Thrifty-Tandem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$54.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$180

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-10 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$1

Crypto

28% 100% +$1

Tech

9% — —

Politics

8% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	10	$3.3K	1,674	1,673	+0	open	—	04-22 10:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$2.8K	1,395	1,395	+0	open	—	04-22 11:01
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	6	$2.2K	1,091	1,091	+0	open	—	04-17 11:53
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	6	$1.9K	980	980	+0	open	—	04-20 11:51
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$1.4K	723	723	+0	open	—	04-18 06:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$1.4K	728	728	+0	open	—	04-17 11:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$1.4K	725	725	+0	open	—	04-20 05:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$1.4K	711	711	+0	open	—	04-21 12:23
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	4	$1.4K	702	702	+0	open	—	04-20 12:04
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$1.2K	617	617	+0	open	—	04-16 07:25
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	4	$1.2K	613	613	+0	open	—	04-17 11:28
bitcoin above 64k on april 18	2	$764	383	382	+0	open	—	04-16 07:00
ethereum above 1900 on april 17	2	$763	382	382	+0	open	—	04-16 07:12
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	2	$746	373	373	+0	open	—	04-16 12:08
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$744	372	372	+0	open	—	04-17 07:19
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$742	371	371	+0	open	—	04-17 07:10
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$742	371	371	+0	open	—	04-18 05:40
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$739	371	371	+0	open	—	04-18 05:55
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$738	369	369	+0	open	—	04-18 05:50
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$736	376	376	+0	open	—	04-17 06:36
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$734	368	368	+0	open	—	04-17 07:06
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	2	$730	365	365	+0	open	—	04-17 11:06
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$728	364	364	+0	open	—	04-18 05:42
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$725	364	364	+0	open	—	04-18 05:47
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	2	$721	363	363	+0	open	—	04-17 11:40
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$718	360	360	+0	open	—	04-18 06:36
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$716	358	358	+0	open	—	04-20 12:22
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$713	358	358	+0	open	—	04-17 12:03
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$709	355	355	+0	open	—	04-18 06:42
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$708	356	356	+0	open	—	04-21 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 12:19:27	btc updown 5m 1781093700	Down	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x576b05…
06-06 12:09:21	btc updown 15m 1780747200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x34d748…
06-06 12:04:57	btc updown 15m 1780747200	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb055e1…
06-06 11:56:40	btc updown 15m 1780746300	Down	SELL	83	27¢	$22	0x8c8ca9…
06-06 11:55:49	btc updown 15m 1780746300	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x0d4842…
06-06 11:28:57	btc updown 5m 1780745100	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xdc1e02…
06-06 11:23:55	btc updown 5m 1780744800	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x471d59…
06-06 11:13:28	btc updown 5m 1780744200	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x91c855…
06-06 10:49:22	btc updown 5m 1780742700	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x82baf9…
06-06 10:33:25	btc updown 5m 1780741800	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6fa843…
06-06 07:44:09	btc updown 5m 1780731600	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6df4f2…
06-06 07:38:39	btc updown 5m 1780731300	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x252927…
06-06 07:34:03	btc updown 5m 1780731000	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x028323…
06-06 07:19:10	btc updown 5m 1780730100	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x01da2a…
06-06 07:14:43	btc updown 5m 1780729800	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xaf4fd1…
06-05 08:59:36	btc updown 5m 1780649700	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0a374b…
06-05 08:48:48	btc updown 5m 1780649100	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x8db969…
06-05 08:43:45	btc updown 5m 1780648800	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x502ed2…
06-05 08:33:42	btc updown 5m 1780648200	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xcac1fa…
06-05 08:28:36	btc updown 5m 1780647900	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x0dc580…
06-05 08:23:40	btc updown 5m 1780647600	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4b7c6d…
06-04 07:07:31	btc updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5ba63a…
06-04 06:59:10	btc updown 5m 1780556100	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9781ce…
06-04 06:53:58	btc updown 5m 1780555800	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x70ebaf…
06-04 06:44:24	btc updown 5m 1780555200	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc546af…
06-04 06:31:54	btc updown 5m 1780554600	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x76ff17…
06-04 06:29:21	btc updown 5m 1780554300	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7b226e…
06-04 06:24:36	btc updown 5m 1780554000	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xac8c13…
06-04 06:23:54	btc updown 5m 1780554000	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa9a03b…
06-04 06:18:01	btc updown 5m 1780553700	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1cdaf7…
05-29 07:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa905d9…
05-06 11:46:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lilli Tagger vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd3d0c6…
05-06 11:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x8c1442…
05-06 11:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1a6c94…
05-03 06:25:40	Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	Trace Esports	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9f088a…
05-03 06:25:32	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	DetonatioN FocusMe	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x19e99b…
05-03 06:25:26	Valorant: TEC Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	TEC Esports	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb6a499…
05-03 06:25:22	Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	DRX	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa9e9d0…
04-30 05:34:16	LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x8e7d89…
04-30 05:33:42	LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Galions	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1c9100…
04-30 05:33:26	LoL: New Meta vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Season	New Meta	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x166ea0…
04-30 05:33:12	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x969b48…
04-24 12:19:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc7c374…
04-24 12:19:08	fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 draw	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x67ba2c…
04-24 12:18:54	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 draw	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0fd1e5…
04-24 12:18:40	epl sun not 2026 04 24 draw	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6e4f73…
04-24 12:18:26	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 draw	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x00a7b7…
04-24 12:13:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0xfc2f99…
04-24 12:07:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xf51269…
04-24 11:55:40	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0x881ba7…
04-24 11:51:22	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x2b732b…
04-24 11:48:28	btc updown 5m 1777031100	Up	SELL	327	14¢	$46	0x074ee5…
04-24 11:45:34	btc updown 5m 1777031100	Up	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x33a9b7…
04-24 11:35:24	btc updown 5m 1777030500	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf2ad4e…
04-24 11:32:30	eth updown 5m 1777030200	Up	SELL	39	44¢	$17	0xc0eab3…
04-24 11:31:10	eth updown 5m 1777030200	Up	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x2ef23c…
04-24 11:25:20	eth updown 5m 1777029900	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8e6ed0…
04-24 11:23:18	eth updown 5m 1777029600	Down	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0xea7626…
04-24 11:07:36	btc updown 15m 1777028400	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7bb16a…
04-24 11:05:28	btc updown 15m 1777028400	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x66cfc5…
04-24 11:00:30	btc updown 5m 1777028400	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe386f8…
04-24 10:55:24	btc updown 5m 1777028100	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x11238a…
04-22 12:12:42	sol updown 5m 1776859800	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xd8b5a9…
04-22 12:06:30	sol updown 5m 1776859500	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5023b3…
04-22 12:04:10	eth updown 5m 1776859200	Down	SELL	43	34¢	$15	0x7d992c…
04-22 12:02:54	eth updown 5m 1776859200	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb19784…
04-22 11:59:12	btc updown 15m 1776858300	Down	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0xc93d3e…
04-22 11:46:56	btc updown 15m 1776858300	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x2d61c1…
04-22 11:37:16	btc updown 15m 1776857400	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x47e360…
04-22 11:35:32	btc updown 15m 1776857400	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8c7978…
04-22 11:32:04	sol updown 5m 1776857400	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf33acb…
04-22 11:26:50	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	329	100¢	$327	0x4cca38…
04-22 11:18:50	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	329	100¢	$328	0x85c329…
04-22 11:15:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	SELL	330	100¢	$329	0x71faae…
04-22 11:09:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x031d99…
04-22 11:08:14	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	328	100¢	$326	0xa49410…
04-22 11:01:56	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	328	100¢	$327	0x32a42f…
04-22 11:01:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	325	100¢	$325	0xbe833a…
04-22 10:53:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	325	100¢	$325	0xaf939b…
04-22 10:44:14	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	330	100¢	$330	0x9af494…
04-22 10:38:34	Will Solana reach $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	338	1¢	$3	0x1cfae3…
04-22 07:31:00	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0xf961ec…
04-22 07:29:18	Will Solana reach $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	364	1¢	$4	0xac933a…
04-22 07:27:36	Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	Yu-Hsiou Hsu	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x6a527e…
04-22 07:27:18	Gwangju: Hyeon Chung vs Clement Chidekh	Clement Chidekh	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x58ce7e…
04-22 07:21:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	336	100¢	$335	0x46be9c…
04-22 07:12:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0x05c6ac…
04-22 06:55:46	btc updown 5m 1776840900	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xcff32a…
04-22 06:53:24	hok gam fpl 2026 04 22	GAM Esports	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa666f9…
04-22 06:52:28	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	320	100¢	$320	0x12f90d…
04-22 06:46:12	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x219bc0…
04-22 06:33:26	btc updown 5m 1776839400	Up	SELL	23	79¢	$18	0x645536…
04-22 06:32:12	btc updown 5m 1776839400	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x658d22…
04-22 06:29:08	btc updown 5m 1776839100	Down	SELL	35	51¢	$18	0x1e10c1…
04-22 06:28:08	btc updown 5m 1776839100	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf65214…
04-22 06:25:28	Will the Rolex Index hit $11,750 (LOW) by April 30?	No	SELL	348	88¢	$308	0x7e72cf…
04-22 06:08:28	Will the Rolex Index hit $11,750 (LOW) by April 30?	No	BUY	348	100¢	$347	0x598392…
04-22 05:51:50	Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Sergey Fomin	Sandro Kopp	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9e9571…
04-22 05:51:08	nhl lak col 2026 04 21	Avalanche	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb780d7…
04-22 05:46:22	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x4b71dc…