Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

1,821

Trades

5,710

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-19

last 10-27 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 43% +$22

Other

6% 38% +$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 388 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	88¢	$4	+$1	10-27 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	88¢	$4	+$1	10-27 12:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	39	$189	260	100	+160	Up	-$24	09-22 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	34	$179	260	80	+180	Up	-$21	09-22 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	22	$170	150	120	+30	Down	+$68	09-22 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	23	$163	200	80	+120	Up	-$5	09-22 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$117	62	62	+0	Up	+$6	10-20 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$112	61	61	+0	Down	-$2	10-20 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	5	$109	112	84	+28	Up	+$68	10-21 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$106	59	59	+0	Down	+$1	10-20 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$102	53	53	-0	Up	+$2	10-20 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	32	$87	200	40	+160	Down	-$39	09-22 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$86	45	45	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 15:10
xrp up or down august 31 2026 3pm et	8	$79	98	35	+62	Up	+$3	08-31 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	28	$78	220	20	+200	Up	-$38	09-22 17:36
xrp up or down august 31 2026 8am et	12	$67	80	37	+43	Down	+$4	08-31 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$58	61	5	+56	Up	-$1	10-20 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$57	59	0	+59	Down	-$3	10-24 14:13
xrp up or down august 31 2026 10am et	11	$51	70	28	+42	Up	+$1	08-31 14:41
xrp up or down august 31 2026 9am et	11	$49	70	22	+48	Up	-$2	08-31 13:57
solana up or down august 20 2026 12pm et	13	$48	50	35	+15	Up	+$22	08-20 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$48	56	0	+56	Down	-$48	10-24 14:37
Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5AM ET	8	$46	60	22	+38	Down	+$4	09-01 09:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 10AM ET	2	$43	29	29	+0	Up	+$14	09-08 15:04
xrp up or down august 30 2026 4am et	9	$40	45	24	+21	Up	+$13	08-30 09:00
solana up or down august 28 2026 11pm et	9	$40	40	26	+14	Down	+$21	08-29 04:00
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 8AM ET	11	$39	48	23	+25	Up	+$7	08-24 13:09
xrp up or down august 31 2026 2pm et	10	$39	67	7	+60	Up	+$4	08-31 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	10	$38	100	0	+100	Down	+$42	09-22 15:46
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 1AM ET	9	$38	30	25	+5	Up	+$10	08-24 06:11
xrp up or down august 31 2026 11am et	7	$37	50	15	+35	Down	-$3	08-31 15:17
solana up or down august 31 2026 2pm et	7	$36	60	15	+45	Up	-$4	08-31 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0ced11…
10-27 12:45:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xaf64c2…
10-27 12:30:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xeafde0…
10-27 12:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf9a910…
10-27 12:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x21e02e…
10-27 12:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdef810…
10-27 12:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8341a0…
10-27 12:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x793e08…
10-27 11:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd0d9f7…
10-27 11:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xed8c51…
10-27 11:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x32fd33…
10-27 11:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xabf7d7…
10-27 11:15:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x715dd4…
10-27 11:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe24365…
10-27 11:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8cc032…
10-27 11:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x08e326…
10-27 10:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9f9806…
10-27 10:31:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x415e2b…
10-27 10:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1256dc…
10-27 10:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa7b825…
10-27 10:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8e4b64…
10-27 10:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x392113…
10-27 10:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x004fa6…
10-27 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe8a75f…
10-27 09:45:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x292cb4…
10-27 09:30:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x90c8b7…
10-27 09:30:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x225ccf…
10-27 09:15:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf8a7f9…
10-27 09:15:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3785d9…
10-27 09:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x150340…
10-27 09:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x06c3df…
10-27 08:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9f659c…
10-27 08:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x440b18…
10-27 08:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9173aa…
10-27 08:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x17b56f…
10-27 08:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdb765a…
10-27 08:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x745cfd…
10-27 08:00:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x954fb2…
10-27 08:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb6acba…
10-27 07:46:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe7b66e…
10-27 07:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x12d694…
10-27 07:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcb95db…
10-27 07:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcef7dc…
10-27 07:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0139ce…
10-27 07:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x83b7cb…
10-27 07:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x16b7cb…
10-27 07:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x51eabb…
10-27 06:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1d59cf…
10-27 06:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe1758d…
10-27 06:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe3545a…
10-27 06:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd197da…
10-27 06:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf90efc…
10-27 06:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x8aaf8d…
10-27 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xab5666…
10-27 06:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x90a6ab…
10-27 05:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x75326e…
10-27 05:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfd9df5…
10-27 05:30:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x118689…
10-27 05:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc3ae4a…
10-27 05:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa7c920…
10-27 05:16:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x572b58…
10-27 05:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8dc92e…
10-27 05:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb705c0…
10-27 04:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3c1c0f…
10-27 04:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe29b3c…
10-27 04:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x704c1a…
10-27 04:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb9507d…
10-27 04:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb15011…
10-27 04:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9cfa00…
10-27 04:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6ce8e0…
10-27 04:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd632ed…
10-27 03:45:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xac4935…
10-27 03:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc2d08e…
10-27 03:30:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd78e73…
10-27 03:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe1b3f2…
10-27 03:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x62c32d…
10-27 03:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x35dd96…
10-27 03:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdbd800…
10-27 02:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xca27a5…
10-27 02:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x39738b…
10-27 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9270c0…
10-27 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0f7331…
10-27 02:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb14861…
10-27 02:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x680dd7…
10-27 02:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc18d1b…
10-27 02:00:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x55d431…
10-27 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x53a9e7…
10-27 01:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9d5b73…
10-27 01:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x58e71d…
10-27 01:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa2f4e8…
10-27 01:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9d64d8…
10-27 01:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc29750…
10-27 01:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf99440…
10-27 01:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9c9484…
10-27 01:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb1772f…
10-27 00:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x267731…
10-27 00:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd84cba…
10-27 00:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdd4ecd…
10-27 00:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3fd4ca…
10-27 00:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x118447…