Dependable-Compulsion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$136

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

212

Trades

516

lifetime

Volume

$4.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-02

last 11-13 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 73% -$125

Other

12% 72% -$13

Politics

2% 67% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	—	+7	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	11-13 15:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 11:45 UTC	2	$123	101	97	+4	Down	+$26	04-02 11:49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$78	60	60	+0	Yes	+$39	07-15 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:55 UTC	9	$72	51	50	+1	Up	+$3	04-23 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 14:25 UTC	2	$57	30	30	+0	Down	+$3	04-23 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 19:00 UTC	2	$53	27	27	+0	Down	+$0	04-02 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:50 UTC	2	$53	54	52	+2	Down	+$4	04-03 08:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:25 UTC	3	$52	30	30	+0	Up	+$7	04-02 15:29
bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1pm et	4	$51	29	29	+0	Down	+$1	07-16 17:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:40 UTC	2	$51	26	26	+0	Down	+$0	04-03 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 18:55 UTC	2	$50	27	27	+0	Down	+$3	04-02 19:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 19:20 UTC	6	$50	30	29	+0	Down	+$1	04-02 19:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 17:15 UTC	4	$47	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	04-08 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 18:30 UTC	2	$47	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	04-02 18:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 18:25 UTC	2	$46	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	04-02 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$44	33	33	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$43	30	30	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$42	35	35	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$42	34	34	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 06:10 UTC	8	$41	34	34	+0	Down	+$3	04-23 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:05 UTC	2	$41	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	04-02 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$40	24	24	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:00 UTC	2	$39	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	04-12 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:40 UTC	10	$39	23	23	+0	Down	+$0	04-23 12:44
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	5	$38	25	25	-0	Yes	+$3	05-04 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:50 UTC	3	$37	42	17	+25	Up	-$18	04-03 15:54
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	2	$37	3,717	0	+3,717	No	-$37	07-11 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 13:40 UTC	2	$36	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	04-22 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:35 UTC	2	$36	26	26	+1	Up	+$0	04-03 15:39
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage	3	$36	20	20	+0	SPARTA	+$2	05-05 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 10:45 UTC	2	$36	21	20	+0	Up	+$1	04-11 10:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 15:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb0bb1d…
11-13 15:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xf7ad3f…
11-13 15:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x35744d…
11-13 15:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x39c00e…
11-13 15:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xe27c31…
11-13 15:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x5faa0c…
11-13 15:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xddd52a…
11-13 14:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x537a64…
11-13 14:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xffb365…
11-13 14:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb9879a…
11-13 13:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x940204…
11-13 13:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x993553…
11-13 13:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xfb8aa4…
11-13 09:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x959e6a…
11-12 08:42:24	Gold Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xecefb9…
11-12 08:42:07	Gold Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x93866e…
11-12 07:53:25	Gold Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd36058…
11-12 07:49:48	Gold Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xba0550…
11-10 15:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb2ddea…
11-10 15:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5cad4a…
11-06 18:14:54	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xaff594…
11-06 18:03:31	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xed4250…
11-06 17:55:52	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x8d8af6…
11-06 17:51:04	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa502e5…
11-06 17:40:37	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x462c3b…
11-06 17:37:13	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x09c20f…
11-06 17:24:19	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x4e535c…
11-06 17:20:33	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0dd989…
11-06 16:39:03	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf94906…
11-06 16:34:52	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd7f51a…
11-06 16:29:46	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd818f8…
11-06 16:18:48	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xae2d84…
11-06 15:55:40	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xba10ae…
11-06 15:50:13	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5cd3a3…
11-06 15:44:04	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x8220fb…
11-06 15:42:30	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xdd5e10…
11-06 15:27:24	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9e736f…
11-06 15:18:40	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x270479…
11-06 14:44:28	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x53c88b…
11-06 14:44:27	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3de179…
11-06 14:42:15	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x459a27…
11-06 14:38:04	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xfe388a…
11-06 14:37:46	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x20611d…
11-06 14:28:18	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x14b4a5…
11-06 14:27:07	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x591ac7…
11-06 14:24:15	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x75b012…
11-06 14:09:18	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x864804…
11-06 14:06:01	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb3c0b0…
11-06 13:00:28	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbd79b1…
11-06 12:52:54	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x48780c…
11-06 12:45:51	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xcf5153…
11-06 12:34:19	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0xeeafca…
11-06 12:31:42	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb5f4be…
11-06 12:23:43	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x59c9f7…
11-06 12:16:48	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe50a59…
11-06 12:05:16	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa98065…
11-06 11:56:04	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x48bd92…
11-06 11:50:16	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x106b57…
11-06 11:42:24	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xe4eb08…
11-06 11:34:03	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xaa8b26…
11-06 11:22:37	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x5d34c6…
11-06 11:16:51	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8b4136…
11-06 11:14:09	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xec03a9…
11-06 11:13:25	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbf09d1…
11-06 11:04:18	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x70b09e…
11-06 10:56:40	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0xa84d6c…
11-06 10:54:04	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x982cd0…
11-06 10:32:06	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbaa7af…
11-06 10:29:37	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x630de8…
11-06 10:27:15	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x416dce…
11-06 10:25:00	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x1ea9a4…
11-06 10:23:45	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x8caf5e…
11-06 10:21:55	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3ef9aa…
11-06 10:20:37	Silver Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3a96a7…
11-06 10:14:27	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xc2a8dc…
11-06 10:12:45	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc9b806…
11-04 13:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xbb797c…
11-04 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x19d559…
11-04 12:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x0e770d…
11-04 12:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x399a86…
11-04 08:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcad27d…
07-20 08:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xb05a23…
07-16 17:27:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7be4fe…
07-16 17:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2a7e7f…
07-16 17:26:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe03f6f…
07-16 17:25:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1e1044…
07-16 17:22:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xebbb3e…
07-16 17:17:19	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xa522de…
07-16 17:17:19	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x943a3b…
07-16 17:17:19	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	18	90¢	$17	0x5dc9b6…
07-16 17:15:38	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x048a65…
07-16 06:19:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x569a0c…
07-16 06:18:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x60ab0d…
07-16 05:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf4817c…
07-15 21:00:26	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xe2ab0c…
07-15 13:53:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xbf84c7…
07-11 23:08:19	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	3,600	0¢	$9	0x2a15dd…
07-11 06:38:14	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	117	24¢	$28	0x8cfe83…
06-01 19:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb3a6e8…
06-01 19:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x2bdf12…