Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$162

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$91

1 position

First seen

2026-10-13

last 10-29 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 38% -$147

Other

16% 24% -$4

Sports

3% 0% -$11

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes		+119	$89	76¢	$91	+$2	10-24 10:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:25 UTC	22	$321	62,151	0	+62,151	Down	+$147	10-13 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC	12	$297	578	0	+578	Down	-$121	10-13 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	19	$246	790	0	+790	Up	-$134	10-13 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:20 UTC	15	$184	448	0	+448	Up	+$110	10-13 14:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	16	$171	372	0	+372	Up	-$35	10-13 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:05 UTC	8	$167	798	0	+798	Up	-$75	10-13 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:45 UTC	18	$146	339	0	+339	Up	-$27	10-13 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:10 UTC	16	$135	850	0	+850	Down	-$36	10-13 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:10 UTC	11	$124	63,880	0	+63,880	Up	-$73	10-13 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:40 UTC	15	$119	278	0	+278	Up	+$10	10-13 14:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:50 UTC	12	$105	360	0	+360	Down	-$17	10-13 14:52
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	2	$101	72	72	+0	No	-$11	10-22 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	12	$95	196	0	+196	Down	-$38	10-13 18:17
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	1	$89	119	0	+119	open	—	10-24 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:55 UTC	12	$87	241	0	+241	Down	+$112	10-13 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	12	$80	250	0	+250	Down	+$120	10-13 14:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	7	$48	759	0	+759	Down	-$40	10-13 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 13?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-13 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 22?	4	$35	18	18	+0	No	$0	10-21 16:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	6	$35	105	0	+105	Up	-$35	10-20 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$22	38	0	+38	Down	+$16	10-21 10:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	2	$21	19	19	+0	No	+$2	10-20 03:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 17?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-17 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-19 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:55 UTC	1	$20	166	0	+166	Up	-$20	10-13 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 22?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-22 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 20?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-20 07:01
Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on October 22?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	$0	10-21 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 23?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	$0	10-22 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 21?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	$0	10-21 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xf68e37…
10-24 10:49:39	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	75¢	$89	0x704ce5…
10-22 22:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 23?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x3f6564…
10-22 22:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 23?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x188a8d…
10-22 22:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xcd85ed…
10-22 22:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 23?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1bca2b…
10-22 15:37:56	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	72	63¢	$45	0xc98c75…
10-22 14:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6f75e9…
10-22 14:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef8034…
10-22 07:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbc288a…
10-22 07:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb89538…
10-22 06:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x95520e…
10-22 06:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcc477f…
10-22 05:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x2a2488…
10-22 05:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8d6de4…
10-22 03:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xa3f3af…
10-22 03:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5c780…
10-22 02:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 22?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x31fccb…
10-22 02:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x66e7ac…
10-22 02:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x849deb…
10-22 00:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 22?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3fa738…
10-22 00:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb0de8a…
10-21 20:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0xb37120…
10-21 20:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x2eca17…
10-21 19:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 21?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x841bb5…
10-21 19:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 21?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xf74d91…
10-21 16:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 21?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x0114d1…
10-21 16:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 21?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbf3383…
10-21 16:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 22?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x2c1f9b…
10-21 16:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x9e29b1…
10-21 16:02:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 22?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xab7ad8…
10-21 16:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 22?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xd919dc…
10-21 16:02:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe98239…
10-21 16:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6d28d6…
10-21 16:02:09	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on October 22?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x76891c…
10-21 16:00:50	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf9dc66…
10-21 10:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x27359f…
10-21 10:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 21?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x49bebc…
10-21 10:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5f69c4…
10-21 10:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x951eef…
10-21 10:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x132db9…
10-21 10:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x575e65…
10-21 10:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$5	0x11d742…
10-21 09:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 21?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xdec5bb…
10-21 08:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6b0704…
10-21 07:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 21?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc8de50…
10-21 07:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa9de48…
10-21 04:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 21?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x538a84…
10-21 03:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca393a…
10-21 03:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 21?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6ed52b…
10-21 03:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x776a9c…
10-20 23:07:39	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 0°C or below on October 21?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc7a9a0…
10-20 22:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 21?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x060a28…
10-20 22:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83b135…
10-20 21:31:09	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 0°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x30b435…
10-20 21:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xd5ffd2…
10-20 21:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x459a09…
10-20 21:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x164571…
10-20 21:13:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0x05c0cd…
10-20 21:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xf466ac…
10-20 21:13:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x627d7b…
10-20 07:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 20?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4f43b0…
10-20 07:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x545ed4…
10-20 03:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 20?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xa3babe…
10-20 03:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb9774b…
10-20 03:24:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	SELL	19	62¢	$12	0x845183…
10-20 03:24:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x38ccbf…
10-19 20:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x156d82…
10-19 10:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x478ab9…
10-19 00:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 19?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3daecc…
10-19 00:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7b24a…
10-18 03:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x442aaf…
10-17 15:45:44	highest temperature in mexico city on october 17 2026 14c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15c0e9…
10-17 13:24:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x78d0d2…
10-17 13:24:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfeea5e…
10-17 06:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5783ad…
10-16 05:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x2c4a40…
10-16 05:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x9d0c05…
10-14 10:31:23	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	72	78¢	$56	0x9008d4…
10-14 08:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 14?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3c39f1…
10-14 08:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 14?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x463a28…
10-14 03:20:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd876ca…
10-13 18:25:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xdc382c…
10-13 18:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xd35910…
10-13 18:22:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0x68f888…
10-13 18:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	288	2¢	$6	0x267d50…
10-13 18:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0x9f7c40…
10-13 18:22:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	56	12¢	$7	0xc05c2b…
10-13 18:22:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x1c7930…
10-13 18:21:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	44	19¢	$8	0x9ddac0…
10-13 18:21:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	49	18¢	$9	0xc17596…
10-13 18:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xdb1d13…
10-13 18:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0xdc7fac…
10-13 18:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x9d462b…
10-13 18:16:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xd87ff6…
10-13 18:16:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xc76399…
10-13 18:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf3cbd8…
10-13 18:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xbc500a…
10-13 18:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x52910e…
10-13 18:16:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x79035a…