Zesty-Particle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$102

Unrealized P&L

-$75

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,235

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-31 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

90% 20% -$123

Politics

8% 25% +$20

Tech

2% 100% +$198

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+200	$6	4¢	$8	+$1	10-29 21:36
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+200	$10	3¢	$6	-$4	10-31 10:18
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+60	$12	10¢	$6	-$6	10-30 22:02
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+83	$25	6¢	$5	-$20	10-29 10:54
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	—	+70	$7	7¢	$5	-$3	10-30 19:29
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+40	$9	11¢	$4	-$4	10-31 19:25
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+200	$17	2¢	$4	-$13	10-29 10:59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes		+50	$6	8¢	$4	-$2	10-31 10:18
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	Yes		-118	$4	3¢	$-3	-$8	08-20 08:50
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes		+86	$14	4¢	$3	-$11	10-30 20:26
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+20	$10	8¢	$2	-$9	10-27 20:49
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+20	$1	5¢	$1	+$0	10-29 10:55
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+20	$16	5¢	$1	-$15	10-31 14:02
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+6	$0	5¢	$0	+$0	10-31 13:49
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes		+0	-$17	14¢	$0	+$17	10-29 17:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	115	$687	2,268	2,268	+0	open	—	10-04 14:30
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	253	$683	1,821	1,821	+0	open	—	08-20 08:50
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	102	$661	2,216	2,216	+0	open	—	08-15 05:02
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	133	$632	3,210	3,210	+0	open	—	09-13 22:26
will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	73	$472	1,954	1,869	+85	open	—	09-13 22:27
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	61	$448	2,599	2,599	+0	open	—	07-08 07:06
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	61	$442	852	852	+0	open	—	07-20 17:03
will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628	69	$433	1,228	1,228	+0	open	—	10-05 07:29
will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	98	$422	1,561	1,561	+0	open	—	09-15 13:03
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	95	$416	1,235	1,175	+60	open	—	10-30 22:02
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	95	$406	1,665	1,665	+0	open	—	10-27 20:54
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	92	$392	2,860	2,860	+0	open	—	09-13 22:26
will stripes valuation hit high 250b by december 31	68	$366	1,297	1,297	+0	open	—	09-17 21:23
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	105	$366	1,210	1,190	+20	open	—	10-31 14:02
will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	86	$314	1,837	1,837	+0	open	—	09-15 08:33
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	81	$297	972	889	+83	open	—	10-29 10:54
will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	37	$256	749	749	+0	open	—	09-15 13:02
will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	55	$250	1,319	1,319	+0	open	—	09-17 21:26
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	50	$235	1,295	1,209	+86	open	—	10-30 20:26
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	61	$233	821	801	+20	open	—	10-27 20:49
will openais valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 688 311	34	$233	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	10-01 19:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	33	$228	866	866	+0	open	—	09-27 14:45
will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	55	$211	1,279	1,265	+14	open	—	10-31 21:04
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	90	$207	1,720	1,720	+0	open	—	07-08 07:06
will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	50	$202	1,108	1,108	+0	open	—	09-17 21:18
will bytedances valuation hit high 800b by december 31 20260701011753594	31	$198	593	593	+0	open	—	10-01 19:15
will stripes valuation hit high 300b by december 31	50	$195	902	902	+0	open	—	09-17 21:22
will bytedances valuation hit low 300b by december 31 20260701011753600	34	$192	697	697	+0	open	—	09-13 16:53
will revoluts valuation hit low 75b by december 31 20260701011444457	34	$190	791	791	+0	open	—	10-29 07:50
will syria recognize israel by december 31	46	$190	1,047	997	+51	open	—	10-31 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:04:31	Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0x358488…
10-31 19:25:22	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1eab8e…
10-31 16:59:07	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x979f78…
10-31 15:24:19	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	216	2¢	$5	0x7b7ccb…
10-31 14:02:31	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x5ee64c…
10-31 13:49:48	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xe55da0…
10-31 10:26:52	Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x2b61a8…
10-31 10:25:58	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x4aa988…
10-31 10:25:33	Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x77cfe6…
10-31 10:25:15	Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8629b9…
10-31 10:23:54	Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xca6675…
10-31 10:23:24	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x2e789e…
10-31 10:22:55	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x1453ec…
10-31 10:19:55	Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x3eb07d…
10-31 10:19:43	Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x4930c8…
10-31 10:18:42	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x2448aa…
10-31 10:18:00	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	3¢	$2	0xe545b3…
10-31 09:43:25	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xca19e8…
10-31 05:24:39	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xe44765…
10-31 05:24:25	Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x92979c…
10-31 04:12:03	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x1d1d9b…
10-31 00:55:13	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x27be5b…
10-31 00:53:22	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf86937…
10-31 00:52:24	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd3b4de…
10-31 00:49:58	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xed58cb…
10-31 00:47:04	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6d3381…
10-31 00:37:33	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe836d9…
10-31 00:36:07	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa027af…
10-31 00:22:03	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3f67da…
10-30 23:33:58	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x061e41…
10-30 23:18:18	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x159c55…
10-30 23:13:21	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xedfac4…
10-30 22:14:40	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3a9d8e…
10-30 22:02:13	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x34a83b…
10-30 22:01:55	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9d799f…
10-30 21:34:37	Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0xcb7b47…
10-30 21:28:46	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x8bacb7…
10-30 21:28:33	Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x380ee3…
10-30 21:27:52	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x0f0421…
10-30 21:27:06	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x79212b…
10-30 21:26:18	Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x28de27…
10-30 20:57:24	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x616e63…
10-30 20:48:16	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x31923b…
10-30 20:46:43	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x63e86a…
10-30 20:45:04	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6c7971…
10-30 20:28:40	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf33a66…
10-30 20:28:00	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x44365d…
10-30 20:26:52	Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xf8f37e…
10-30 20:26:25	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x6b106e…
10-30 19:54:18	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd051ad…
10-30 19:29:28	Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x5bb1a4…
10-30 19:22:30	Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x2e8d43…
10-30 19:18:42	Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xe20bfe…
10-30 19:18:42	Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x3ff723…
10-30 19:18:36	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x804680…
10-30 10:39:00	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	2¢	$5	0x4b8e97…
10-30 08:49:13	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0xc86c42…
10-30 08:46:57	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xe89773…
10-29 21:36:57	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0xcde54e…
10-29 20:25:55	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x7cc3e4…
10-29 17:48:58	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	2¢	$3	0x0eb0ab…
10-29 17:48:28	Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	3¢	$8	0xddd051…
10-29 17:47:05	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xf63149…
10-29 17:41:43	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x121a00…
10-29 12:19:38	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x033c47…
10-29 10:59:32	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x4c5069…
10-29 10:59:01	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x4aa776…
10-29 10:57:23	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x06d641…
10-29 10:55:38	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xe27b8f…
10-29 10:54:22	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xae0235…
10-29 10:52:44	Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x104d5b…
10-29 10:52:16	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0xd2c8cb…
10-29 10:51:25	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x209a9c…
10-29 10:49:59	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x5526af…
10-29 10:49:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x900152…
10-29 10:49:13	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0x83c067…
10-29 08:18:13	Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	74	3¢	$2	0x33f9c5…
10-29 07:50:05	Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xf4ac16…
10-28 19:56:32	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x9c8bc6…
10-28 19:50:49	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xa60b23…
10-28 13:32:59	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x9cf8bc…
10-28 13:00:01	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x258fdc…
10-28 12:45:14	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x86f490…
10-28 12:25:25	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x45aef2…
10-28 04:28:19	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x39d56c…
10-28 02:21:08	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x20ce05…
10-28 01:37:41	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xd3de9e…
10-28 01:37:35	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2b50a2…
10-27 23:50:03	Will BP be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xccdd8a…
10-27 22:27:32	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1acf20…
10-27 22:27:27	Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x858438…
10-27 22:27:23	Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x55ab13…
10-27 22:27:09	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x5b1c83…
10-27 22:27:02	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x8a44bf…
10-27 22:26:53	Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xc15460…
10-27 22:26:45	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	206	3¢	$7	0xeda3aa…
10-27 22:26:35	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xb69e8f…
10-27 22:26:30	Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x461816…
10-27 22:26:26	Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x242bfb…
10-27 22:26:20	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x102068…