Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$227.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,174

lifetime

Volume

$5.16M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$4.40K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 03-15 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

70% 56% +$157,170

Other

30% 88% +$70,770

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	175	$2.17M	2,193,766	0	+2,193,766	No	+$23,883	02-04 15:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$653.1K	835,831	0	+835,831	No	+$182,772	01-14 20:37
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	474	$644.2K	680,189	0	+680,189	Yes	+$35,944	01-15 22:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	135	$543.6K	341,889	332,889	+9,000	Yes	-$47,381	03-01 01:49
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	198	$376.7K	398,949	0	+398,949	No	+$22,294	01-15 22:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	42	$290.4K	251,127	86,228	+164,899	Yes	+$4,594	01-31 05:03
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$126.9K	71,052	71,052	+0	No	+$4,440	01-31 12:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	112	$107.2K	426,936	304,018	+122,918	No	-$3,394	01-31 02:03
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$93.8K	99,640	0	+99,640	No	+$5,831	03-15 11:44
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	3	$73.8K	37,178	37,178	+0	No	+$167	03-01 00:06
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$34.5K	39,262	0	+39,262	No	+$4,796	01-14 20:42
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	8	$19.1K	9,831	9,831	+0	No	+$413	03-15 11:43
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	4	$17.6K	12,482	12,482	+0	No	-$2,603	01-14 22:07
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$6.7K	3,896	3,896	+0	No	+$273	02-01 17:24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$3.5K	5,274	5,274	+0	Yes	-$2,026	02-28 19:18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$2.4K	6,541	0	+6,541	No	-$2,355	01-13 17:23
kristi noem out by march 31	1	$1.2K	1,505	0	+1,505	Yes	+$291	03-05 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-15 11:44:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	18,192	94¢	$17,136	0x805e72…
03-15 11:43:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9,831	99¢	$9,761	0x057fa1…
03-15 11:42:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	35,000	94¢	$32,970	0xd1db18…
03-15 11:40:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x2d01da…
03-15 11:40:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb51527…
03-15 11:40:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	926	94¢	$871	0xce5e63…
03-15 11:40:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	45,506	94¢	$42,817	0x9d0fe9…
03-05 18:41:19	kristi noem out by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,505	81¢	$1,214	0x6ae0f3…
03-01 01:49:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	10,000	99¢	$9,940	0xaa7755…
03-01 01:49:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	931	99¢	$926	0xbea4f7…
03-01 01:49:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0xe0baaf…
03-01 01:49:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0x687f6f…
03-01 01:49:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0x6ed717…
03-01 01:49:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7e842b…
03-01 01:49:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	4,745	99¢	$4,717	0x145cca…
03-01 01:49:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	500	99¢	$497	0x6041a7…
03-01 01:49:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x161022…
03-01 01:49:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	485	99¢	$483	0x16c8f5…
03-01 01:49:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	83	99¢	$83	0x078dc1…
03-01 01:49:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeaf373…
03-01 01:49:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	443	99¢	$441	0x1da013…
03-01 01:49:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,500	99¢	$2,485	0x279581…
03-01 01:48:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3,133	99¢	$3,114	0x52d308…
03-01 01:48:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,300	99¢	$1,292	0x28ab28…
03-01 01:48:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	500	99¢	$497	0xc4d9f8…
03-01 01:48:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,700	99¢	$2,684	0x2cbcb0…
03-01 01:48:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	268	99¢	$266	0xdb26e9…
03-01 01:48:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf2a458…
03-01 01:48:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7edadf…
03-01 01:48:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	236	99¢	$234	0x764a3b…
03-01 01:48:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,500	99¢	$1,491	0x1b1441…
03-01 01:48:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	786	99¢	$782	0x37c3b1…
03-01 01:48:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	5,340	99¢	$5,308	0x42d48f…
03-01 01:48:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x772a45…
03-01 01:48:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdde1d5…
03-01 01:48:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x884615…
03-01 01:48:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,020	99¢	$1,014	0x31947d…
03-01 01:48:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	185	99¢	$184	0x03067c…
03-01 01:48:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	699	99¢	$695	0xf7ab27…
03-01 01:48:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	358	99¢	$356	0x115a38…
03-01 01:48:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	400	99¢	$398	0x5cdff5…
03-01 01:48:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	6,250	99¢	$6,212	0xf17614…
03-01 01:47:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0x628ae4…
03-01 01:47:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc8abff…
03-01 01:47:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,565	99¢	$2,550	0x9ede55…
03-01 01:47:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	145	99¢	$144	0xae4eaa…
03-01 01:47:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	278	99¢	$277	0x35ac76…
03-01 01:47:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	600	99¢	$596	0x5d09d7…
03-01 01:47:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	185	99¢	$184	0x16d05e…
03-01 01:47:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xff54ac…
03-01 01:47:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xaa1c49…
03-01 01:47:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0xefaaf3…
03-01 01:47:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8efb28…
03-01 01:47:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	667	99¢	$663	0x3f9c0f…
03-01 01:47:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	207	99¢	$206	0x71fdae…
03-01 01:47:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	645	99¢	$641	0xd9cf47…
03-01 01:47:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4df5a1…
03-01 01:47:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	91	99¢	$91	0xc7e36e…
03-01 01:46:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,310	99¢	$2,297	0xf0d018…
03-01 01:46:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	38,918	99¢	$38,685	0x921067…
03-01 01:46:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	61,082	99¢	$60,715	0x4eaf3a…
03-01 00:10:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	66,666	97¢	$64,994	0xeea3ee…
03-01 00:06:09	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	37,178	99¢	$36,976	0x115bbe…
02-28 20:09:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5,278	94¢	$4,961	0x6d0031…
02-28 20:08:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	4,722	94¢	$4,439	0x43bc50…
02-28 20:07:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	4,922	94¢	$4,627	0xe2c99a…
02-28 20:05:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0xf74c0c…
02-28 20:05:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xeda3fd…
02-28 20:05:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	140	94¢	$131	0xa32720…
02-28 20:05:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x97b9f8…
02-28 20:05:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	833	94¢	$783	0x4eaee5…
02-28 20:05:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0xe237a6…
02-28 20:05:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0xa44a9b…
02-28 20:05:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,488	94¢	$1,399	0x805410…
02-28 20:05:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	101	94¢	$95	0x65a3a7…
02-28 20:05:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	282	94¢	$265	0xcb64a7…
02-28 20:05:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	229	94¢	$215	0x01f9b1…
02-28 20:05:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xef8073…
02-28 20:05:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,767	94¢	$1,661	0x303193…
02-28 20:05:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1ca543…
02-28 20:05:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2,158	94¢	$2,029	0x72259e…
02-28 20:05:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	833	94¢	$783	0xeb4926…
02-28 20:05:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	145	94¢	$136	0xc3a900…
02-28 20:05:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	33,583	94¢	$31,568	0x4b6be8…
02-28 20:05:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	577	94¢	$542	0x20f368…
02-28 20:04:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	567	94¢	$533	0x068ed7…
02-28 20:04:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	41,066	94¢	$38,602	0xe952ee…
02-28 20:04:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	333	94¢	$313	0x723b99…
02-28 20:04:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	3,129	94¢	$2,942	0xf725c8…
02-28 20:04:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x23e89a…
02-28 20:04:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xd3024f…
02-28 20:04:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	205	94¢	$193	0x8344bd…
02-28 20:04:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0x6d44c9…
02-28 20:03:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2,891	94¢	$2,717	0xf83f4e…
02-28 20:03:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	425	94¢	$400	0xa0b428…
02-28 20:03:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x820f2a…
02-28 20:03:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,667	94¢	$1,567	0x066827…
02-28 19:18:23	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5,274	14¢	$716	0x95c547…
02-28 17:24:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	6,661	45¢	$3,013	0x37f10d…
02-28 17:21:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	30,000	45¢	$13,503	0xfb5ad2…