Jolly-Conifer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

361

Trades

849

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-20 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

95% 39% -$15

Sports

5% 25% -$11

Crypto

1% 67% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?	6	$98	54	54	+0	Yes	+$8	05-01 18:58
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?	3	$40	35	35	+0	No	+$14	05-24 19:54
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	5	$32	55	29	+26	No	-$10	04-28 19:33
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans	16	$29	28	27	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	-$1	04-24 17:18
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	4	$25	24	24	+0	Under	+$1	06-02 00:13
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	9	$24	19	19	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$0	05-01 17:44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	2	$24	14	14	+0	Over	+$4	04-28 20:02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$23	14	13	+0	Yes	+$4	04-25 18:22
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings	14	$23	21	21	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$1	04-23 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 7?	6	$20	44	5	+39	No	-$16	07-07 19:54
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	4	$20	13	13	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$6	05-18 18:10
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$20	30	16	+15	Yes	+$5	04-29 19:32
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$18	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-06 21:13
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 21?	6	$17	43	43	+0	No	+$1	06-21 21:05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$17	25	25	+0	No	-$3	05-30 16:53
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	04-30 20:55
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	6	$16	13	13	+0	Kolkata Knight Riders	$0	05-03 10:42
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	12	$16	17	17	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$2	05-19 17:17
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-02?	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	-$15	05-01 19:05
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$15	20	10	+9	No	-$5	05-30 18:50
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	10	$15	28	28	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	-$1	05-22 16:59
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	04-26 16:46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	3	$14	22	22	+0	No	-$10	05-02 15:17
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 21?	5	$13	29	29	+0	No	-$1	06-21 19:01
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	4	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	05-03 17:22
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	9	$12	13	11	+2	Lucknow Super Giants	+$0	05-15 17:44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	3	$12	15	9	+6	Yes	+$2	05-03 19:07
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	11	$12	18	18	+0	Punjab Kings	+$0	05-23 17:38
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	3	$12	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 03:10
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	6	$12	23	6	+17	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	-$6	05-26 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 19:07:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x69408a…
10-18 14:13:48	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8ada58…
09-20 12:50:57	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x23c21c…
09-20 12:38:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2b7b05…
09-14 18:40:03	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x299b0e…
09-14 18:29:37	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x49c3b6…
09-13 16:45:25	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfe878f…
09-13 11:49:12	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf12f4d…
09-13 11:48:36	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe55277…
09-12 19:13:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x06fae2…
09-12 15:17:55	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xe244aa…
09-12 13:38:40	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7e810f…
09-11 18:06:06	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x320329…
09-10 14:52:46	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd82e71…
09-10 14:50:12	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd354a0…
09-10 14:50:01	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x99974e…
09-09 19:44:33	Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa986eb…
09-09 18:38:27	Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbeca57…
08-01 17:47:57	Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x40000f…
08-01 11:54:11	Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6867e5…
07-20 13:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 20?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x1e01ed…
07-20 13:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd6fca2…
07-14 19:56:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x638227…
07-14 17:55:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3c45d3…
07-08 19:52:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3526f0…
07-07 19:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb969a2…
07-07 19:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x29acae…
07-07 19:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa241bc…
07-07 19:11:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xe5f6bc…
07-07 18:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xd804ff…
07-07 18:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf3f9a1…
07-07 18:49:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x194276…
07-07 18:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x568218…
07-07 18:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x1e806b…
07-07 18:13:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xda2748…
07-07 18:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x2ad878…
07-07 18:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x525ae0…
07-07 18:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x61cff1…
07-07 15:37:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x87072d…
07-07 15:18:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x1ccf6f…
07-07 15:18:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd69644…
07-07 14:12:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x6e9b41…
07-07 14:11:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xbe0f63…
07-07 14:05:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x06f2ef…
07-07 13:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf96e08…
07-07 13:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x3fcdbd…
07-07 11:36:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaf443d…
07-07 11:35:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x240502…
07-07 11:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc184b6…
07-07 11:10:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xf68201…
07-07 11:09:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x20f0aa…
07-07 11:08:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xda5e60…
07-07 11:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd3ef65…
07-07 10:56:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x77c3f1…
07-06 21:20:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8f2b89…
07-06 21:13:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xd9592a…
07-06 21:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x3f4fe3…
07-06 15:37:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c6d40…
07-06 15:37:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x4d4437…
07-06 12:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x995620…
07-06 10:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd71a8b…
07-06 09:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcd2b20…
07-06 09:28:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x67949c…
07-06 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x98fcc7…
07-06 09:04:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0xba9b56…
07-05 19:49:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x71bb6f…
07-05 19:43:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x459497…
07-05 19:40:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf8e538…
07-05 19:40:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xa81a17…
07-05 19:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x2d5612…
07-05 19:21:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5ae242…
07-05 19:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x76e723…
07-05 19:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x9b4a5b…
07-05 17:56:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x15f15e…
07-05 17:49:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x1b3801…
07-05 17:36:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbb8d7f…
07-05 17:36:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x19fc16…
07-05 17:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x439e85…
07-05 14:23:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf9d433…
07-05 14:07:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6a658b…
07-05 14:07:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x43dda8…
07-05 10:40:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x880f1c…
07-04 19:54:40	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xda3335…
07-04 19:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5c5f41…
07-04 18:10:47	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Canada	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xec4ef0…
07-04 17:23:35	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 first half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x2c312e…
07-04 17:19:10	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9b5d9c…
07-04 17:14:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xd393a4…
07-04 17:13:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xb96ccd…
07-04 17:02:19	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf6b65b…
07-04 14:03:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6ea7a7…
07-04 14:03:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xfba204…
07-04 13:21:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x2e579c…
07-04 13:20:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3fcecf…
07-04 13:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x734a39…
07-04 13:06:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xae0ddf…
07-04 05:54:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xc6e6f1…
07-03 20:31:53	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x30eeb6…
07-03 20:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 3?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x451d9e…
07-03 20:25:43	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5f1140…