08-19 17:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xe94740…
08-19 16:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xce5795…
08-19 15:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x9cec3e…
08-19 13:15:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x2b9acb…
08-19 13:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x1ed6bb…
08-19 13:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x0ba97a…
08-19 11:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xe8e83b…
08-19 11:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xa32b4b…
08-19 11:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x93bf2d…
08-19 11:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb12abb…
08-19 11:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x09533d…
08-19 11:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x9130ca…
08-19 11:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x13fe5e…
08-19 03:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x3adcf3…
08-19 03:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x0fe0be…
08-19 03:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x1f31af…
08-18 23:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x5a25a3…
08-18 15:21:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 18?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x3a7487…
08-18 15:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 18?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x5fb0d5…
08-18 15:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 18?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xb3021a…
08-18 15:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 18?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x027865…
08-18 15:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0xbacd3e…
08-18 15:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 18?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x91cb76…
08-18 15:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 18?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x05099f…
08-18 15:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 18?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xa60698…
08-18 15:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 18?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xb96235…
08-18 15:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 18?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xaf4c5b…
08-18 15:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 18?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xb0cc73…
08-18 12:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on August 18?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xb0725c…
08-18 12:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xa4dfd2…
08-18 12:28:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 18?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x298458…
08-18 12:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 18?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x396887…
08-18 12:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x59fe56…
08-17 23:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x34b50f…
08-17 23:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 18?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x605340…
08-17 23:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 18?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x45b559…
08-17 23:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 18?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x400e89…
08-17 22:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x9e6282…
08-17 22:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x8f3b45…
08-17 22:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x51171e…
08-17 22:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xcfaa49…
08-17 22:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x343bef…
08-17 22:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on August 18?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x61e6fa…
08-17 22:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xe889db…
08-17 22:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x7b6ec7…
08-17 22:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x0ca2bc…
08-17 22:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x80919c…
08-17 22:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0xbc075c…
08-17 22:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 18?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x9a50e6…
08-17 22:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0xca7165…
08-17 22:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 18?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x2847b9…
08-17 22:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 18?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x6995cb…
08-17 22:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 18?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xcae31f…
08-17 22:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 18?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x5855c7…
08-17 13:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 17?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xc5d1aa…
08-17 13:40:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 17?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x83c67a…
08-17 13:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 17?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xe1c0ae…
08-17 13:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x1fa6ef…