Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,793
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$122
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-23 11:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
89%
Politics
10%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +40 $22 57¢ $23 +$1 07-15 03:26
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -168 $-7 12¢ $-21 $-14 07-17 19:49
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +131 $30 15¢ $19 $-11 07-22 10:32
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes +198 $33 10¢ $19 $-14 07-22 11:00
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes -101 $-9 $-8 +$1 06-11 08:19
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? Yes -53 $-9 15¢ $-8 +$1 06-08 19:08
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -34 $7 18¢ $-6 $-13 07-21 06:53
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes +56 $8 11¢ $6 $-2 07-20 15:27
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +82 $8 $5 $-3 07-09 12:45
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +24 $11 16¢ $4 $-7 07-17 09:59
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? Yes -100 $-4 $-3 +$1 06-08 19:09