Alarming-Side — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.9%

Resolved

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$884

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-04 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 32% $-3

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 17:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 03:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 02:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-01 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 05:44
btc updown 5m 1776925800	2	$12	11	10	+1	open	—	04-23 06:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 19:12
btc updown 5m 1776579900	2	$11	8	7	+0	open	—	04-19 06:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-16 21:24
btc updown 5m 1776580800	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 06:44
btc updown 5m 1776579000	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 06:14
btc updown 5m 1776579300	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 06:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$10	17	7	+10	open	—	05-16 17:34
btc updown 5m 1776581400	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 06:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 18:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	05-16 23:33
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	2	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	04-29 18:51
btc updown 5m 1776580500	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 06:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$8	62	62	+0	open	—	05-01 17:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$8	32	0	+32	open	—	05-16 00:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	05-17 12:45
btc updown 5m 1776581700	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	05-17 11:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 11:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 12:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 21:15:24	eth updown 15m 1780607700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0b68be…
05-17 20:02:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x4b1105…
05-17 19:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x68e87c…
05-17 18:56:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x0a5800…
05-17 18:40:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xb808c9…
05-17 18:35:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x68d147…
05-17 18:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x6bdf09…
05-17 18:00:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0xa080b6…
05-17 17:20:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x473264…
05-17 17:06:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x0a700d…
05-17 16:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x2d7a9e…
05-17 16:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xece3db…
05-17 16:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x758339…
05-17 15:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x4f1578…
05-17 15:42:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x1b70d6…
05-17 12:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x85bd3b…
05-17 12:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x4b7721…
05-17 12:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xe82aba…
05-17 12:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x92b60d…
05-17 11:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xdf7445…
05-17 11:31:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xb74579…
05-17 11:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xcdeb32…
05-17 11:15:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x516296…
05-17 11:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xe59e84…
05-17 09:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xb1232b…
05-17 09:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbdc3cd…
05-17 08:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xaf42dc…
05-17 08:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x512419…
05-17 07:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	38¢	$4	0xb1ef4a…
05-17 07:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x8e6619…
05-17 07:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2ff42f…
05-17 07:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x51272c…
05-17 07:16:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xd9a6e0…
05-17 07:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x9427dc…
05-17 07:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x14afaa…
05-17 07:03:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x81483b…
05-17 07:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xbf8c79…
05-17 06:51:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x105256…
05-17 06:45:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x510c8c…
05-17 06:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x8853ed…
05-17 06:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x935f81…
05-17 04:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xf39827…
05-17 04:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x832b57…
05-17 03:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x1cf56a…
05-17 03:55:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x161114…
05-17 03:52:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x56ed3d…
05-17 03:50:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x08093a…
05-17 03:20:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x296928…
05-17 03:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xa33a2d…
05-17 00:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xc088f1…
05-17 00:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xea4711…
05-17 00:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xac42e7…
05-17 00:26:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x1ddb2f…
05-17 00:26:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x927564…
05-17 00:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0xdc3c74…
05-17 00:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x258615…
05-16 23:48:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x082eeb…
05-16 23:45:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7409fd…
05-16 23:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xea45b3…
05-16 23:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xbd26ce…
05-16 23:31:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd63708…
05-16 23:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x0e147e…
05-16 23:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0x50c46e…
05-16 22:15:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf5a83a…
05-16 22:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xdeef77…
05-16 22:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x482a70…
05-16 22:01:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xd9bc40…
05-16 21:36:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x9240a2…
05-16 21:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9a4b45…
05-16 21:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x94c64f…
05-16 21:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x26c465…
05-16 21:20:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x51c051…
05-16 21:16:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x813a1b…
05-16 21:11:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x137c64…
05-16 21:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x98ba89…
05-16 20:53:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x42e46c…
05-16 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x646fca…
05-16 20:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb4fa29…
05-16 19:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x4fd349…
05-16 19:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xffa641…
05-16 19:26:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x790917…
05-16 19:21:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xab59d9…
05-16 19:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x817684…
05-16 19:11:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xdb2c9a…
05-16 19:11:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xf9efed…
05-16 19:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x7b9c88…
05-16 19:05:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x09f69e…
05-16 17:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x9a64cf…
05-16 17:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x4c8328…
05-16 17:33:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x9e9eb5…
05-16 00:35:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x85ad97…
05-16 00:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xb7f2c0…
05-16 00:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xb2dbc2…
05-16 00:20:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x3517e7…
05-16 00:15:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xab1d73…
05-16 00:15:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x6df860…
05-16 00:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x51901d…
05-15 23:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x822d64…
05-15 23:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x235793…
05-15 23:45:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x646b43…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	234	$29.0K	9,992	06-04 21:27
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	234	$24.6K	8,367	06-04 21:27
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	229	$19.8K	4,129	05-17 20:02
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	228	$15.9K	3,218	05-17 20:02
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	227	$15.6K	2,169	06-04 21:18
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	224	$63.4K	4,907	05-17 20:02
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	219	$96.9K	3,270	05-17 20:04
Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a	219	$15.1K	5,527	06-04 21:19