Spirited-Osprey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$718

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

215

Trades

1,243

lifetime

Volume

$110.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-27 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

86% 59% +$153

Sports

7% 75% +$132

Politics

6% 47% +$433

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	9	$4.2K	2,759	2,759	+0	No	+$12	02-15 06:22
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	11	$2.9K	1,534	1,534	+0	No	+$179	02-17 14:48
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	51	$2.9K	11,328	13,330	-2,002	No	-$462	07-10 05:58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	11	$2.8K	1,520	1,520	+0	No	+$134	09-21 05:35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	5	$2.3K	1,207	1,207	+0	Yes	+$86	09-21 16:34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	16	$2.3K	1,660	1,660	+0	Yes	+$247	09-11 19:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	25	$2.1K	1,800	1,482	+318	Yes	+$574	09-30 13:36
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 220 239	4	$2.0K	1,088	1,088	+0	No	+$19	02-17 18:34
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$2.0K	1,107	1,107	+0	Yes	+$207	02-12 20:54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	11	$1.9K	1,057	1,057	+0	No	+$107	10-03 04:35
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	10	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$18	02-15 08:42
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 140 164	4	$1.9K	1,007	1,007	+0	No	+$12	02-18 08:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,031	1,006	+25	No	+$48	09-17 06:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	13	$1.8K	2,223	1,670	+552	Yes	+$1,193	09-25 15:22
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	9	$1.7K	938	938	+0	No	+$69	10-16 04:42
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	13	$1.7K	1,480	451	+1,029	No	+$117	10-11 05:59
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	12	$1.6K	966	966	+0	No	+$121	10-10 08:04
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	12	$1.5K	877	877	+0	No	+$226	02-08 14:07
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 40 64	6	$1.5K	903	903	+0	No	-$100	02-20 03:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	6	$1.5K	864	864	+0	No	+$106	09-15 06:09
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	15	$1.5K	888	888	+0	No	+$10	10-14 06:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	19	$1.5K	1,606	1,606	+0	No	-$4	10-08 04:01
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	6	$1.4K	787	787	+0	No	+$162	10-15 05:01
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	4	$1.4K	721	721	+0	Yes	+$41	10-10 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	15	$1.4K	1,060	520	+540	Yes	+$170	09-26 07:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	10	$1.3K	722	722	-0	No	+$60	10-16 19:04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	9	$1.3K	1,264	948	+316	Yes	+$584	09-15 06:27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	8	$1.3K	686	686	+0	No	+$53	10-14 05:28
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4	$1.3K	688	688	+0	No	+$37	10-10 15:21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	2	$1.2K	638	638	+0	Yes	+$38	10-03 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x2d1c44…
10-27 08:46:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x3f8adb…
10-27 08:45:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3656f7…
10-27 08:45:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x0eacd1…
10-27 08:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	79¢	$39	0x8a5b9d…
10-27 08:18:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x4cad96…
10-26 20:06:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x518f5b…
10-26 20:05:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xdfb65a…
10-26 20:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xf31a0f…
10-26 07:19:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	90¢	$79	0x1e2ff8…
10-26 07:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0xc9bbc7…
10-26 07:14:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	196	33¢	$65	0x9a8385…
10-26 07:14:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x400104…
10-25 16:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	159	55¢	$87	0x96c43a…
10-25 16:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	81	55¢	$45	0x1ffbe5…
10-25 16:14:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$132	0x8fb3bc…
10-25 06:52:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x9c3a3c…
10-25 06:52:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x786269…
10-25 06:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x070891…
10-25 06:51:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xfdd520…
10-25 06:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	89	91¢	$81	0xa812ff…
10-25 06:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xdadc05…
10-25 06:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x8a40b7…
10-25 06:46:11	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x0e5c23…
10-24 16:32:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x182f00…
10-24 16:29:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xed98b1…
10-24 16:28:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0xf0a84b…
10-24 16:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0a257a…
10-24 16:19:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	127	97¢	$124	0x444bed…
10-22 06:12:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	132	90¢	$119	0xb62331…
10-22 05:52:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	104	98¢	$103	0xe7d820…
10-21 16:39:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	51	91¢	$47	0x42a6d9…
10-21 16:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x37867a…
10-21 16:06:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	52	87¢	$46	0x16b078…
10-21 16:06:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x18720b…
10-21 16:01:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	60	77¢	$46	0x8e43e6…
10-21 05:09:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xf38529…
10-21 05:08:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0x217a1e…
10-21 05:06:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	237	16¢	$38	0xc727d0…
10-21 05:06:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	331	16¢	$53	0x01f7ae…
10-19 06:27:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	45	84¢	$38	0x8f5b89…
10-19 06:27:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3ce4d4…
10-19 06:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	97	45¢	$44	0xc154b1…
10-19 06:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	141	85¢	$120	0x382739…
10-19 06:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x770871…
10-19 06:19:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	187	42¢	$79	0x1999e0…
10-19 05:54:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	51	83¢	$43	0xbe1f24…
10-19 05:53:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	89	36¢	$32	0xe9ed5a…
10-19 05:53:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x5f0bf5…
10-18 11:38:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	80	70¢	$56	0x9d519f…
10-18 05:25:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	77	72¢	$55	0x1d522d…
10-18 05:24:38	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	60	71¢	$43	0xaedbb3…
10-18 05:23:09	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x0ec175…
10-18 05:22:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	141	72¢	$101	0x946c37…
10-18 05:16:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xcc60aa…
10-18 05:14:53	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0x7861d7…
10-18 05:05:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x6be6df…
10-18 05:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	122	60¢	$73	0xe19461…
10-18 05:02:41	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xb51d8c…
10-18 05:02:33	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	67	77¢	$52	0x847d52…
10-18 04:57:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	151	59¢	$89	0x298ca0…
10-18 04:56:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	162	94¢	$152	0x6a31a8…
10-17 18:40:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x66b056…
10-17 18:38:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc5e87e…
10-17 18:37:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xecd6a3…
10-17 18:36:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6d15ad…
10-17 18:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3654d6…
10-17 18:34:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9496e9…
10-17 18:33:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x43ac0e…
10-17 18:32:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb71a75…
10-17 18:31:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x1a6a4b…
10-17 18:17:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x544bb1…
10-17 18:10:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xc5e153…
10-17 18:10:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0xb4cfd5…
10-17 18:03:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0xb79839…
10-17 18:00:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	90	94¢	$85	0x4d7825…
10-17 17:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	107	95¢	$102	0xb2ab16…
10-17 08:25:33	elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 180 199	No	BUY	359	89¢	$319	0x8541f5…
10-17 08:24:38	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	48	83¢	$40	0xbe08a2…
10-17 08:23:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	278	98¢	$272	0xee9746…
10-17 06:11:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x3a45c5…
10-17 06:02:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x6b7e65…
10-16 20:03:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x8556f6…
10-16 20:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x76f448…
10-16 20:00:26	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x24dc5d…
10-16 19:10:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0xc122ed…
10-16 19:07:43	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x9860d9…
10-16 19:06:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	381	89¢	$339	0x8fcbc7…
10-16 19:04:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x4fdce2…
10-16 19:04:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0xab0595…
10-16 19:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0x97bc63…
10-16 19:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x0d2955…
10-16 18:53:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	359	88¢	$315	0xdc3b81…
10-16 18:48:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	178	98¢	$174	0xef7677…
10-16 06:10:22	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	65	83¢	$54	0xf83cb8…
10-16 06:09:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0x181a78…
10-16 06:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	267	70¢	$187	0x41e83d…
10-16 06:05:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	183	95¢	$175	0xdcaa45…
10-16 06:05:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x958459…
10-16 04:45:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	211	94¢	$199	0x71a020…