Prudent-Clavier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$265

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

487

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-12 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

34% — —

Other

34% 100% +$265

Crypto

33% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	77	$4.5K	5,022	4,524	+497	open	—	04-23 18:50
bitcoin above 58k on april 3	78	$2.6K	1,299	1,299	+0	open	—	04-02 22:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	27	$2.1K	2,758	2,692	+66	Up	+$103	05-04 16:29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	27	$1.4K	1,907	1,143	+763	Up	+$137	05-07 20:56
bitcoin above 74k on april 2	36	$1.3K	638	638	+0	open	—	04-02 02:54
bitcoin above 60k on april 3	26	$846	424	424	+0	open	—	04-02 23:19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	9	$566	858	684	+174	Down	+$20	05-08 18:02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	13	$427	1,802	1,743	+60	open	—	04-24 19:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$422	250	250	+0	open	—	04-21 17:36
bitcoin above 74k on april 3	12	$418	209	209	+0	open	—	04-02 17:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$307	206	206	+0	open	—	04-02 01:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	4	$264	209	209	+0	open	—	05-01 14:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	8	$214	867	867	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 19:54
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$148	337	337	+0	open	—	01-28 00:53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	7	$139	268	268	+0	open	—	04-29 19:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$79	47	47	+0	open	—	04-12 19:07
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	3	$74	387	387	+0	open	—	01-25 13:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	04-02 02:26
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	2	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	04-02 02:38
will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	2	$63	42	42	+0	open	—	03-24 07:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	9	$61	421	0	+421	open	—	04-27 17:21
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$43	58	58	+0	open	—	02-22 18:43
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$26	510	0	+510	open	—	02-01 23:52
eth updown 15m 1774352700	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	03-24 11:52
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	6	$18	420	120	+300	open	—	05-12 16:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$15	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-23 16:03
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$15	41	41	+0	open	—	04-21 20:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-02 02:24
btc updown 5m 1771504500	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	02-19 12:38
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$6	146	0	+146	open	—	01-23 21:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 16:17:37	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	201	3¢	$5	0x03822f…
05-12 16:11:02	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	87	3¢	$2	0xd05513…
05-11 19:56:04	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x795fa2…
05-10 08:22:52	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xfc7b71…
05-08 18:02:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	174	88¢	$153	0xccd1a9…
05-08 17:05:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	365	18¢	$66	0x61c01e…
05-08 13:39:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	119	10¢	$12	0xba20a5…
05-08 12:59:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0xc6e69b…
05-08 12:56:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xcd5720…
05-08 01:00:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	319	44¢	$141	0x0bb8c9…
05-07 22:16:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	209	47¢	$98	0xfc31b6…
05-07 22:16:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	84	47¢	$39	0xa5cd21…
05-07 21:32:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0x9f8bc7…
05-07 20:56:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	101	0¢	$0	0xa69bc7…
05-07 20:49:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x657641…
05-07 20:47:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	104	7¢	$7	0xed98e4…
05-07 20:43:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	146	7¢	$10	0x1b5cd4…
05-07 20:18:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0xf45bd3…
05-07 19:25:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	208	59¢	$122	0x1790c8…
05-07 19:19:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x5909b0…
05-07 19:18:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xfb8059…
05-07 19:13:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	132	75¢	$99	0x526228…
05-07 19:09:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xac302f…
05-07 19:02:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x97f9fc…
05-07 18:55:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	311	50¢	$156	0x0382bd…
05-07 18:47:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	241	65¢	$157	0x4429c4…
05-07 18:46:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	71	58¢	$41	0xa22168…
05-07 18:44:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	309	66¢	$203	0xd5a060…
05-07 17:31:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	309	41¢	$125	0x572cee…
05-07 17:28:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	155	63¢	$97	0xef460d…
05-07 17:27:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	155	51¢	$79	0xe1406e…
05-07 01:41:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	247	47¢	$116	0x42999a…
05-07 00:01:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0x771428…
05-07 00:00:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x6e3bf3…
05-07 00:00:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x464a6c…
05-06 23:18:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0xfc6f59…
05-06 23:18:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x1ad214…
05-06 23:16:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xd98749…
05-06 23:16:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x8fc825…
05-06 23:05:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x686469…
05-06 19:54:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	242	0¢	$1	0xcacd7c…
05-06 18:37:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	242	0¢	$1	0x192cd7…
05-06 12:26:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd7285e…
05-06 12:24:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x1470d1…
05-06 11:39:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0xf7c1b3…
05-06 11:19:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x8d3015…
05-06 05:15:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	383	28¢	$107	0xc7c312…
05-06 00:04:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	383	27¢	$103	0xa2a0a9…
05-04 16:29:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	111	7¢	$8	0xd0d77c…
05-04 16:20:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xfe7800…
05-04 15:19:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	95	23¢	$22	0x175543…
05-04 15:15:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x6980c6…
05-04 14:56:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	428	45¢	$193	0xaf256c…
05-04 14:12:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	428	44¢	$189	0x8162f3…
05-04 14:08:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	449	44¢	$198	0x74aaa2…
05-04 13:14:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x1cf5da…
05-04 13:07:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	127	47¢	$60	0x457e4b…
05-04 13:06:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	305	40¢	$123	0x6466a0…
05-04 13:00:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	800	25¢	$200	0x597b13…
05-04 12:39:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	98	35¢	$34	0x8dab39…
05-04 12:29:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	230	33¢	$76	0x800b5a…
05-04 12:21:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x09c25a…
05-04 12:18:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x84c8a6…
05-04 11:50:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	311	15¢	$47	0xd11234…
05-04 10:42:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xffd035…
05-04 10:25:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	199	90¢	$179	0x245b6f…
05-04 10:03:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	199	58¢	$115	0xc617c9…
05-04 10:03:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	281	43¢	$121	0x0b9132…
05-04 09:04:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	281	39¢	$109	0xc7a944…
05-04 09:02:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	116	64¢	$75	0xb7ac15…
05-04 08:52:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	58	67¢	$39	0x58c53e…
05-04 01:17:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	170	44¢	$75	0x786f9f…
05-04 00:45:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	79	48¢	$38	0x20800e…
05-04 00:29:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	76	52¢	$40	0x50b017…
05-04 00:04:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	155	46¢	$71	0x2bd0c9…
05-01 14:00:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	107	99¢	$105	0x71e076…
05-01 07:12:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	107	48¢	$51	0x7eb37f…
05-01 07:10:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	102	52¢	$53	0x0a9917…
05-01 06:31:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	102	53¢	$54	0x1ebe91…
04-29 19:55:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x6b1e0f…
04-29 19:52:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0x7fe4f9…
04-29 06:56:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9097d3…
04-29 06:42:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	195	44¢	$86	0xef198c…
04-29 06:41:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0xa03523…
04-29 06:37:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	29	58¢	$17	0xe68cac…
04-29 06:36:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0xda5d9a…
04-27 17:21:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	134	6¢	$8	0x65ac38…
04-27 16:36:24	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	120	6¢	$8	0xfcb5f0…
04-27 16:27:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x52be09…
04-27 16:23:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	119	18¢	$21	0x8495c2…
04-27 16:14:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x1be76d…
04-27 16:14:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	103	18¢	$19	0xfac8fe…
04-27 16:12:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x754cdc…
04-27 16:08:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x5ceebb…
04-27 14:48:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xd21dd7…
04-27 14:46:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9b5063…
04-24 19:17:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	SELL	1,045	3¢	$31	0xdccfd8…
04-24 16:08:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	1,086	5¢	$55	0x26487a…
04-24 15:45:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0xe58076…
04-24 15:25:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x204291…