Organic-Mood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

192

Trades

4,788

lifetime

Volume

$90.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-28 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 49% +$138

Other

25% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	2	$1.4K	728	728	+0	open	—	01-13 16:18
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	2	$1.4K	694	694	+0	open	—	02-16 17:47
highest temperature in london on january 12 12c	2	$1.4K	694	694	+0	open	—	01-13 02:57
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 90 114	12	$1.3K	950	500	+450	open	—	01-12 11:13
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 165 189	2	$1.3K	657	657	+0	open	—	01-12 16:18
bitcoin up or down february 3 6am et	7	$1.3K	1,282	486	+795	open	—	02-03 11:59
highest temperature in nyc on january 24 15forbelow	13	$1.1K	564	564	+0	open	—	01-24 09:00
spx up or down on january 27 2026	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	01-27 20:31
bitcoin up or down january 24 9am et	1	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	01-24 14:59
bitcoin up or down january 25 4am et	9	$976	979	0	+979	open	—	01-25 09:58
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	3	$952	500	500	+0	open	—	01-10 18:52
bitcoin up or down january 27 1pm et	1	$900	901	0	+901	open	—	01-27 18:58
bitcoin up or down january 22 2pm et	7	$894	450	450	+0	open	—	01-22 20:52
bitcoin up or down january 23 3am et	11	$836	840	0	+840	open	—	01-23 08:57
bitcoin up or down january 22 4am et	14	$834	849	0	+849	open	—	01-22 09:58
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	4	$821	421	421	+0	open	—	01-10 16:15
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 140 164	1	$811	815	0	+815	open	—	02-04 11:45
ethereum up or down january 23 1am et	7	$779	783	0	+783	open	—	01-23 06:55
ethereum up or down january 30 5am et	3	$775	776	0	+776	open	—	01-30 10:58
bitcoin up or down january 22 12pm et	9	$767	784	0	+784	open	—	01-22 17:58
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	3	$766	658	139	+520	open	—	01-10 18:53
spx up or down on february 6 2026	2	$755	761	0	+761	open	—	02-06 18:18
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	1	$725	816	0	+816	open	—	01-13 16:20
bitcoin up or down february 3 10am et	2	$710	711	0	+711	open	—	02-03 15:58
ethereum up or down january 26 12pm et	1	$698	700	0	+700	open	—	01-26 17:57
bitcoin up or down january 29 5pm et	3	$695	702	0	+702	open	—	01-29 23:01
bitcoin up or down january 27 1am et	8	$695	700	0	+700	open	—	01-27 06:58
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	1	$694	701	0	+701	open	—	01-13 02:58
bitcoin up or down february 1 5am et	9	$693	694	0	+694	open	—	02-01 11:05
ethereum up or down january 24 1am et	2	$693	704	0	+704	open	—	01-24 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 22:11:22	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	145	43¢	$63	0x3f2761…
07-28 22:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x79e8fe…
07-28 21:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc4a5d1…
07-28 21:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x29124d…
07-28 21:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x11d58e…
07-28 21:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe71549…
07-28 21:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1eb6a7…
07-28 21:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xc51a48…
07-28 21:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xadc6ec…
07-28 20:00:17	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$9	0x0849a4…
07-28 20:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x2a0093…
07-28 20:00:08	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x7fbfae…
07-28 19:00:08	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0xa089da…
07-28 19:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xab0f56…
07-28 19:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6f8a9e…
07-28 18:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x631014…
07-28 17:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x5e9039…
07-28 16:19:52	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xdbb478…
07-28 15:00:02	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$9	0x6a40e5…
07-28 14:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7c366b…
07-28 13:06:37	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x530afc…
07-28 13:01:49	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x70eafd…
07-28 12:00:38	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x8cc975…
07-28 12:00:38	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x24c0fa…
07-28 12:00:19	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c0dcc…
07-28 12:00:17	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x063853…
07-28 11:25:41	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	145	53¢	$77	0x71164d…
07-28 11:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	87	55¢	$48	0xacfc34…
07-28 11:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x12815a…
07-28 11:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0x6b55fc…
07-28 10:29:44	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xb42ea8…
07-28 10:29:44	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x421aa7…
07-28 10:29:44	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x140169…
07-27 23:00:19	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x89b97a…
07-27 22:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xebcbd7…
07-27 21:00:15	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcd5340…
07-27 20:05:42	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xdac589…
07-27 19:01:04	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x78231f…
07-27 18:00:03	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbccb72…
07-27 17:00:03	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd57f8d…
07-27 16:00:54	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0c6934…
07-27 15:00:06	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x34aaf3…
07-27 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x18ed5a…
07-27 13:00:36	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb0a73e…
07-27 13:00:36	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x4d2d02…
07-27 12:13:42	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6a27ee…
07-27 11:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xad1d73…
07-27 10:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x7b0af6…
07-27 09:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x89c4f2…
07-27 08:01:43	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x36c562…
07-27 08:01:42	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xeba741…
07-27 07:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xcbcf81…
07-27 06:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6e7b01…
07-27 05:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x642bdc…
07-27 04:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x01d916…
07-27 02:00:06	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe8c0a1…
07-27 01:12:13	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6cf50b…
07-27 00:00:03	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9ec1da…
07-26 19:00:55	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa51878…
07-26 18:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb6f11f…
07-26 17:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x251cae…
07-26 16:00:06	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x1d5c85…
07-26 15:01:46	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3b8e94…
07-26 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1f891e…
07-26 13:00:03	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbaab5d…
07-26 12:00:03	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x938436…
07-26 11:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xbd6d06…
07-26 10:00:12	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xeb99d9…
07-26 10:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe1192f…
07-26 10:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x589dbf…
07-26 10:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1e595c…
07-26 09:00:15	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf56f53…
07-26 08:00:06	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xef32d8…
07-26 07:00:06	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x825dfb…
07-26 06:00:03	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf264a4…
07-26 05:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xceeac1…
07-26 04:20:31	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa3c413…
07-26 03:00:49	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf2f223…
07-26 02:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5c0b07…
07-26 01:00:15	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xd2365e…
07-26 01:00:15	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x363482…
07-26 00:02:55	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x562ed8…
07-25 23:01:15	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xe278d9…
07-25 23:01:13	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x6fe60e…
07-25 22:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbe5869…
07-25 21:33:48	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xf63cee…
07-25 20:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xf89e18…
07-25 19:01:40	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x02f626…
07-25 18:00:36	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe4cd0f…
07-25 17:01:30	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x567b1f…
07-25 17:01:30	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x132e6e…
07-25 16:00:06	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x506961…
07-25 15:06:04	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc6c954…
07-25 15:06:04	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x431d68…
07-25 15:06:03	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xdac3e8…
07-25 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xdd19eb…
07-25 13:03:22	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7c4d4b…
07-25 13:03:22	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x626db6…
07-24 07:00:31	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x60c7aa…
07-24 06:04:51	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd59411…