Alarming-Side — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

265

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$1.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 09-07 04:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 34% -$65

Other

18% 36% +$38

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$58	77	0	+77	Spain	+$20	07-10 14:45
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$46	59	0	+59	France	+$13	07-09 16:37
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	1	$41	61	0	+61	No	+$20	07-14 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	11	$29	80	0	+80	Down	+$41	09-05 18:44
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$26	47	0	+47	Yes	+$21	06-29 16:43
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$18	32	0	+32	Spain	-$18	07-14 18:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	05-01 17:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-01 03:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-01 02:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	Down	+$5	05-01 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$15	40	0	+40	Up	-$15	09-01 20:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$7	05-01 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$5	04-30 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 06:30 UTC	2	$12	11	10	+1	Down	+$6	04-23 06:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$11	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-16 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	9	$11	50	0	+50	Up	-$1	09-05 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:25 UTC	2	$11	8	7	+0	Down	+$4	04-19 06:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$6	05-16 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:40 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	04-19 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:10 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	04-19 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:15 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	04-19 06:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$10	17	7	+10	Up	+$1	05-16 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:50 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	04-19 06:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	05-01 18:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	05-01 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-16 23:33
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	2	$10	10	5	+5	No	-$4	04-29 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:35 UTC	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	04-19 06:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$8	62	62	+0	Up	-$2	05-01 17:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$8	32	0	+32	Down	-$8	05-16 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 04:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x46db4b…
09-07 04:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xde31d6…
09-07 04:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x8a9e9b…
09-07 04:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8922ef…
09-07 03:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5b0feb…
09-07 03:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe60e8b…
09-05 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xd31b6f…
09-05 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x7e14e5…
09-05 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x67dedf…
09-05 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4fb4d8…
09-05 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3122bc…
09-05 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x20c7d3…
09-05 18:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb3a50e…
09-05 18:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x1c1e4f…
09-05 18:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xba35ea…
09-05 18:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9cdc10…
09-05 18:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf9af8e…
09-05 18:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd88adc…
09-05 18:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x9c2f94…
09-05 18:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x9a6d23…
09-05 18:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x7536c6…
09-05 18:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x1ff1c1…
09-05 18:43:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc04c5b…
09-05 18:43:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf97156…
09-05 18:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb5a671…
09-05 18:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2218d9…
09-04 00:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1dfd57…
09-04 00:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0x51cde5…
09-03 04:13:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x65595f…
09-03 01:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x15a9f8…
09-01 20:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0xb87a59…
07-14 18:02:44	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	No	BUY	61	68¢	$41	0x519965…
07-14 18:02:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0x4af403…
07-10 14:45:01	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	77	75¢	$58	0x7ee4cb…
07-09 16:37:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	59	78¢	$46	0x6d23ed…
06-29 16:43:38	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0x5cb457…
06-10 19:53:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x8754a9…
06-04 21:15:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0b68be…
05-17 20:02:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x4b1105…
05-17 19:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x68e87c…
05-17 18:56:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x0a5800…
05-17 18:40:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xb808c9…
05-17 18:35:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x68d147…
05-17 18:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x6bdf09…
05-17 18:00:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0xa080b6…
05-17 17:20:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x473264…
05-17 17:06:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x0a700d…
05-17 16:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x2d7a9e…
05-17 16:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xece3db…
05-17 16:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x758339…
05-17 15:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x4f1578…
05-17 15:42:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x1b70d6…
05-17 14:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1c5b08…
05-17 12:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x85bd3b…
05-17 12:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x4b7721…
05-17 12:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xe82aba…
05-17 12:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x92b60d…
05-17 11:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xdf7445…
05-17 11:31:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xb74579…
05-17 11:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xcdeb32…
05-17 11:15:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x516296…
05-17 11:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xe59e84…
05-17 09:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xb1232b…
05-17 09:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbdc3cd…
05-17 08:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xaf42dc…
05-17 08:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x512419…
05-17 07:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	38¢	$4	0xb1ef4a…
05-17 07:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x8e6619…
05-17 07:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2ff42f…
05-17 07:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x51272c…
05-17 07:16:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xd9a6e0…
05-17 07:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x9427dc…
05-17 07:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x14afaa…
05-17 07:03:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x81483b…
05-17 07:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xbf8c79…
05-17 06:51:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x105256…
05-17 06:45:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x510c8c…
05-17 06:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x8853ed…
05-17 06:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x935f81…
05-17 04:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xf39827…
05-17 04:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x832b57…
05-17 03:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x1cf56a…
05-17 03:55:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x161114…
05-17 03:52:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x56ed3d…
05-17 03:50:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x08093a…
05-17 03:20:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x296928…
05-17 03:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xa33a2d…
05-17 00:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xc088f1…
05-17 00:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xea4711…
05-17 00:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xac42e7…
05-17 00:26:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x1ddb2f…
05-17 00:26:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x927564…
05-17 00:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0xdc3c74…
05-17 00:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x258615…
05-16 23:48:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x082eeb…
05-16 23:45:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7409fd…
05-16 23:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xea45b3…
05-16 23:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xbd26ce…
05-16 23:31:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd63708…
05-16 23:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x0e147e…