Waterlogged-Civilization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$737

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-27 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-27 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	05-27 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	$-10	05-13 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	$-10	05-13 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-07 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-08 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-11 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$10	32	0	+32	Down	$-10	05-12 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-12 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-13 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-5	05-12 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-12 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-27 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-27 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 22:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5b5778…
05-27 22:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x347f5d…
05-27 22:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x864545…
05-27 22:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0xe3c561…
05-27 22:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe21c3f…
05-27 22:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xf3081b…
05-27 21:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x366ace…
05-27 21:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x42db49…
05-27 21:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x99c99e…
05-27 21:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x39aad6…
05-27 21:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xed330e…
05-27 20:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x1d6ec5…
05-27 20:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x10ad64…
05-27 19:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x3df41b…
05-27 19:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x597f9a…
05-27 19:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x95d445…
05-27 19:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x40b060…
05-27 19:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xb2afcb…
05-27 19:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x909e48…
05-27 19:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xca67c3…
05-27 19:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3385f7…
05-27 19:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x6bc23e…
05-27 18:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2c5e21…
05-27 18:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xdee859…
05-27 18:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x181e3d…
05-27 18:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xe0736b…
05-27 18:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeb288a…
05-27 18:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xf2a6c9…
05-27 18:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe70f15…
05-27 18:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xd59d49…
05-27 18:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc4b1e5…
05-27 17:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x6cbd43…
05-27 17:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x74c0ac…
05-27 17:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xfc6123…
05-27 17:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf1903e…
05-27 16:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x7f2a1b…
05-27 16:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6ab69d…
05-27 16:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x77b6bb…
05-27 16:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0e3d0c…
05-27 16:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x286a3f…
05-27 16:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaf3adb…
05-27 16:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xccb677…
05-27 16:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8b7cdb…
05-27 16:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0b2f93…
05-27 16:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x75bfa7…
05-27 16:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7269a5…
05-27 16:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8b608a…
05-27 15:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5b743d…
05-27 14:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x120f11…
05-27 14:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6ecfc2…
05-27 14:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa7d485…
05-27 14:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xad4037…
05-27 14:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb08984…
05-27 14:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa521f9…
05-27 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x46c333…
05-27 14:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9e1fb6…
05-27 14:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x15dbd6…
05-27 14:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x82e3fd…
05-27 14:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7cdd42…
05-27 14:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x90ba1d…
05-27 13:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x496f02…
05-27 13:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3f5513…
05-27 13:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x2807f0…
05-27 13:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x98ef6f…
05-27 13:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x10185b…
05-27 13:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe30855…
05-27 13:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb4dae0…
05-27 13:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf26b45…
05-27 12:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3f955f…
05-27 12:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xef9699…
05-27 12:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa15cc8…
05-27 12:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xf301f2…
05-27 12:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xab3dbc…
05-26 23:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc436df…
05-26 23:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcfbb8d…
05-26 22:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5807f6…
05-26 22:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbd1ed6…
05-26 22:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x547695…
05-26 22:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa5eb84…
05-26 22:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa4780b…
05-26 21:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x735108…
05-26 21:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xefd065…
05-26 20:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3aea1a…
05-26 20:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcd8988…
05-26 20:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb9332e…
05-26 20:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5307ea…
05-26 20:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf44c5a…
05-26 19:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x209cf5…
05-26 19:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb67cd5…
05-26 19:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xee748d…
05-26 19:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1514f1…
05-26 19:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xeed817…
05-26 19:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xecec0e…
05-26 18:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x027cec…
05-26 18:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd89667…
05-26 18:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x142f3b…
05-26 18:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x42bfed…
05-26 18:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x274bad…
05-26 18:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x133328…
05-26 18:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xaa1fc5…