Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

944

Trades

3,203

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 65% -$132

Other

13% 65% +$118

Politics

7% 57% +$50

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$52

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	+15	$13	97¢	$14	+$1	10-28 08:00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+42	$9	13¢	$6	-$3	10-17 09:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	+29	$6	13¢	$4	-$2	10-17 09:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	3	$112	185	0	+185	open	—	10-28 02:48
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $240B?	2	$82	46	46	+0	Yes	+$9	10-22 10:34
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 12:00 UTC	12	$76	77	25	+52	Up	-$15	01-05 12:15
Will US gas hit $4.28 (Low) the week of October 26?	3	$73	92	0	+92	Yes	+$19	10-27 07:44
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $210B?	2	$68	36	36	+0	Yes	+$4	10-22 10:34
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #2 song this week?	3	$66	61	61	+0	No	+$52	10-08 20:08
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	5	$60	65	0	+65	open	—	10-26 18:33
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 15:00 UTC	13	$59	52	47	+5	Up	-$22	01-05 15:14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	3	$58	45	45	+0	Yes	+$30	10-10 10:32
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	3	$57	32	32	+0	open	—	10-28 04:09
Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) the week of October 19?	1	$56	60	0	+60	No	+$4	10-25 07:54
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	4	$53	42	42	+0	Yes	+$9	10-21 07:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 16:15 UTC	8	$51	31	31	+0	Up	+$10	01-02 16:29
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$51	70	70	+0	No	-$10	10-11 02:54
Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	2	$49	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	10-28 07:17
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 15:45 UTC	8	$48	27	27	+0	Up	+$5	01-01 16:00
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $180B?	2	$48	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	10-22 10:34
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 08:30 UTC	8	$47	26	26	+0	Up	+$4	01-03 08:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 18:45 UTC	9	$47	26	26	+0	Down	+$3	01-02 18:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 07:45 UTC	8	$46	26	26	+0	Down	+$6	01-03 07:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 16:15 UTC	8	$44	26	26	+0	Up	+$7	01-02 16:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 16:30 UTC	12	$44	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	01-04 16:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 19:00 UTC	8	$44	26	26	+0	Up	+$7	01-02 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 15:45 UTC	8	$44	24	24	+0	Down	+$3	01-02 15:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 22:15 UTC	8	$44	25	25	+0	Up	+$4	01-02 22:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 07:45 UTC	8	$44	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	01-03 07:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 06:45 UTC	8	$44	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	01-03 06:59
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$4	10-21 22:47
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 07:30 UTC	8	$43	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	01-03 07:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 23:30 UTC	8	$42	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	01-04 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:40:46	Will voter turnout be 78% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xd3bdb2…
10-28 20:39:53	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	160	17¢	$27	0xa0d1b3…
10-28 18:10:19	Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf01c39…
10-28 16:11:11	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd4a25b…
10-28 15:54:08	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x8d0bc5…
10-28 15:23:14	Will voter turnout be 78% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xdc5262…
10-28 09:46:02	Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xdea316…
10-28 08:00:37	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x29532d…
10-28 07:55:10	Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x5f0e54…
10-28 07:17:26	Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1154fa…
10-28 07:17:19	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb68cf8…
10-28 07:17:11	Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa05000…
10-28 07:06:14	Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election?	No	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x3b1290…
10-28 06:36:25	Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x50dde2…
10-28 05:33:59	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x041b3c…
10-28 05:33:46	Will Nathan Volf win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xa3341b…
10-28 05:06:55	Will Marshall Callaghan win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x167d86…
10-28 04:35:50	Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x8bd858…
10-28 04:31:07	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x672871…
10-28 04:09:05	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x45a337…
10-28 02:48:20	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$31	0x9c75e6…
10-28 02:48:03	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0xd0f46b…
10-28 02:47:42	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	55	59¢	$32	0x24f505…
10-27 23:18:08	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x198f30…
10-27 22:55:50	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0x81255e…
10-27 21:45:23	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	229	1¢	$3	0x019d38…
10-27 19:02:56	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xe2de8b…
10-27 18:13:24	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xfe71d5…
10-27 18:07:03	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x28a207…
10-27 11:39:57	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x16810e…
10-27 07:44:09	Will US gas hit $4.28 (Low) the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0xce7830…
10-27 06:20:36	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xcdf857…
10-27 00:07:38	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x2e0e45…
10-26 18:33:02	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0272ee…
10-26 18:27:57	Will US gas hit $4.28 (Low) the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5b9949…
10-26 17:45:24	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x0233c7…
10-26 15:22:30	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x2260bb…
10-26 12:22:20	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe0f22c…
10-26 11:33:06	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x0fdc5b…
10-26 11:23:12	Will US gas hit $4.28 (Low) the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xd84c17…
10-26 11:01:36	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x17c325…
10-26 09:24:20	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xb0e5a3…
10-26 02:04:38	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x4502ae…
10-26 01:24:44	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb45707…
10-26 00:34:41	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x68868e…
10-26 00:01:06	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by less than 3%?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x01964e…
10-25 23:28:09	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x6c3d0b…
10-25 23:08:02	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x050bdc…
10-25 21:02:48	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xefe196…
10-25 20:39:59	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x5031e8…
10-25 20:36:15	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x6cbcd8…
10-25 19:34:17	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xe43e87…
10-25 15:23:29	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xdcc8f3…
10-25 11:04:48	Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0x4d7c41…
10-25 07:54:47	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) the week of October 19?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x474fe3…
10-25 04:20:39	Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xf752a6…
10-25 00:10:14	Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xa788f2…
10-24 16:10:11	Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	35	81¢	$28	0x993ac2…
10-23 10:05:29	Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x4fcdd7…
10-23 09:53:03	Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0xc2cee2…
10-23 09:52:53	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xa2fc05…
10-23 09:52:38	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x16494f…
10-23 09:52:26	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x01ad33…
10-23 09:48:02	Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd0923f…
10-23 09:47:51	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x651eca…
10-23 09:40:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x338597…
10-23 06:21:15	Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcbf8f8…
10-23 06:21:15	Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x476e1d…
10-23 05:21:02	Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb51381…
10-22 22:13:02	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xa54f8c…
10-22 16:05:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $92.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xefc587…
10-22 15:21:14	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	Yes	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x2c6bab…
10-22 14:40:57	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xcae31d…
10-22 14:40:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xf70bb7…
10-22 14:35:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x3fa6bb…
10-22 14:14:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0x48b9ca…
10-22 10:35:11	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd3ee8d…
10-22 10:34:14	Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $180B?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x26ea65…
10-22 10:34:08	Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $210B?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x9eac9f…
10-22 10:34:00	Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $240B?	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x8e96f3…
10-22 10:09:27	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xc6f08d…
10-22 09:25:39	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0x1ef1b5…
10-22 08:25:03	Will 45% to 54% of Winter Wheat acreage be in D1-D4 drought this week?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x665fbb…
10-22 07:33:51	Will 55% or more of Cotton acreage be in D1-D4 drought this week?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xa5efbe…
10-22 06:26:16	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or more in September?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x47e909…
10-22 05:24:36	Will Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x24f87d…
10-22 04:12:30	Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$0	0xfd00b1…
10-22 04:08:30	Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x0c879a…
10-22 04:08:27	Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9f86d1…
10-22 01:01:51	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x602060…
10-21 22:47:06	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x095622…
10-21 21:02:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x8da0f1…
10-21 17:10:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x0b472b…
10-21 15:24:48	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x0b38f3…
10-21 14:45:42	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xbfc886…
10-21 14:33:23	Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xdcb2b0…
10-21 13:34:35	Will the biggest earthquake on October 21, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$19	0xec324d…
10-21 09:16:00	Will the biggest earthquake on October 21, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xecf1d4…
10-21 07:04:27	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x092863…
10-20 16:32:15	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x5f2d76…