Humiliating-Illustration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$108.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$533

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-29 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

98% 93% -$1,816

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Politics

1% 50% +$1

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	13	$63.4K	69,411	23,000	+46,411	No	-$1,789	02-07 02:52
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	27	$21.4K	42,411	0	+42,411	No	+$26	02-07 06:18
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	67	$20.4K	40,411	0	+40,411	No	+$4	02-09 05:31
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	4	$999	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$1	02-07 10:07
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$136	200	0	+200	Yes	+$64	02-08 08:59
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	1	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	03-29 08:41
solana above 60 on march 28	1	$71	71	0	+71	Yes	+$0	03-27 03:11
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$64	200	0	+200	No	-$64	02-08 08:59
solana above 50 on march 25	1	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	03-23 08:17
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$58	411	0	+411	Yes	-$58	02-07 03:02
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	10-29 15:09
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	10-29 20:29
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$45	22	22	+0	No	+$0	10-29 02:32
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	03-16 06:53
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	3	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	08-26 00:31
will the price of solana be between 120 130 on april 5	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	04-03 09:48
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 4	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-03 09:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-23 08:16
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	08-25 02:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	$0	03-03 04:38
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	09-02 11:35
solana above 140 on february 12	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-11 03:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-23 08:16
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	09-02 11:39
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	01-30 15:53
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	02-11 03:35
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 60 79	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	02-27 08:04
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	09-02 11:34
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	01-30 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	08-25 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:29:36	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xfee7b2…
10-29 15:09:46	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xdb53aa…
10-29 02:32:20	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0a2ccc…
10-28 07:50:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x72f6a0…
10-28 07:50:13	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x42e736…
10-28 07:49:22	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xea1a80…
09-02 11:39:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe54d48…
09-02 11:35:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xccea87…
09-02 11:34:51	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe8e2f1…
08-26 00:31:00	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x111147…
08-25 11:16:46	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xd31376…
08-25 02:27:15	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1c26df…
08-25 02:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb803f9…
08-04 07:30:21	bitcoin above 72k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa4a62b…
08-04 07:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3e7fbc…
08-04 07:28:36	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcf00cb…
07-30 11:52:18	xrp above 1pt6 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x16625e…
07-30 11:51:53	xrp above 1pt5 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x70fc4f…
07-30 11:51:09	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xb8f6d0…
07-30 11:50:51	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6b0b76…
07-01 08:39:19	will bitcoin reach 74k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0c0ab7…
07-01 08:38:38	bitcoin above 70k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe2b81e…
07-01 08:38:22	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1460d6…
07-01 08:38:02	bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd14520…
06-06 05:30:06	solana above 130 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2f4c92…
06-06 05:29:15	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on June 9?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6c5b0b…
06-06 05:26:27	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4f6f1e…
06-06 05:26:10	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc652c4…
05-09 03:41:27	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaba2cc…
05-09 03:40:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 4-10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x28811a…
05-09 03:38:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x741ad4…
05-09 03:38:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7dabb3…
04-20 02:30:44	highest temperature in chicago on april 21 2026 35forbelow	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9080d3…
04-20 02:29:12	solana above 130 on april 22	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x034713…
04-20 02:28:52	solana above 130 on april 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x806b3d…
04-20 02:28:18	solana above 40 on april 21	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb0d561…
04-15 03:29:00	solana above 120 on april 17	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe139ad…
04-15 03:28:36	solana above 130 on april 18	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5775a7…
04-15 03:28:20	solana above 70 on april 15	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x142ded…
04-03 09:48:47	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on april 5	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x17cfd7…
04-03 09:48:21	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 4	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf21a0b…
03-29 08:41:52	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xd68051…
03-27 03:11:27	solana above 60 on march 28	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x697308…
03-23 08:17:57	solana above 50 on march 25	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9e7178…
03-23 08:17:33	solana above 70 on march 24	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x478c0d…
03-23 08:16:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x8cf721…
03-23 08:16:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x3c9a81…
03-18 07:28:57	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcc2ea6…
03-18 07:28:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe1b84f…
03-18 07:28:31	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfd6c67…
03-16 06:53:11	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x5c6756…
03-16 06:52:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xf66f10…
03-16 06:52:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x18478f…
03-11 02:26:49	solana above 30 on march 14	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xeab901…
03-11 02:26:33	solana above 30 on march 13	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0ece56…
03-11 02:26:23	solana above 60 on march 12	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9330c1…
03-11 02:26:01	solana above 100 on march 11	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x37f427…
03-09 03:26:43	ethereum above 2300 on march 9	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xde5146…
03-09 03:26:09	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on march 11	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xefe4f6…
03-09 03:25:47	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x573985…
03-09 03:25:37	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3f26dd…
03-09 03:25:21	will ethereum reach 2200 march 2 8	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf95ab5…
03-03 04:42:59	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 25corbelow	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc67af0…
03-03 04:42:27	highest temperature in nyc on march 4 2026 34 35f	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9c5b0a…
03-03 04:42:09	highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 32 33f	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5b9e04…
03-03 04:38:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xfd27af…
02-27 08:04:23	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 60 79	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x066a69…
02-27 08:03:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x2ade5f…
02-25 12:32:50	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9d3baf…
02-25 12:31:58	bitcoin above 76k on february 26	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc67a75…
02-25 12:31:44	bitcoin above 58k on february 25	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1a8f00…
02-23 13:13:02	ethereum above 2300 on february 24	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc4ced5…
02-23 13:09:36	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9c98e3…
02-18 13:34:54	highest temperature in buenos aires on february 19 2026 36corhigher	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x72cd8d…
02-18 13:34:36	highest temperature in buenos aires on february 18 2026 41c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf5453f…
02-18 13:33:40	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0f3b83…
02-18 13:32:30	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x391081…
02-13 10:03:47	solana above 130 on february 15	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x644466…
02-13 10:03:39	solana above 110 on february 14	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe2373b…
02-11 03:38:41	solana above 140 on february 12	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc7bdb3…
02-11 03:35:57	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcd4da4…
02-11 03:35:45	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x16119c…
02-09 05:31:49	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	4,589	99¢	$4,548	0x90520b…
02-09 05:13:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0x1443d3…
02-09 05:08:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	333	99¢	$330	0xe4b8b0…
02-09 04:32:45	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x9f0855…
02-09 04:26:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc5d616…
02-09 04:23:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0x451b57…
02-09 04:04:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	14,402	99¢	$14,273	0xfc0e24…
02-08 13:14:47	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,402	1¢	$22	0xd0b42a…
02-08 13:03:23	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd983cc…
02-08 12:45:45	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x75588d…
02-08 12:34:51	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x92ec6a…
02-08 12:29:05	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x1b83ff…
02-08 12:28:27	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x7fc021…
02-08 12:27:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x3f60a6…
02-08 12:27:25	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x247798…
02-08 12:26:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x3ebb34…
02-08 12:26:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x8be9d8…
02-08 12:25:45	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x9b2913…