Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
953
lifetime
Volume
$2.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$131
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-12 23:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
93%
Politics
5%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +150 $31 18¢ $28 $-4 06-07 18:34
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +110 $24 22¢ $24 $-0 06-09 22:12
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes -26 $-6 82¢ $-21 $-15 05-29 21:10
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes +60 $12 20¢ $12 +$0 06-12 21:01
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes -101 $-9 $-9 $-0 06-11 08:19
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -118 $-9 $-9 +$0 06-07 23:18
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -49 $-7 16¢ $-8 $-1 06-11 21:43
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? Yes -53 $-9 12¢ $-6 +$3 06-08 19:08
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? Yes -100 $-4 $-6 $-2 06-08 19:09
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -26 $0 18¢ $-5 $-5 06-07 18:59
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes +28 $3 14¢ $4 +$1 06-08 08:40