Organic-Mood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

192

Trades

4,285

lifetime

Volume

$88.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-08 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 49% +$138

Other

26% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	2	$1.4K	728	728	+0	open	—	01-13 16:18
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	2	$1.4K	694	694	+0	open	—	02-16 17:47
highest temperature in london on january 12 12c	2	$1.4K	694	694	+0	open	—	01-13 02:57
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 90 114	12	$1.3K	950	500	+450	open	—	01-12 11:13
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 165 189	2	$1.3K	657	657	+0	open	—	01-12 16:18
bitcoin up or down february 3 6am et	7	$1.3K	1,282	486	+795	open	—	02-03 11:59
highest temperature in nyc on january 24 15forbelow	13	$1.1K	564	564	+0	open	—	01-24 09:00
spx up or down on january 27 2026	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	01-27 20:31
bitcoin up or down january 24 9am et	1	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	01-24 14:59
bitcoin up or down january 25 4am et	9	$976	979	0	+979	open	—	01-25 09:58
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	3	$952	500	500	+0	open	—	01-10 18:52
bitcoin up or down january 27 1pm et	1	$900	901	0	+901	open	—	01-27 18:58
bitcoin up or down january 22 2pm et	7	$894	450	450	+0	open	—	01-22 20:52
bitcoin up or down january 23 3am et	11	$836	840	0	+840	open	—	01-23 08:57
bitcoin up or down january 22 4am et	14	$834	849	0	+849	open	—	01-22 09:58
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	4	$821	421	421	+0	open	—	01-10 16:15
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 140 164	1	$811	815	0	+815	open	—	02-04 11:45
ethereum up or down january 23 1am et	7	$779	783	0	+783	open	—	01-23 06:55
ethereum up or down january 30 5am et	3	$775	776	0	+776	open	—	01-30 10:58
bitcoin up or down january 22 12pm et	9	$767	784	0	+784	open	—	01-22 17:58
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	3	$766	658	139	+520	open	—	01-10 18:53
spx up or down on february 6 2026	2	$755	761	0	+761	open	—	02-06 18:18
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	1	$725	816	0	+816	open	—	01-13 16:20
bitcoin up or down february 3 10am et	2	$710	711	0	+711	open	—	02-03 15:58
ethereum up or down january 26 12pm et	1	$698	700	0	+700	open	—	01-26 17:57
bitcoin up or down january 29 5pm et	3	$695	702	0	+702	open	—	01-29 23:01
bitcoin up or down january 27 1am et	8	$695	700	0	+700	open	—	01-27 06:58
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	1	$694	701	0	+701	open	—	01-13 02:58
bitcoin up or down february 1 5am et	9	$693	694	0	+694	open	—	02-01 11:05
ethereum up or down january 24 1am et	2	$693	704	0	+704	open	—	01-24 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 18:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x429eb4…
07-08 17:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc948ff…
07-08 16:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x495cb5…
07-08 15:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5dbb59…
07-08 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8c0b14…
07-08 13:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6873ff…
07-08 12:04:23	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xe9e126…
07-08 12:03:56	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x20f4d2…
07-08 12:03:55	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0c72c8…
07-08 12:03:19	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x53ebd5…
07-08 12:00:44	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x5e641b…
07-08 11:00:22	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x693351…
07-08 10:00:02	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd2c82d…
07-08 05:01:52	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x3dd22e…
07-08 04:00:14	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x09fe99…
07-08 03:20:11	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xdca1f4…
07-08 02:00:11	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x257293…
07-08 01:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x590cb3…
07-08 00:00:50	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa802bc…
07-07 23:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xacf888…
07-07 22:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xedd46c…
07-07 21:16:32	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x778925…
07-07 20:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x09951e…
07-07 19:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcef97f…
07-07 18:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9fee22…
07-07 17:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x08a814…
07-07 16:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcebd23…
07-07 15:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xda5f7c…
07-07 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf2aede…
07-07 13:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd10e34…
07-07 12:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3024d0…
07-07 11:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x761e9a…
07-07 10:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2be385…
07-07 09:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf1c79f…
07-07 08:04:26	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa56a11…
07-07 07:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcb1b45…
07-06 22:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcea84b…
07-06 21:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1ad0df…
07-06 20:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x51eef5…
07-06 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x89e6cc…
07-06 13:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6ab3bb…
07-06 12:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xab7b45…
07-06 11:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x0b0b58…
07-06 09:01:20	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xb83787…
07-06 09:01:08	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xd80859…
07-06 08:00:02	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x209be9…
07-06 07:01:59	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf8990f…
07-06 06:01:44	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xec531a…
07-06 06:01:44	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xbe26bc…
07-06 06:01:44	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x7035d0…
07-06 06:01:44	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x18ecad…
07-06 06:01:44	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x175c09…
07-06 06:01:43	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xcc0ee7…
07-06 06:01:43	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xab3a10…
07-06 06:01:43	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x19cad3…
07-06 06:01:43	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x112da0…
07-06 06:01:43	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0db879…
07-06 05:00:23	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x23d6f1…
07-06 04:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0xabab6c…
07-06 03:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x4ed6ae…
07-06 03:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x6e13a7…
07-06 02:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x0f1945…
07-06 02:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe59e89…
07-06 01:00:02	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x541199…
07-06 00:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9d0215…
07-05 23:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1577df…
07-05 22:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9ad3a1…
07-05 21:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xe5e4a8…
07-05 20:04:59	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0c5bb5…
07-05 19:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa65547…
07-05 18:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf9c3bc…
07-05 18:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf4a4a7…
07-05 18:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x72828f…
07-05 18:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xc6cff5…
07-05 18:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x6d8945…
07-05 18:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x3b610a…
07-05 18:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x695876…
07-05 17:00:16	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xce69ef…
07-05 16:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc861a9…
07-05 15:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa7051d…
07-05 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xad0648…
07-05 13:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x202537…
07-05 12:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb3fa4d…
07-05 11:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x79956b…
07-05 10:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd20dff…
07-05 09:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4e90af…
07-05 08:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf9aad1…
07-05 07:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x190010…
07-05 06:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7c2a71…
07-05 05:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x166edc…
07-05 04:00:19	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5ba953…
07-05 03:23:41	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x3d277d…
07-05 02:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	73	53¢	$39	0xc1ebbc…
07-05 01:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	36	54¢	$20	0x2df5cd…
07-05 00:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xe1a2f4…
07-04 23:00:14	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcd183d…
07-04 22:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8f6f8a…
07-04 21:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaad2a3…
07-04 20:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdd19ae…
07-04 19:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xfc02ff…